AMC Theaters Enjoyer Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Cillian Murphy and Lily Gladstone have won at the SAG Awards today. Murphy is basically locked to with the Oscar now bar an upset, and Gladstone’s chances have gone up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 25 Author Share Posted February 25 Actress is the only acting category that isn't a done deal now. Just mentioned it in the SAG thread but Stone being a recent Oscar winner (in the same category, no less) might be the key to a Gladstone triumph. And I'm actually rooting for it because Lily is wonderful (and wonderful in the movie), her potential win making history, and it would arguably give her a bigger career boost than a second trophy for Emma would so soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MysteryMovieMogul Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Welp! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Oppenheimer futher solditify its best Picture status despite not wining screenplay. All the likely screnplay winner won’t touch oppenheimer this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ListenHunnyUrOver Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Gladstone is winning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 10 hours ago, filmlover said: Actress is the only acting category that isn't a done deal now. Just mentioned it in the SAG thread but Stone being a recent Oscar winner (in the same category, no less) might be the key to a Gladstone triumph. And I'm actually rooting for it because Lily is wonderful (and wonderful in the movie), her potential win making history, and it would arguably give her a bigger career boost than a second trophy for Emma would so soon. Gladstone is the only way to honor KOTFM in this year's ceremony. The movie is definitely well liked but Oppenheimer sweeping leaves no other avenue to award the movie, that combined with Stone already having an Oscar makes it easier to vote for Gladstone in a 50/50 scenario. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 10 hours ago, titanic2187 said: Oppenheimer futher solditify its best Picture status despite not wining screenplay. All the likely screnplay winner won’t touch oppenheimer this year. Nomination in Screenplay should be enough and SAG Ensemble win is what it needed more IMO. Upsets tend to come from movies that have strong support from actors, the biggest voting block. That barrier is now removed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eeetooki Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Branagh had an amazing speech! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 18 minutes ago, Valonqar said: Nomination in Screenplay should be enough and SAG Ensemble win is what it needed more IMO. Upsets tend to come from movies that have strong support from actors, the biggest voting block. That barrier is now removed. Nah, I still can't stomach the idea of SAG being this important when all the upset in the past like Parasite, Moonlight, Green Book, Spotlight, all surge in the screenplay category before the momentum clearly formed. Like some past winner like Braveheart, SM, LOTR3, Parasite , the entire cast was ignored in all four acting categories but still went ahead and won. Whereas if a best picture nominee isn't nominated in screenplay, their chance to win is nearly zero. The last one achieved this feat was Titanic 26 years ago, but at the same time, the acting branch can ignore you for all 20 acting slots but there are still 4 examples winner in the past 30 years. So screenplay branch is definitely more important than acting branch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 25 Author Share Posted February 25 (edited) 42 minutes ago, grim22 said: Gladstone is the only way to honor KOTFM in this year's ceremony. The movie is definitely well liked but Oppenheimer sweeping leaves no other avenue to award the movie, that combined with Stone already having an Oscar makes it easier to vote for Gladstone in a 50/50 scenario. Last year kind of put the kibosh on the notion of "every Best Picture nominee must win something" since half the nominees took home nothing but this year might see a return of that. Flower Moon with Actress, Holdovers with Supporting Actress, Poor Things can take a home a tech or two, American Fiction and Anatomy of a Fall with the Screenplay categories, Maestro maybe Makeup (that or nothing at this point)? Original Song secures at least one win for Barbie since its momentum seems to have died everywhere else. Edited February 25 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 2 hours ago, titanic2187 said: Nah, I still can't stomach the idea of SAG being this important when all the upset in the past like Parasite, Moonlight, Green Book, Spotlight, all surge in the screenplay category before the momentum clearly formed. Like some past winner like Braveheart, SM, LOTR3, Parasite , the entire cast was ignored in all four acting categories but still went ahead and won. Whereas if a best picture nominee isn't nominated in screenplay, their chance to win is nearly zero. The last one achieved this feat was Titanic 26 years ago, but at the same time, the acting branch can ignore you for all 20 acting slots but there are still 4 examples winner in the past 30 years. So screenplay branch is definitely more important than acting branch. No point looking back at LOTR cause it didn't win on the preferential ballot. Also, no case is the same. Just because there were upsets it doesn't mean they are a norm. Oppenheimer needed SAG win and it got it. That hurt potential script winners American Fiction and Barbie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Definitely re-opens the actress race here. I think Stone is brilliant in Poor Things but Gladstone is also great in KOTFM so a very worthy winner regardless. Considering Stone already has an Oscar and will probably have many more chances in the future I'd be inclined to root for her but I'm too much of a Stone fan for that 😛 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 25 Author Share Posted February 25 I'm as much a Stone stan as anyone and will be first to admit she definitely doesn't need another Oscar this soon. I'm not surprised she might be shaping up to be the Blanchett (the immediate alternative to Yeoh last year) of this season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eeetooki Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 6 hours ago, filmlover said: I'm as much a Stone stan as anyone and will be first to admit she definitely doesn't need another Oscar this soon. I'm not surprised she might be shaping up to be the Blanchett (the immediate alternative to Yeoh last year) of this season. Between two Stones, Emma's my favourite but I agree, she really doesn't need another Oscar win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 26 Author Share Posted February 26 Oppenheimer wins PGA. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Hopefully the Academy does not mess up. Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepItU25071906 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 It looks like the race for non-technical categories exists only for Best Actress and Adapted Screenplay (though, American Fiction is a huge favourite, but WGA will happen after the Oscars, so we won't have this huge precursor before AA ceremony). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Oppenheimer is about to become the “whitest male” best picture winner since Argo. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted February 26 Author Share Posted February 26 This will be the week the details about the ceremony (presenters, performers, etc.) will come pouring in. The Daily Mail got word the other day that Gosling in fact will be performing "I'm Just Ken" but no one else has confirmed it yet. Mark Ronson a few weeks ago said it was "Ryan or no one" so... Ryan Gosling WILL perform I'm Just Ken live at Oscars next month following Barbie nomination snubs controversy, source reveals | Daily Mail Online Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 22 hours ago, filmlover said: I'm as much a Stone stan as anyone and will be first to admit she definitely doesn't need another Oscar this soon. I'm not surprised she might be shaping up to be the Blanchett (the immediate alternative to Yeoh last year) of this season. The only different is Yeoh has a amazing career behind her. Last year her campaign was not just about "first Asian best actress", it was also about celebration of her shockingly underappreciated filmography, ranging from action flick with Jackie Chan, Bond girls, Oscar-wining films like CTHD and MoG. Something that Gladstone doesn't have to further elevate her campaign. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
