3/08-3/10 Weekend Estimates : KFP 4 : 58,3M , Dune 2 : 46,3M , Imaginary : 10M , Caprini : 7,6M

[kayumanggi]

1 hour ago, Ziddletwix said:

I'm new here—will there be a separate weekdays thread? I'm really curious about what to expect for Dune/KFP4's Monday gross (seems like a big bellweather of the holds to expect going forward?)

 

Yes, there will be a separate thread for the weekdays.

[kayumanggi]

Sunday Numbers

 

15.7M - KFP IV

14.4M - DUNE II

[Krissykins]

4 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

No. Sequels to successful rom-coms are pretty rare (and I quite literally cannot think of one atm) and it should stay that way.

Looks like they aren’t caring about that

 

https://deadline.com/2024/03/sydney-sweeney-brainstorming-anyone-but-you-2-concepts-1235852356/amp/

[babz06]

Looks like Dune is headed towards 250+ and possible more 

[Krissykins]

Kung Fu Panda, Imaginary and Cabrini all overestimated so far, wonder if Oscar’s impacted Sunday more than expected. 

[lorddemaxus]

53 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Looks like they aren’t caring about that

 

https://deadline.com/2024/03/sydney-sweeney-brainstorming-anyone-but-you-2-concepts-1235852356/amp/

That means nothing

[Eric Prime]

2 hours ago, Ziddletwix said:

I'm new here—will there be a separate weekdays thread? I'm really curious about what to expect for Dune/KFP4's Monday gross (seems like a big bellweather of the holds to expect going forward?)

Yes, there will be a weekdays thread once we get numbers.

[MikeQ]

Excellent second weekend drop for Dune. If we look at all 60M+ openers without a holiday second weekend, it's in the top 20 best second weekend drops. It's one of only 4 sequels in the top 20.

 

It's also worth noting that most of the films on the list below are animated family films and/or of an earlier era of box office when Thursday previews were not as dominant or did not exist (and therefore second weekend drops naturally weren’t as hefty). A 44% drop for a sequel in this day and age is exceptionally rare.

 

Looking forward to seeing how its legs continue!

 

Peace,

Mike

 

Best Second Weekend Drops for 60M+ Friday Openers without Holiday Second Weekend:

1. Monsters Inc (2001): -27.2%
2. American Sniper (2014): -27.6%
3. The Incredibles (2004): - 28.7%
4. Top Gun: Maverick (2022): -28.9%
5. Zootopia (2016): -31.6%
6. Inception (2010): -32.0%
7. Finding Nemo (2003): -33.7%
8. Up (2009): -35.2%
9. The Passion of the Christ (2004): -36.5%
10. Spider-Man (2002): -37.8%
11. The Jungle Book (2016): -40.4%
12. Inside Out (2015) -42.1%
13. Mission: Impossible - Fallout (2018): -42.3%
14. Barbie (2023): -42.6%
15. The Grinch (2018): -42.9%
16. Wonder Woman (2017): -43.3%
17. Oppenheimer (2023): -43.4%
18. Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted (2012): -43.5%
19. Cars (2006): -43.9%
20. Dune: Part Two (2024): -44.0%
21. Kung Fu Panda (2008): -44.2%
22. Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa (2008): -44.5%
23. Black Panther (2018): -44.7%
24. The Lorax (2012): -44.7%
25. Monsters University (2013): -44.7%

[kayumanggi]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

Kung Fu Panda, Imaginary and Cabrini all overestimated so far, wonder if Oscar’s impacted Sunday more than expected. 

 

It's bigger than last year and is the best since the 2020 ceremony.