keysersoze123 Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 3 minutes ago, Pinacolada said: 1.45m for The Bikeriders.... could be good for teens OW?? If it's not frontloaded for some reason of course. Sales look good to me for tonight Northman had 1.35m and opened to 12.2m OW. I cannot see The Bikeriders having a worse IM than Northman Not with 3.8m Friday including previews. That preview number included BO from advanced screenings as well. Not sure what is the split. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grand Cine Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 15 minutes ago, Eric is Anxious said: https://deadline.com/2024/06/box-office-inside-out-2-record-bikeriders-1235980501/ Great hold for Garfield , good for Apes ( 170M is locked) , i don't know if The Bikeriders begin correct or meh. For the top 2 , Bad Boys will finish around 190M for me , he built a club with KF4 and G&K . For IO2, it continues his great run . Predictions : Low prediction (28M) 28M 35M (+25%) 27M (-23%) Total : 90M High Prediction (30M) 30M 37,5M (+25%) 29M (-23%) Total : 96,5M I expect Saturday jump between Dory and Incredibles 2/Toy Story 4 and a Sunday drop around the same as Father Day. But the fact that he plays like Barbie and Mario is insane . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinacolada Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said: Not with 3.8m Friday including previews. That preview number included BO from advanced screenings as well. Not sure what is the split. It had 1 early "Q&A" screening on Wednesday in what looked like just 100 theaters or so. I can't imagine it did much more than 100k. But I'm unsure of the Theater Count on that That 3.8m Friday including previews feels like Deadline playing it safe to me. At least I hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanMB Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 10 minutes ago, Unfitclock said: That Friday number for the Bikeriders seems way too frontloaded Yeah, Deadline's wording makes it sound like there were more screenings before Thursday, but I don't remember seeing any in the Chicagoland area at least? If it was just from Thursday, a sub-3 previews-to-Friday multiplier seems a bit harsh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 21 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: nothing but crazy. An second weekend equal to the opening weekend of its predecessor. Another movie also did that this year 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinacolada Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 1 minute ago, JonathanMB said: Yeah, Deadline's wording makes it sound like there were more screenings before Thursday, but I don't remember seeing any in the Chicagoland area at least? If it was just from Thursday, a sub-3 previews-to-Friday multiplier seems a bit harsh. Yeah I don't think there was a single one in the DFW area. There was 1 scheduled IIRC but it was at an Alamo Drafthouse that got shutdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan C Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Hey guys! New to the Box Office Theory Forum, but I'm as much a lover and fanatic of the box office as the rest of you. It's literally insane that Inside Out 2 is doing this well and is going to be within strking distance of the first film's domestic gross (356.46 million) by the end of Sunday. Calling a final domestic gross of $550M+ and 600M+ if it can hold its own against Despicable Me 4. I don't think it'll reach $100M for the entire second weekend, but definitely anything between $85M-$95M is a sure bet. Also, here's hoping that unlike what Deadline just reported that Bad Boys: Ride or Die has a much stronger hold than 53% and that The Bikeriders can at least top $10M. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JimmyB Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Outside the top 5 is Vertical Entertainment’s widest release ever, the Russell Crowe genre movie The Exorcism, financed by Miramax, at 2,240 theaters. Slammed with a 32% Rotten Tomatoes critics score and 50% audience, the movie is looking at an $800K Friday, $1.85M 3-day per industry estimates. I hear in regards to the economics of the pic for Vertical, it’s a low threshold, nothing to lose their shirt over. I understand those polled believed it was a sequel to Crowe’s genre movie from last year, The Pope’s Exorcist, however, he’s not playing a priest in this movie, but a troubled actor. In the tracking thread I mentioned I would never even had heard of this movie if I didnt follow forums like this or Reddit. People thinking it's a sequel to Pope's Exorcist makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR & Friends Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 The only way to avoid a doom spiral is for IO2's 2nd WE to be over IO's OW. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Insomnia Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 32 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: it has exceeded my expectations. I would have been ok with low 80s 2nd weekend considering so much demand has been burned with mid week holiday. But its a juggernaut and so keeps chugging along. That said I would wait for evening update for Volde/Charlie. Early number for holdovers could be off. I just realized we didn't see Rth this weekend. Where did he go? When I was still lurking I remember he would make an appearance every big weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Speedorito Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 6 minutes ago, Mojoguy said: Another movie also did that this year The first one had day and date release in the US though. This is objectively more impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric is Quiet Posted June 21 Author Share Posted June 21 4 minutes ago, Insomnia said: I just realized we didn't see Rth this weekend. Where did he go? When I was still lurking I remember he would make an appearance every big weekend. He likely is busy with his personal life. It's not the first time he's dipped for a long period, and it's very understandable. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR & Friends Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 2 minutes ago, Eric is Anxious said: He likely is busy with his personal life. It's not the first time he's dipped for a long period, and it's very understandable. Nah we don't pay him all this money so he can have a "personal life". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 A second weekend for IO2, a second chance to submit your top 100 list of all time for the forum list! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 Ah if people did think The Exorcism was The Pope’s Exorcist 2 then that spells trouble for The Pope’s Exorcist 2 haha. Hopefully Bikeriders is over $10m. Not my kind of film, but just want something like that to open over $10m. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Insomnia Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 (edited) If The Bikeriders can somehow come close to matching the $15M opening of No Hard Feelings last year that would be a bonus. This same weekend last year was similarly empty; just NHF and the wide expansion of Asteroid City. All that to say it's not like there's much for this weekend's debuts to match. With Horizon's sales coming around somewhat and A Quiet Place chugging along, next weekend should be able to match the $60M of Indiana Jones plus whatever Ruby Gillman made on the equivalent weekend last year as well. Add in the obvious boost from the juggernaut Inside Out 2 and things are looking pretty good going forward. Edited June 21 by Insomnia 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric is Quiet Posted June 21 Author Share Posted June 21 20 minutes ago, XXR & Friends said: Nah we don't pay him all this money so he can have a "personal life". We pay him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan C Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 1 hour ago, Speedorito said: Slight chance IO2 blocks A Quiet Place: Day One from debuting at #1 next week? I think there's like a 25% chance that A Quiet Place: Day One opens at #1 next weekend. Due to how strong the word-of-mouth and overall run of Inside Out 2 has been so far, it would be hard to see it fall below $50M next weekend. Day One does have a slight chance at topping IO2, but it has to do open to at least more than $50M and Inside Out 2 either has to do less than $90M this weekend or be hurt by losing most of its PLFs to A Quiet Place next weekend. We'll see and I would love for A Quiet Place: Day One to surprise all of us, but I'm betting on the Pixar sequel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claire of Themyscira Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 40 minutes ago, Ryan C said: Hey guys! New to the Box Office Theory Forum, but I'm as much a lover and fanatic of the box office as the rest of you. It's literally insane that Inside Out 2 is doing this well and is going to be within striking distance of the first film's domestic gross (356.46 million) by the end of Sunday. Calling a final domestic gross of $550M+ and 600M+ if it can hold its own against Despicable Me 4. I don't think it'll reach $100M for the entire second weekend, but definitely anything between $85M-$95M is a sure bet. Also, here's hoping that unlike what Deadline just reported that Bad Boys: Ride or Die has a much stronger hold than 53% and that The Bikeriders can at least top $10M. Welcome To Our Box Office Theory Forum!!! ❤️ I hope you enjoy ya stay. Most of us are friendly, so do not be too shyyy. The moderators are cool too, so if you are having a problem with anyone, they are great in responding! What is the most exciting box office run you were able to experience or witness? Also, stan TWICE! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan C Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 2 minutes ago, Claire of Themyscira said: Welcome To Our Box Office Theory Forum!!! ❤️ I hope you enjoy ya stay. Most of us are friendly, so do not be too shyyy. The moderators are cool too, so if you are having a problem with anyone, they are great in responding! What is the most exciting box office run you were able to experience or witness? Also, stan TWICE! Thanks! Can't think of specifically one box office run, but I can name you a lot. Avengers: Endgame, Spider-Man: No Way Home, Top Gun: Maverick, Avatar: The Way of Water, The Super Mario Bros. Movie, Barbenheimer, and so much more. There's been a lot of incredible box office runs that I've been able to witness, but now it's even more exciting because I am even more crazy/knowledgable about this stuff than I was 5 years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
