JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[edroger3]

Our dear boxoffice site started a new reporting: total daily admissions for each movies compared with previous week.

 

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-category-6.html

[chuck0]

;by backing out the extra 2700 from 109s discount day we get an 8.3% overall increase from TMK1 that will properly reflect the rest of the market place for the rest of the weekend. 109 is just 4.5% of the market. The 5000 extra at 109 last sat was just 1% of total weekend admissions. That adjusts to a 7.3% increase as the rest of the weekend will follow suit based on frozens consistent weekend trend46520(TMK1) x 2.1 (sat eve) x 2.15(sun) x 2.78(TMK1 mrkt share) x 13.20 (tix price)= 7.7mIfn it follows week 4,5,6 trend46520 x 2.2 x 2.2 x 2.78 x 13.20=8.2m

 

Dafuq?

So you think that golden week did not really burn off all that much interest in Frozen? It just put a little dent into last WE gross?

 

Damn, if those estimates hold my club might even succeed if Godzilla AND Xmen break out big time DOM

Edited May 17, 2014 by chuck0

[mfantin65]

1900Toho up 5%Kinezo up 7%109 up 10% from wk7Movix up 16%

Edited May 17, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[catlover]

Hmm... $30m would be quite good for it. Pacific Rim only did $14m and it had a similar release date.

 

People always compare Pacific Rim to Godzilla. But PR is just another monster vs robot film. While it might be inspired by (or a tribute to) Japanese culture like Gundam or Evangelion or even Godzilla, it's actually very "Hollywood", at least that's how I feel about it. I was surprised that people surprised it didn't do much in Japan. Meanwhile, from the trailers, and after seeing the new Godzilla movie, I think it's much more appealing to Japanese than PR. Godzilla is Japanese anyway.

[mfantin65]

 

Sutaurday 5/10 Admissions [Toho+Kinezo etc]

 

Toho - Top 5

1.Frozen....50503

2.Thermae2..18786

3.Conan.....11215

4.TASM2.....10454

5.Woodjob....8801

 

*Frozen.....50503

*rank 2-5...49256

 

Movix

33785 (last holiday, 5/6)

16058 (today)

 

109  

OW......13123

Wk-7....12075

Wk-8....17288 (GW)

today...18022 (discounts day)

 

Kinezo

Wk-6....12804

Wk-7....12849

today...10710

 

Toho

OW.....58491

Wk-5...57560

Wk-6...56713

Wk-7...56390

today..50503

 

 

Toho   *Sat - Sun [rate of increase]

OW.....58491--64414 (+10%)

Wk-5...57560--67869 (+18%)

Wk-6...56713--68963 (+21.5%)

Wk-7...56390--68906 (+22%)

 

 

*Frozen estimates $3m-3.3m (Total *est - $163.2m-163.5m) 

 

*TASM2 estimates $0.73m (Total *est - $20.93m)

 

Edit: Frozen Exceeded 13million admissions

 

Past saturdays to compare todays final numbers due out soon.

[chuck0]

hehe, its like the calm before a storm in here... everybody waiting for nuuumbbeeerrrsss

[mfantin65]

109............13073 +8.5%after backing out discount bump, last sat was 12k deduced from sunday number.Kinezo.......11277 +5.5%movix........17527 +9.5%toho...........51979 +3%Weve been thinking about this the wrong way. It appears that the evenings are getting progressively weaker the last couple of weeks, but with admissions holding or increasing on various days, it means the daytime is gaining strength. WOM is still building amongst the women and children, key demos, as it holds or slightly fades for men.

Edited May 17, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[Murgatroyd]

Dafuq?

So you think that golden week did not really burn off all that much interest in Frozen? It just put a little dent into last WE gross?

 

Damn, if those estimates hold my club might even succeed if Godzilla AND Xmen break out big time DOM

 

For a heavily WOM-driven movie with broad appeal, the proper metaphor for a week with lots of views isn't "burning off interest".  It's "stoking the flames".

[baumer]

Any idea what Frozen will do this weekend?

[edroger3]

Any idea what Frozen will do this weekend?

It seems a little bit more than previous week

[catlover]

Any idea what Frozen will do this weekend?

 

Looks like around 7.5m. Or more depends on Sunday. If you wait like half an hour, we can estimate Saturday to get a clearer idea for the weekend.

Edited May 17, 2014 by catlover

[mfantin65]

Any idea what Frozen will do this weekend?

More numbers are coming in 30m. The midday numbers were up 7% from 36% of theaters that have been an accurate sample of the population. That will carry thru the werkend at a minimum, 7.7m. Last sunday was a little weaker than normal compared to saturday. A return to normal strength will take it to 8m. Plus there will be a 50k currency bump.

Either way there will be a bump not a drop for the 10th weekend

Edited May 17, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[baumer]

Looks like around 7.5m. Or more depends on Sunday. If you wait like half an hour, we can estimate Saturday to get a clearer idea for the weekend.

 

My LORD!

 

It increased?  

[catlover]

My LORD!

 

It increased?  

 

Yup! The numbers so far suggest so.

[LABAS]

Hor are presales looking?

toho51979 last sat 50503 Edited May 17, 2014 by LABAS

[spizzer]

Yeah if Sunday stays in line we're looking at close to 8M and ~182Mish total.  Coming off that kind of weekend, I can start to see mfantin's high 200s-low 300s starting to sound within reason, considering this thing is sitting at #1 till mid-July

[edroger3]

New daily update.

 

Day Toho Tohox Tot adm Total

60 mon  12.496 83,49   64.979 $1.043.291
61 tue  10.550 83,49    54.860 $  880.820
62 wed  35.489 83,49 184.543 $2.962.977
63 thr  11.528 83,49    59.946 $  962.473
64 fri  12.901 83,49    67.085 $1.077.104
65 sat  51.979 67,42 270.291 $3.504.424
66 sun  58.000 67,42 301.600 $3.910.360 est
192.943 74,33 1.003.304 14.341.449

[keysersoze123]

if it increases this week its just crazy. Dont know what to say. At least we can lock it beating SA USD gross. I dont think how anyone can go lower than that after this weekend and no competition for a while. 

 

BTW I was looking at school holidays in Japan and I see a week of summer half term holidays starting next week. How will that benefit Frozen's weekdays.

 

 

http://myschoolholidays.com/The-Japanese-School-15161

[mfantin65]

My LORD!It increased?

0.95m Mon0.80m Tue1.95m Wed0.85m Thu1.00m Fri5.55m midweek3.60m Sat +6%7.70m weekend estimate +6% possibly 2-4% more13.25m week180.65m Total adding to 167.40 from sunday.Projection270-325m closing rangeI wonder if corpse will raise the white flag now and concede SA dollars. My guess he'll raise to 230m Edited May 17, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[edroger3]

Toho+109+Kinezo+Movix Today vs past Saturday

 

Pos Adm   Seats SW %L/W*1　93945　276998　815　*97.9%　Frozen*2　34078　*51252　138　  ******　 Gundam*3　26717　156025　728　*74.7%　Thermae Romae 2

*4　16067　*70400　360　  ******　 Yami-kin Ushijima-kun 2 (?)*5　12804　*67552　389　*61.6%　 Conan*6　12086　*78416　467　*70.1%　 Amazing Spiderman