rockNrollaDIM Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Why??My bet with druv. Loser has to leave for a week. REMEMBER, it's your thread isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 From BOM: If The Avengers follows the pace of Spider-Man 3, it would wind up with an opening weekend over $280 million. The Iron Man 2 pace translates to a $320 million debut. 320m here we come guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Which isn't even that crazy. Again, if the 3D share is large enough, that may not even be as many tickets as THG.Which is why Hollywood isn't giving up on 3D anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 My bet with druv. Loser has to leave for a week. REMEMBER, it's your thread isn't it? Right right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 From BOM:320m here we come guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rovex Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 (edited) While Marvel usually skews older and therefore backloaded i think the anticipation for this will pull it further forward. It wont be Potter forward, but it wont hold as well as IM, even Friday to Saturday and Saturday to Sunday.. Its still going north of 150M though, say about $158.3M? Edited May 4, 2012 by Rovex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 The typical Marvel film's midnights comprise of 15% of OD. If Avengers follows that pace, Friday will be 124.7M.From there, Marvel films usually get a 2.8 IM from Friday without midnights. If Avengers follows that pace, the weekend will be 315.5M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 From what I'm hearing, the 3D share came out much larger than expected. If that carries over for the weekend, 190 is in playIf we're gonna dream, why not dream big?For the magical 200m to happen, I think it would have to go like this:18.7m+71.3m90m66m(-27%)44m(-33%)= 200mAnd factoring 50% 3D that's still 13.5% LESS than SM3's total OW admissions.Anyhoo, I still say it will be between 160-185, but where is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 For The Avengers to make a case of being the ultimate king of the OW it will have to get 195-200m in its opening. That'd be around TDK/SM3 admissions. On its current pace it should be good for 3rd all-time in admissions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Which is depressing to think about. 3D is ruining these milestones.Why should we disregard a movie that had a 3D boost?If a movie convinces people to pay alot extra for 3D is that not a credible achievement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 But yes, it's clear that this is will be much more frontloaded than the previous films. However, even a great deviation from the past Marvel films would set this on course for a weekend very close to the OW record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vc2002 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 TDKR is feeling the pressure right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 From BOM:320m here we come guys!He also said he expected TA to perform "in line" with TDK over the weekend...uh, completely different time of the year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 For The Avengers to make a case of being the ultimate king of the OW it will have to get 195-200m in its opening. That'd be around TDK/SM3 admissions. On its current pace it should be good for 3rd all-time in admissions.Really? I don't think it's even going to hit the top 5.190M with a low 47% 3D share is only about 20.2M tickets. That would be good for 5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 He also said he expected TA to perform "in line" with TDK over the weekend...uh, completely different time of the year?I think he meant relative to it getting to 280-320m. Which of course is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 TDKR is feeling the pressure right now.That one is at a huge disadvantage without 3D. And ghost, do you really think people aren't willing to pay the premium to see a movie they've been waiting for on opening weekend? Opening weekends are all about anticipation and hype. People are willing to pay the premium. Hell, the studios could stick a movie on 100% 3D screens and people would still pay to see it no matter what. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 If it hits 70mil today, then I'll begin talking about the OW record going down. Until then, I'm on the skeptical side. No need to get my hopes up for nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Really? I don't think it's even going to hit the top 5.190M with a low 47% 3D share is only about 20.2M tickets. That would be good for 5th.Oh you're right. I forgot about Dead Man's Chest. It still should end up in that clump of THG, SM1, DH2, and NM that all around the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 There's no way this doesn't hit 70M today. It hits 61M with IM2's unadjusted non-midnight Friday, which didn't have 3D prices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted May 4, 2012 Founder / Operator Share Posted May 4, 2012 (edited) I would not be shocked to see this reach $73-75 million today. But I also don't think we should extrapolate too much from the midnight number.Either way, I still see the record going down. Edited May 4, 2012 by ShawnMR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
