kayumanggi Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 (edited) DESPICABLE ME [2010] - 291.6M DESPICABLE ME II [2013] - 602.7M DESPICABLE ME III [2017] - 770.2M Edited July 16 by kayumanggi 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 (edited) Interesting animated franchise to see and analyze how high the OS numbers we could see for this one. If we’re counting the Minions movies as well, they made money as well. First one did nearly $825M OS, and “Rise of Gru”, while dropped from it’s predecessor, still made a hefty $570M+ OS overall. And considering that Illumination is on a roll with their recent movies like the animated video game adaption “The Super Mario Bros Movie” (that made a staggering $787M OS) and to a lesser extent the original “Migration”, DM4 is probably one of the safest contenders to be a blockbuster this year. DOM-wise, we could see the fourth film do more than the third one, due to how impressive Rise of Gru’s $370M was, and that one was Illumination’s biggest film DOM for nearly year until Mario topped it. Though DM4 might not top Gru numbers, I think above $320-330M+ DOM is a safe choice. As for OS…..I think it does really great enough if audience don’t want to see superhero movies or so. So I’ll say….in between DM2 & DM3. But leaning towards the latter, considering it is still a huge franchise…I’ll go with over around $720-750M OS. Maybe it could go higher and even top the third film, if it’s a better and more well-liked film…but I’ll safely stick with $750M at the maximum. A safe $1B+ WW film if it gets there. Edited May 19 by MrFanaticGuy34 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Probably 650-660m. It should drop around 110m in China, and lose 25m from not having Russia, but there should be some small increases elsewhere (LATAM, SE ASIA) that can help to offset it 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Minions 2 did 560m and I think that is a good anchor for this. DM3 did 28% worse than 1st Minions. I am thinking 430-450m for this movie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 hours ago, Flip said: Probably 650-660m. It should drop around 110m in China, and lose 25m from not having Russia, but there should be some small increases elsewhere (LATAM, SE ASIA) that can help to offset it It will also probably drop over $35 million in Japan too assuming a similar performance to Minions 2 there and no major improvement to ER. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liiviig 1998 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Jurassic world dominion OS numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liiviig 1998 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: Minions 2 did 560m and I think that is a good anchor for this. DM3 did 28% worse than 1st Minions. I am thinking 430-450m for this movie. 1st minions was clearly lightning in the bottle . It was always going to drop off quite big overseas. Think over or slightly under DM2's 602.7m is the target here. This is clearing minions 2 at the very least IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 14 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said: 1st minions was clearly lightning in the bottle . It was always going to drop off quite big overseas. Think over or slightly under DM2's 602.7m is the target here. This is clearing minions 2 at the very least IMO. I'm not so certain. Minions 2 had a more tangible hook to sell (Gru's backstory) than DM4 and families were starved for a big animated film that summer since Lightyear bombed. But I don't think it will do that much worse than Minions 2 if it does go under. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 18 Author Share Posted May 18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 On 2/10/2024 at 2:39 PM, keysersoze123 said: Minions 2 did 560m and I think that is a good anchor for this. DM3 did 28% worse than 1st Minions. I am thinking 430-450m for this movie. I’m more on board with this now, the hook doesn’t seem very interesting but seeing how KFP4 was mid and still did 350m INT I can’t see this doing less than 500m especially with no family competition until late september. 530-540m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted June 23 Author Share Posted June 23 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted June 23 Share Posted June 23 The OW is actually pretty great and in line with Minion2 opening. Was there any holiday this weekend in these 3 countries? Why Universal opt to open DM4 just one week after IO2? Sound like a very risky move even without massive breakout from IO2 unless there is holiday to offset the impact. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grebacio Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 On 6/23/2024 at 2:00 PM, titanic2187 said: The OW is actually pretty great and in line with Minion2 opening. Was there any holiday this weekend in these 3 countries? Why Universal opt to open DM4 just one week after IO2? Sound like a very risky move even without massive breakout from IO2 unless there is holiday to offset the impact. There were 2 holidays on Argentina Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted June 26 Share Posted June 26 On 2/10/2024 at 11:51 AM, Flip said: Probably 650-660m. It should drop around 110m in China, and lose 25m from not having Russia, but there should be some small increases elsewhere (LATAM, SE ASIA) that can help to offset it Kind of cheating since it’s already out in a few markets but I’m thinking closer to 550m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 (edited) Not that bad, considering IO2 competition. Edited June 30 by Purple Minion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 I saw this in Reddit comparing this movie to last Minions and Despicable Me movies. AU/NZ have increased from both of them while in Latin American markets its well below last movies I think due to XR. Quote Australia: DM4: 9.7M Minions 2: 11.99M DM3: 7.79M Argentina DM4: 5.2M Minions 2: 6.3M DM3: 10.2M Chile DM4: 2.5M DM3: 2.78M Colombia DM4: 1.7M Minions 2: 3.98M DM3: 4.5M New Zealand DM4: 1.5M Minions 2: 1.4M DM3: 1M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 $850M WW is the target it seems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gru Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 (edited) On 7/1/2024 at 3:23 AM, keysersoze123 said: I saw this in Reddit comparing this movie to last Minions and Despicable Me movies. AU/NZ have increased from both of them while in Latin American markets its well below last movies I think due to XR. Portugal opening weekend DM3 € 532.190,92 / 106.062 Minions 2 € 410.961,53 / 75.372 DM4 € 555.615,86 / 93.406 Compared to DM3, slightly decreased in admission but increased in EUR Edited July 3 by Gru typo 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 $310M DOM + $575M OS = $885M WW. Though could definitely hit the $900M mark which would be make this almost as unlucky as Harry Potter to not have more films in the $1B club. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...