JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[mfantin65]

Here is where it doesn't make sense759,421,150÷648,239 =1,171 ave tix price.sat had 29% admissions. Tix price is 13.40Sun 71% @ 11.50Sat 187,978 × 13.40 =2,51mSun 460,222 x 11.50 =5.29m7.8mSo the TMK1 market share some how rose 10% from 35 to 38% and ticket price is off by 10% . IDK

Edited June 2, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[mfantin65]

how is monday shaping up? any numbers?

TMK1 Down 9% from last monI thought last monday should have been 1.6m. With screen daily coming in w a high number on friday I adjusted up to 1.8mIt could be 1.64m -9%. But with market share f $!ked up this weekend, who knows. Could be 1.4m Edited June 2, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[rhfqkddl45]

Monday 6/2 Admissions [10:00pm 4 chains combined ranking ]

 

　*1　*37017　アナと雪の女王 (FROZEN)

　*2　**8898　Ｘ－ＭＥＮ：フューチャー＆パスト (DOFP)

　*3　**7111　ＭＯＮＳＴＥＲＺ モンスターズ

　*4　**5144　万能鑑定士Ｑ －モナ・リザの瞳－

　*5　**4669　青天の霹靂

　*6　**4411　テルマエ・ロマエⅡ

　*7　**3026　名探偵コナン２０１４ 異次元の…

　*8　**2079　闇金ウシジマくん２

　*9　**2016　アメイジング・スパイダーマン２ (TASM2)

　10　**1477　機動戦士ガンダムＵＣ（ユニコー…

 

   Last wk          today

[  41284------37017 ] -10% 

 

 

*Frozen estimate -  $1.3m-1.5m

 

*DOFP estimate - $0.35-0.4m

 

 

 

* Monday [ 4 chains total admissions ]

wk-10...23297

wk-11...26148

wk-12...41284

Today...37017 

 

 

*Toho Monday admissions

wk-2...19967

wk-6...20665

wk-7...14202

wk-10..12496

wk-11..14312

wk-12..22227

Today..19587 -12%

Edited June 2, 2014 by Hans13

[lab276]

At this point, the only chance Frozen has at $300m is if the average for every week from now on is around $15m, meaning interest needs to remain very high. Maybe $280m is more realistic? Avatar still made $23m after the video release, so Frozen can still get over Spirited Away after it comes out on dvd if it gets that close. Of course we wouldn't have to worry about this nonsense if Disney delays the video release by at least a month or two like any sane company would. The reviewers over at the Frozen bluray page at Amazon Japan are trashing the hell out of Frozen with low ratings (they are already complaining about the high price), which is pissing me off.  http://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B00DTLG7MC/http://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B00KFC0GWA/

Of course they're complaining about the high price, it's $45! The second link is over $60!

[rhfqkddl45]

Frozen Weekends [ Wk 1-12 except wk-8 ]

 

 Wk      gross           Adm        % change      avg tk price

 1     763m yen    (602,347)      -----       1267yen

 2     872m yen    (680,855)     +14.2%       1281yen

 3     881m yen    (691,321)     +1%          1274yen (SB)

 4     850m yen    (642,489)     -3.5%        1324yen (SB)

 5     842m yen    (623,785)     -1%          1349yen

 6     826m yen    (628,314)     -1.8%        1315yen

 7     772m yen    (566,750)     -6.7%        1362yen

 9     737m yen    (541,094)     -4.5%        1363yen

10     807m yen    (592,173)     +9.3%        1362yen

11     700m yen    (517,926)     -13.3%       1352yen

12     759m yen    (648,239)     +8.4%        1171yen (sunday-discount day)

Edited June 2, 2014 by Hans13

[SamComedian]

Frozen Weekends [ Wk 1-12 except wk-8 ]

 

 Wk      gross           Adm        % change      avg tk price

 1     763m yen    (602,347)      -----       1267yen

 2     872m yen    (680,855)     +14.2%       1281yen

 3     881m yen    (691,321)     +1%          1274yen (SB)

 4     850m yen    (642,489)     -3.5%        1324yen (SB)

 5     842m yen    (623,785)     -1%          1349yen

 6     826m yen    (628,314)     -1.8%        1315yen

 7     772m yen    (566,750)     -6.7%        1362yen

 9     737m yen    (541,094)     -4.5%        1363yen

10     807m yen    (592,173)     +9.3%        1362yen

11     700m yen    (517,926)     -13.3%       1352yen

12     759m yen    (648,239)     +8.4%        1171yen (sunday-discount day)

 

648,239 admissions the 3 week with more admissions ( no GW ) and only 7,4$ million...

Edited June 2, 2014 by SamComedian

[Quigley]

648,239 admissions the 3 week with more admissions ( no GW ) and only 7,4$ million...

 

If the gross is higher, the fact that it sold more admissions (by having a lower average ticket price) just makes it even more impressive.

[mfantin65]

    .                                       Ski Trail to 300+
                                    $350,000,000  
 
This projection is with 10% average drops which has yet to materialize in the run. 
Spirited Away starts comparing to Frozen at week three due to its big midweeks it had during 7weeks of summer. This comparrison is for the long leg battle. SA numbers have been converted to current exchange rate.
 
With the way Frozen has performed I see it keeping pace with SA and I'm calling it a lock, I just don't see it fading hard with the post GW hold.
 
Old school! E.T was the last entry into the top 10 for admission pre VCR. It is the number one straight runner upon initial release. Star Wars had expansion help the following summer. One can argue this is the all time #1 movie stateside. Lets see how frozen holds its weekend drops compared to E.T. and if it can catch up. It had 12 weeks summer boost to start and ran for 52 weeks without major a re-expansion
 
#        E.T.             Spirited Away                       Frozen
     WE    %   TOT       WE    %  Week TOT   MW WE      Week   TOT
1  11.800     11.800                                        7.531     9.731   9.731
2  12.400 +6  34.400                                11.300  8.550+13 19.800 29.535
3  13.700 +9  58.500   10.000 10.000 10.000   13.400  8.569 +1 22.000 51.579
4  12.700 -7  82.500    9.500 -5 32.000 42.000   15.300  8.238 -5 23.500 75.100
5  12.800 +0 106.900    8.700 -8 29.500 71.500    7.800  8.286 +1 16.000 90.600
6  13.000 +2 129.400  9.200 +6 34.500  106.000    5.900 8.046 -3 14.000  104.800
7  11.300-13 150.500    8.700 -5 24.500  130.500     5.900  7.558 -6 13.400  118.400
8  10.400 -7 169.500    8.800 +1 16.200  146.700   14.100 11.100+48 24.900 144.400 GW Bump
9   9.500 -9 186.700    6.700-24 22.200  167.100 15.800  7.200-36 23.000  167.400 Summer/GW-Over
10  8.400-11 202.000    6.800 +1 15.100  182.200     6.000  7.900+10 13.900  181.300 Leg battle!
11  7.700 -9 215.700    6.400 -6 13.100 195.300     6.150  6.850-13 13.100  194.300
12  6.600-14 227.400    5.000-20 12.500  207.800     6.150  7.450 +9 13.600 207.900 Actual
13  6.000 -9 237.000    4.300-14 11.000  218.800     5.700  6.600    12.300  219.900 Oct/June Est
14  4.600-24 244.700    3.900 -9  6.500  225.300     5.100  6.000    11.100  231.000
15  4.303 -7 250.600    2.600-33  4.400  229.700     4.600  5.400    10.000  241.000
16  4.000 -4 256.000    2.600 -0  4.700  234.400     4.100  4.900     9.000  250.000
17  3.700 -9 261.100    3.200+22  5.900  240.300     3.700  4.400     8.100  258.100 Nov/July
18  3.800 +1 266.000    2.900-10  5.900  242.200     3.300  4.000     7.300  265.400
19  3.300-12 270.600    1.900-34  3.900  250.100     6.000  3.600     9.600  275.000 Smmr bump or dvd crash
20  3.200 -2 274.800    1.800 -6 3.200  253.300     5.400  3.200     8.600  283.600 
21  2.800-15 278.600    2.500+35  3.800  257.100     4.900  2.900     7.800  290.400 December SA
22  3.099+10 282.600    1.500-40  3.200 260.200     4.400  2.600     7.000  297.400
23  2.940 -3 286.700    1.100-27  2.100 262.300     6.800  3.200    10.000  307.400 Obon Bump FR
24  2.880 -2 290.300                                 3.300  2.300     5.600  313.400  
25  4.000+38 296.000                                 2.900  2.100     5.000  318.400
26  2.400-40 299.000                                 2.700  1.800     4.500  322.900
27  2.000-14 301.500                                 2.400  1.700     4.100  327.000
28  2.600+27 305.000                                 2.200  1.500     3.700  330.700 Summer Over
42  Ext Run  359.000     Extended Run    294.000     Extended Run            360.000+ ???  
 
Its holding tighter than either of them. The only real drops were after bumps. only down 15% from week 2. ET down 45% and SA down 61% from weekend two. The weekly average drop is just 2% from week 5 after spring break. It was off to a smaller start but its now gaining on both of them.
As it continues to hold near flat the number are exploding down the road as the summer midweeks and Obon amplify.

Edited June 2, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[Quigley]

At this point, the only chance Frozen has at $300m is if the average for every week from now on is around $15m, meaning interest needs to remain very high. Maybe $280m is more realistic? Avatar still made $23m after the video release, so Frozen can still get over Spirited Away after it comes out on dvd if it gets that close.

 

What everyone is forgetting is that the DVD release won't cause such an abrupt fall in earnings as it did in NA. With $280M by July 16, I still think there are chances it gets to $315M. Let's hope the dollar falls a bit so that Frozen can at least surpass HP7:P2 worlwide (in dollars), even if it doesn't surpass SA in Japan (in yen).

[Quigley]

I don't know if there are any other holidays in June, but assuming there aren't, I think we can finally expect that Frozen will start declining at a steady pace from now on (until July 16). Am I right?

[catlover]

 

Of course we wouldn't have to worry about this nonsense if Disney delays the video release by at least a month or two like any sane company would. The reviewers over at the Frozen bluray page at Amazon Japan are trashing the hell out of Frozen with low ratings (they are already complaining about the high price), which is pissing me off.

 

http://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B00DTLG7MC/

http://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B00KFC0GWA/

 

Of course they're complaining about the high price, it's $45! The second link is over $60!

 

But the first one is DVD + BluRay + digital copy. And the second one is all three + 3D BluRay. A DVD normally costs at least 3000 yen. So they're actually not expensive for Japan standard, and for those who want all of them. I think people are complaining about how they don't need all formats in one set. They want DVD only, or BluRay only, so they can buy it in much cheaper price.

[Quigley]

Well, if the price is so unaffordably high, in a way, that is good for the box office sales.

[Olive]

DOFP grossed 352.8M  yen in 3 days OW.

[BadAtGender]

The multipliers have been working well.Sat over sat, both toho and TMK1 were down 10% thats 2.7mTohox is 57.5 for a discount day. 5.4mTMK1 is 32.75. 5.74meither the thursday number was wrong. I thought it was high. the multiplers were low for mon thru thur or aeon drop a lot of seats for the weekend

 

Well, one thing we don't know is the distribution of theaters within Japan, other than the fact that Toho tends to be more urban, right?

 

So, hypothetically, we've got the discount affects everyone day coming in on the first of the month, which also happens to be a Sunday, the biggest movie going day of the week. It hasn't happened in Frozen's run before (and, in fact, won't happen again unless it's still playing next February/March). That's going to play with the demographics of the audience in ways we haven't seen before, and can cause unexpected things. It's possible some of the theaters we don't have information on got less of a benefit than the ones we do, in this situation.

[Rudolf]

What is the problem with DVD/Bluray-sales hurting the BO?

The english HD pirated Copies are long out in the Internet. The expensive Japanese Blurays wont hurt the busines with families watching Frozen for the first time in cinemas.

The repeat busines in Japan is minimal (the same with Japanese tourists: they only come once to Vienna. Always different people, who want to see Mozart's tomb)

[Incarnadine]

I don't know if there are any other holidays in June, but assuming there aren't, I think we can finally expect that Frozen will start declining at a steady pace from now on (until July 16). Am I right?

You would think so, but this is Frozen. All you have to do is look at the 10th weekend where it had the unexpected +10% increase. There were no holidays or discounts and it even shed a few seats from the previous week, but it somehow increased.

Even with the Sunday discount this weekend  I don't think anyone was expecting anything better than a flat weekend until the pre-sales started trickling in, but we ended up with another increase.

When it comes to Frozen in Japan there really is no precedent, it's just not behaving like any other movie before it, not even the previous mega blockbusters. We are in completely uncharted territory now, and I'm loving every minute of it.

[mfantin65]

Well, if the price is so unaffordably high, in a way, that is good for the box office sales.

I think its the rentals that ultimately kill it. $5 for 3 people vs  $40 at theater plus snacks, 45 to buy bluray

do they hold off on renting/vod in japan?

Edited June 2, 2014 by T E Lawrence

[Ajipon]

 

Monday 6/2 Admissions [10:00pm 4 chains combined ranking ]

 

　*1　*37017　アナと雪の女王 (FROZEN)

　*2　**8898　Ｘ－ＭＥＮ：フューチャー＆パスト (DOFP)

　*3　**7111　ＭＯＮＳＴＥＲＺ モンスターズ

　*4　**5144　万能鑑定士Ｑ －モナ・リザの瞳－

　*5　**4669　青天の霹靂

　*6　**4411　テルマエ・ロマエⅡ

　*7　**3026　名探偵コナン２０１４ 異次元の…

　*8　**2079　闇金ウシジマくん２

　*9　**2016　アメイジング・スパイダーマン２ (TASM2)

　10　**1477　機動戦士ガンダムＵＣ（ユニコー…

 

   Last wk          today

[  41284------37017 ] -10% 

 

 

*Frozen estimate -  $1.3m-1.5m

 

*DOFP estimate - $0.35-0.4m

 

 

 

* Monday [ 4 chains total admissions ]

wk-10...23297

wk-11...26148

wk-12...41284

Today...37017 

 

 

*Toho Monday admissions

wk-2...19967

wk-6...20665

wk-7...14202

wk-10..12496

wk-11..14312

wk-12..22227

Today..19587 -12%

 

This Monday Frozen drops 10% from last Monday. But I thought last Monday was a special one-off case due to the Saturday being some kind of sports day? Doesn't this mean that it's holding super strong this Monday? Any reason this is the case, or am I reading this wrong and in need of correction?

[Omni]

Is it so hard to call The Walt Disney Company? These letters will get lost in the shuffle, we need to talk to a big boss.

I don't know what to do from the old world.

[rhfqkddl45]

This Monday Frozen drops 10% from last Monday. But I thought last Monday was a special one-off case due to the Saturday being some kind of sports day? Doesn't this mean that it's holding super strong this Monday? Any reason this is the case, or am I reading this wrong and in need of correction?

 

LABAS said : Today is another day off for some students due to the sports day last Saturday..