The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

Alien: Romulus is now on sale.

[el sid]

Fly Me to the Moon, counted today for today, had 165 sold tickets (in 6 theaters, no shows in the AMC in NY). 

Up so-so 28% since yesterday. 

Best presales in the AMC Metreon in San Francisco (73). Very modest sales in the AMC Sunset Place in Miami (14). 

From what I saw (I didn't count in every theater) it's Friday presales looked a little bit better. 

 

Comps (always counted on Thursday of the release week for Thursday and in the same 6 theaters): The Fall Guy (2.35M from true Thursday previews) had 944 sold tickets = 400k. 

Bikeriders (1.5M with EA shows/1M (?) from true Thursday previews) had 268 sold tickets = 600k. 

TLC (2.5M true Thursday) had 579 sold tickets = 700k. 

And Argylle (1.7M true Thursday) had 835 sold tickets = 350k. 

 

Average: 500k from previews (without EA shows) for To the Moon. Because of the star cast I would go with ca. 700k (the TLC comp could fit best). 

[ThomasNicole]

This is so funny, walkups day and they’re still finding new ways to promote it. Very curious about the walkups after the strong presales cycle.

 

 
 

[HowSway]

6 hours ago, TinaDuraes said:

I don't think they care, they're probably the richest studio, with tons of money to burn. I'm pretty sure they only release their films in theaters to give them more credibility (feel more like "real movies" when they come to Apple TV+) and to build relationships with filmmakers.

Stock holders care. We're not that far removed from Disney having a proxy board fight because a major stock holder was unhappy they were spending too much money on streaming. In a high interest era, Money isn't cheap anymore. Stockholders are not going to be happy watching apple burn hundreds of millions of dollars on a non core business when they are losing market share in their biggest market.

[AniNate]

1 minute ago, HowSway said:

Stock holders care. We're not that far removed from Disney having a proxy board fight because a major stock holder was unhappy they were spending too much money on streaming. In a high interest era, Money isn't cheap anymore. Stockholders are not going to be happy watching apple burn hundreds of millions of dollars on a non core business when they are losing market share in their biggest market.

 

Apple's stockholders are more concerned with what the next iPhone will look like

[Hiccup23]

Was bored at work and was looking at other Drafthouse locations for Longlegs to see if the Chicago Drafthouse is an anomaly....it most definitely is not.  

 

Chicago: Sales for Saturday and Sunday are growing rapidly. Friday continues to grow steady and Thursday has kind of capped out. I added the week to see if WOM affects ticket sales for the week especially Tuesday.

 

Longlegs	Sold	Amount	Percent Sold
Thursday	276	306	90.2%
Friday	306	512	59.8%
Saturday	331	524	63.2%
Sunday	199	474	42.0%
Monday	87	462	18.8%
Tuesday	173	512	33.8%
Wednesday	26	439	5.9%

[Hiccup23]

2 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

This is so funny, walkups day and they’re still finding new ways to promote it. Very curious about the walkups after the strong presales cycle.

 

 
 

 

This screening has only 4 seats left...

[Flip]

16 hours ago, Flip said:

Longlegs (T-1)

 

8 showtimes/414 tickets sold (+87)

4.02x Watchers (T-1) [4.02m]

.81x AQP Day One (T-1) [5.53m]

 

good growth again. I’m not going to set a goal for tomorrow since screen constraints will prevent any massive growth.

Longlegs (T-0)

 

9 showtimes/498 tickets sold (+84)

3.36x Watchers (T-0) [3.36m]

.71x AQP Day One (T-0) [4.81m]

 

walkups shouldn’t be that great due to the late start and screen constraints. 
Prediction: 3.1-3.3m 

[keysersoze123]

7 minutes ago, Flip said:

Longlegs (T-0)

 

9 showtimes/498 tickets sold (+84)

3.36x Watchers (T-0) [3.36m]

.71x AQP Day One (T-0) [4.81m]

 

walkups shouldn’t be that great due to the late start and screen constraints. 
Prediction: 3.1-3.3m 

I disagree. 7PM is perfect time for walkups for an adult movie. Folks can go and see it after their work. It could be capacity constrained but for now for the kind of gross we are expecting, it does have sufficient shows. 

[AnthonyJPHer]

 

 

[Flip]

25 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I disagree. 7PM is perfect time for walkups for an adult movie. Folks can go and see it after their work. It could be capacity constrained but for now for the kind of gross we are expecting, it does have sufficient shows. 

I was saying that because almost all of the available seats are in shows after 10PM, and that’s less of a walk up friendly time

[misterpepp]

Harold and the Purple Crayon on sale July 25

[keysersoze123]

12 minutes ago, Flip said:

I was saying that because almost all of the available seats are in shows after 10PM, and that’s less of a walk up friendly time

its only hr and 41 minutes. I think even 10PM is fine for adults. That said its more localized. I see enough capacity everywhere at the moment. They have added even more shows for evening today. 

[ThomasNicole]

Hoping for 3.5M previews for Longlegs. Anything over 3M tho is great and probably locks 20M OW, weekend sales doesn´t indicate strong frontloadness 

[keysersoze123]

On 7/6/2024 at 5:21 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 7619/65862 162776.95 290 shows +2202

Previews(7/18) - 16520/552766 320446.56 2717 shows +4483

Friday - 13918/771167 261481.69 3790 shows +4435

 

+7 days of sales. Main action would be only in the release week for sure. 

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 10875/67005 230576.15 295 shows +3256

Previews(7-18) - 22471/557818 434216.85 2758 shows +5951

Friday - 19942/775943 374401.94 3813 shows +6024

 

1 week to go. Around +5 days of presales. Let us see how final week goes. Early reviews should help with pace. 

[el sid]

Longlegs, counted today for today, had 1.556 sold tickets (now it has shows in all of my 7 theaters). 

Up decent 52% since Tuesday. 

Best sales by far in the AMC Universal Cinema in LA (760 sold tickets) but it has pretty nice numbers in every region. 

 

Comps (always counted on Thursday of the release week for Thursday): Thanksgiving (1M from true Thursday previews) had 365 sold tickets = 4.25M. 

The Watchers (1M) had 251 = 6.2M. 

The Strangers (1.2M) had 553 = 3.35M. 

Abigail (1M) had 351 = 4.45M. 

The First Omen (725k) had 184 = 6.1M. 

And Knock at the Cabin (1.5M) had 610 sold tickets = 3.65M. 

 

MaXXXine had last Thursday for Friday 940 sold tickets (but jumped only 10.5% from Wednesday to Thursday; Longlegs final jump was way better as you can see). 

 

So the lowest comparison number is 3.35M. I wonder if the walk-ups of Longlegs could be worse than that of Thanksgiving or The Strangers and IMO I doubt it. But after the disappointing actuals of MaXXXine (compared to expectations) I stay more conservative this weekend and go with 3M+ for Longlegs (true Thursday previews). 

[TheFlatLannister]

20 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

LONGLEGS 

 

Thursday 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
319	2428	65417	3.7%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

486

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-1

(3.027x) of Watchers $3.03M

(1.861x) of Night Swim $2.79M

Comps AVG: $2.91M 

 

Pretty good acceleration. Does look like $3m previews is likely

FLORIDA 

 

LONGLEGS 

 

Thursday 

 

T-0

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
351	3988	71695	5.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1560

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

32

 

COMPS

T-0

(4.124x) of Watchers $4.12M

(2.102x) of Night Swim $3.15M

Comps AVG: $3.64M 

 

Well, that went 0 to 100 really fast. Amazing finish. Would call it at $3.6M+ +/- $0.3M

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/5/2024 at 6:19 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
557	2296	110297	2.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

94

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

COMPS

T-13

(1.196x) of Apes $5.98M

(0.849x) of Ghostbusters $3.88M

(1.272x) of Furiosa $4.45M
Comps AVG: $4.77M 

 

Pace is not improving much 

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
557	3049	110297	2.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

225

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-7

(1.326x) of Apes $6.63M

(2.074x) of Fall Guy $4.77M

(1.186x) of Furiosa $4.15M
Comps AVG: $5.18M 

 

Review bump hasn't really move the needle much. Pace is still bleh this close to release. Played with comps a bit, This should do $5M+

[Ryan C]

4 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
557	3049	110297	2.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

225

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-7

(1.326x) of Apes $6.63M

(2.074x) of Fall Guy $4.77M

(1.186x) of Furiosa $4.15M
Comps AVG: $5.18M 

 

Review bump hasn't really move the needle much. Pace is still bleh this close to release. Played with comps a bit, This should do $5M+

 

At this point, I'm just waiting for this movie to pull a Bad Boys: Ride or Die and have insane walk-up business. 

[abracadabra1998]

12 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
557	3049	110297	2.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

225

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-7

(1.326x) of Apes $6.63M

(2.074x) of Fall Guy $4.77M

(1.186x) of Furiosa $4.15M
Comps AVG: $5.18M 

 

Review bump hasn't really move the needle much. Pace is still bleh this close to release. Played with comps a bit, This should do $5M+

This is Thursday only right? No EA?