The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[leoh]

2 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

I haven't followed the other markets too closely, but it's worth indicating that my market usually has softer starts and higher growth. Flat Lannisters numbers for example are usually difficult to compare as it's the opposite.

 

Still, it is good growth, and ad campaigns could be a part of it.

 

It's also important to remember that this is still an opening day versus Thursday previews as comps. A Thursday preview usually targets die hards that want to see the movie right away. This is probably grabbing more casual viewers that are just trying to lock in Valentine's Day plans. One of the benefits of a manual track is that I can see that ticket buying is happening heavily in pairings.

 

It's also why I can see sales having a strong kick near the end. Madame Web is probably more in the back up tier of V-Day plans when people realize the good restaurants are booked up. 

 

“One of the benefits of a manual track is that I can see that ticket buying is happening heavily in pairings”

 

This really makes sense given that both Dakota Johnson and Sydney Sweeney are really popular among women and men, but for very different reasons lol

 

So it’s like a movie that both can easily agree to watch together.

Edited February 3 by leoh

[vafrow]

9 minutes ago, leoh said:

 

“One of the benefits of a manual track is that I can see that ticket buying is happening heavily in pairings”

 

This really makes sense given that both Dakota Johnson and Sydney Sweeney area really popular among women and men, but for very different reasons lol

 

So it’s like a movie that both can easily agree to watch together.

 

One of the elements I was thinking about after my post is that as of right now, it's the only movie available for sale for Valentine's Day for the chain. One Love isn't up yet, and full sets for that week goes up this Tuesday night. It might be benefiting from being the only advance purchase option right now. Once Tuesday hits, people will have other options (One Love, ABY, Lisa Frankenstein, etc.).

[leoh]

3 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

One of the elements I was thinking about after my post is that as of right now, it's the only movie available for sale for Valentine's Day for the chain. One Love isn't up yet, and full sets for that week goes up this Tuesday night. It might be benefiting from being the only advance purchase option right now. Once Tuesday hits, people will have other options (One Love, ABY, Lisa Frankenstein, etc.).

 
Off topic but what happened with the so called quality of Apple Movies? Think they might give up theatrical release if Apple movies carry on having Argylle like reception 

Edited February 3 by leoh

[vafrow]

1 hour ago, leoh said:

 
Off topic but what happened with the so called quality of Apple Movies? Think they might give up theatrical related with their movies carry on having Argylle like reception 

 

That's off topic to the thread. I could expand on it, but short answer is that I think the tech giants underestimated the complexities of entering the film business, and are probably reevaluating a lot of their original assumptions. Whrre it goes is anyone's guess at this stage.

[Porthos]

On 2/2/2024 at 1:31 AM, Porthos said:

 

Dune: Part Two - Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-28 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	171	23233	24729	1496	6.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

34

 

T-28 Comps         UNIFORMLY TERRIBLE EDITION - DON'T TAKE SERIOUSLY AT ALL!!!

	%		Sold T-28	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	95.47		46	1567		0/171	22217/23784	6.59%		2915	51.32%		17.18m
BP2	28.33		139	5280		1/294	31742/37022	14.26%		16800	8.90%		7.93m
GOTG3	60.74		112	2463		0/205	27105/29568	8.33%		10750	13.92%		10.63m
Fast X	210.41		3	711		0/182	27027/27738	2.56%		4122	36.29%		15.78m
Indy 5	205.21		41	729		0/124	18798/19527	3.73%		4767	31.38%		14.78m
Oppy	206.06		30	726		0/53	7524/8250	8.80%		10750	13.92%		21.64m
AM3	45.54		227	3285		0/231	29080/32365	10.15%		10475	14.28%		7.97m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Dune: Part Two's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     408/8153  [5.00% sold]
Matinee:    31/2762  [1.12% | 2.07% of all tickets sold]
———    
Sun:    596/814     [73.22% sold] [+4 tickets]
Thr:    900/23915  [3.76% sold] [+30 tickets]
PLF:    1282/9813  [13.06% | 85.70% of all tickets sold]

 

Dune: Part Two - Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-27 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	171	23195	24729	1534	6.20%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

38

 

T-27 Comps         UNIFORMLY TERRIBLE EDITION - DON'T TAKE SERIOUSLY AT ALL!!!

	%		Sold T-27	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	96.54		22	1589		0/171	22195/23784	6.68%		2915	52.62%		17.38m
BP2	28.43		116	5396		1/294	31623/37019	14.58%		16800	9.13%		7.96m
GOTG3	59.99		94	2557		0/206	27114/29671	8.62%		10750	14.27%		10.50m
Fast X	214.55		4	715		0/182	26985/27700	2.58%		4122	37.21%		16.09m
Indy 5	203.72		24	753		0/124	18774/19527	3.86%		4767	32.18%		14.67m
Oppy	205.08		22	748		0/53	7502/8250	9.07%		10750	14.27%		21.53m
AM3	44.84		136	3421		0/235	29108/32529	10.52%		10475	14.64%		7.85m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Dune: Part Two's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       416/8153  [5.10% sold]
Matinee:    33/2762  [1.19% | 2.15% of all tickets sold]
———    
Sun:        598/814  [73.46% sold] [+2 tickets]
Thr:    936/23915  [3.91% sold] [+36 tickets]
PLF:    1313/9813  [13.38% | 85.59% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Sample made at normal time last night but not posted due to BOT being flaky.

Edited February 3 by Porthos

[keysersoze123]

2 hours ago, Porthos said:

Sample made at normal time last night but not posted due to BOT being flaky.

Interesting you also saw it. The site was not loading in my computer at all. But it was for some reason working on my phone. 

[iEnri]

Some people here are quite delusional thinking Madame Webb won't flop. Given the trailers, the reception will be pretty bad and it will crash. The pre sales are only overperforming if you were expecting one of the biggest flops ever

Edited February 3 by iEnri

[leoh]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Interesting you also saw it. The site was not loading in my computer at all. But it was for some reason working on my phone. 

here BOT wasn’t loading neither in my computer nor in my phone lol

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/1/2024 at 4:26 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Part 2 Denver Showings

Early Access:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
742	20	1353	54.84%

 

Thursday Previews:

AMC Westminster 24

Total

325

1794

18.12%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

250

1388

18.01%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1245	53	18464	6.74%	13	89

 

1.421

Oppenheimer T-28

14.92M

Dune Part 2 Denver Showings

Early Access:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
769	27	1353	56.84%

 

Thursday Previews:

AMC Westminster 24

Total

349

1794

19.45%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

266

1388

19.16%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1336	91	18464	7.24%	13	89

 

No comps today

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/1/2024 at 4:28 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Alamo Drafthouse Dune Part 2

T-28 Thursday

161 Showings

5318

+216

24573

ATP:

18.97

2.002

Oppenheimer T-28

21.02M

 

T-29 Friday

243 Showings

5988

+256

36761

ATP:

18.27

2.571

Oppenheimer T-29

57.89M

 

T-30 Saturday

257 Showings

7060

+343

38820

ATP:

17.67

2.434

Oppenheimer T-30

64.61M

 

T-31 Sunday

234 Showings

3524

+242

35111

ATP:

18.18

2.208

Oppenheimer T-31

51.20M

Alamo Drafthouse Dune Part 2 [+2 days of sales]

T-26 Thursday

163 Showings

5829

+511

24669

ATP:

18.91

 

T-27 Friday

246 Showings

6526

+538

36905

ATP:

18.18

 

T-28 Saturday

260 Showings

7747

+687

38961

ATP:

17.59

 

T-29 Sunday

237 Showings

4127

+603

35258

ATP:

17.94

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/1/2024 at 4:29 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Emagine Entertainment Dune Part 2

T-28 Thursday

104 Showings

641

+47

17509

1.330

Oppenheimer T-28

13.96M

 

T-29 Friday

163 Showings

603

+41

27763

1.908

Oppenheimer T-29

42.97M

 

T-30 Saturday

168 Showings

550

+52

28742

2.582

Oppenheimer T-30

67.78M

 

T-31 Sunday

162 Showings

141

+5

27840

1.424

Oppenheimer T-31

33.03M

Emagine Entertainment Dune Part 2 [+2 days of sales]

T-26 Thursday

104 Showings

682

+41

17569

 

T-27 Friday

163 Showings

710

+107

27851

 

T-28 Saturday

168 Showings

637

+87

28816

 

T-29 Sunday

162 Showings

168

+27

27944

[TheFlatLannister]

On 2/1/2024 at 7:33 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
486	2264	93918	2.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

61

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

669

*57 seats sold 

 

COMPS

T-13

 

(1.230x) of Blue Beetle $4.06M 

(0.698x) of AquaMan 2 $3.14M 

 

COMP AVG: $3.60M

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
486	2667	93918	2.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

746

 

COMPS

T-11

 

(0.878x) of Blue Beetle $2.90M 

(0.744x) of AquaMan 2 $3.35M 

 

COMP AVG: $3.13M

 

Couldn't update last night. BOT wasn't loading for me 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 2/1/2024 at 7:45 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-28

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
554	3453	104695	3.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 8:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

41

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1461

*37 seats sold

 

COMPS

T-28

 

(1.452x) of Oppenheimer $15.25M 

(0.931x) of Indy 5 $6.70M 

(2.656x) of Wonka $9.30M 

(2.190x) of Aquaman 2 $9.86M 

Comps AVG: $10.28M

 

Slowed down a lot. Thinking this will have a good amount of fan rush to it. 

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-26

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
554	3639	104695	3.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1546

 

COMPS

T-26

 

(1.457x) of Oppenheimer $15.30M 

(0.959x) of Indy 5 $6.91M 

(2.431x) of Wonka $8.51M 

(2.215x) of Aquaman 2 $9.97M 

 

Comps AVG: $10.17M

[leoh]

22 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

MADAME WEB

 

Wednesday

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
486	2667	93918	2.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

746

 

COMPS

T-11

 

(0.878x) of Blue Beetle $2.90M 

(0.744x) of AquaMan 2 $3.35M 

 

COMP AVG: $3.13M

 

Couldn't update last night. BOT wasn't loading for me 

interesting it kept improving compared to Aquaman, but went from 1.230x to 0.8 compared to blue beetle, it’s probably one of those peaks in Sales Blue Beetle may have had, isnt it?

 

[TheFlatLannister]

25 minutes ago, leoh said:

interesting it kept improving compared to Aquaman, but went from 1.230x to 0.8 compared to blue beetle, it’s probably one of those peaks in Sales Blue Beetle may have had, isnt it?

 

Blue Beetle had a strong steady pace in Orlando. It went from 635 to 850 tx sold in one day 

[leoh]

24 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Blue Beetle had a strong steady pace in Orlando. It went from 635 to 850 tx sold in one day 

yeah I think it’s due to a huge Hispanic community in Florida isn’t it? 

[jeffthehat]

Indiana Valentine's Day T-11

 

MOVIE	TC	SALES	SEATS	SHOWS
Bob Marley	22	865	14436	88
Madame Web	23	459	22072	112

 

Been working on expanding my tracking. This covers about 30 theaters in the state. Will be awhile before I have comps, but here's how the two Valentine's Day openers are doing. 

 

Edited February 4 by jeffthehat

[keysersoze123]

On 2/1/2024 at 3:29 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Dune 2 MTC1

Early Shows(2/25) - 20939/55434 425011.65 181 shows

Previews - 35497/512374 721086.21 2553 shows

Friday - 29155/791604 593488.57 3981 shows

Saturday - 29314/833989 572965.42 4199 shows

 

Not sure if it has hit bottom of the curve. But overall numbers are still very good.

 

 

Dune 2 MTC1

Early Shows(2/25) - 21940/55434 444059.48 181 shows

Previews - 38705/514249 782213.63 2565 shows

Friday - 32188/792092 652691.48 3985 shows
Saturday - 32681/834465 634788.93 4203 shows

 

May be this is the bottom. Its doing very well. 

[keysersoze123]

Bob Marley MTC1

VD - 20238/319428 299114.64 2001 shows

Friday - 4282/360785 63476.64 2168 shows

 

its pace for VD is very good. If it can accelerate over next 10 days, I think high single digits OD can happen. But Friday sales are dire. So not feeling the movie overall. 

[keysersoze123]

Madame Web MTC1

VD - 12760/535663 215986.52 2533 shows

Friday - 6052/581761 101665.92 2710 shows

 

Meh numbers and pace.