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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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It's unfortunately not unexpected.  There was talk that the studio would stop making films after Ponyo, but the company decided to proceed with their 5-year plan in which two films would be made by the new blood, and two films by the co-founders.  It was speculated they'd stop producing films at this point, but then Memories of Marnie was announced.

 

 It'll be interesting to see if this announcement will affect the box-office of Memories of Marnie, seeing as how it's the last time anyone will see a Studio Ghibli film in theaters again.

 

Studio Ghibli employees work year-round, almost every day, making films, and their films are the most-expensive to produce in Japan.  The budgets for their last few films have been rumored to be as much as 5 billion ($50 million), which is almost impossible to make any profit on.  Even The Wind Rises, which earned over 12 billion ($123 million), still hasn't turned profit.  

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It's unfortunately not unexpected. There was talk that the studio would stop making films after Ponyo, but the company decided to proceed with their 5-year plan in which two films would be made by the new blood, and two films by the co-founders. It was speculated they'd stop producing films at this point, but then Memories of Marnie was announced. It'll be interesting to see if this announcement will affect the box-office of Memories of Marnie, seeing as how it's the last time anyone will see a Studio Ghibli film in theaters again.Studio Ghibli employees work year-round, almost every day, making films, and their films are the most-expensive to produce in Japan. The budgets for their last few films have been rumored to be as much as 5 billion ($50 million), which is almost impossible to make any profit on. Even The Wind Rises, which earned over 12 billion ($123 million), still hasn't turned profit.

Why don't they release them in China? They could make a lot of $$$ there.
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Weekend Estimates (08/02-03)
 
01 (--) ¥647 million ($6.3 million), 0, ¥860 million ($8.4 million), Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.) DEBUT
02 (01) ¥317 million ($3.0 million), -38%, ¥1.48 billion ($14.5 million), Godzilla (Toho) Week 2
03 (02) ¥222 million ($2.1 million), -26%, ¥4.55 billion ($44.8 million), Maleficent (Disney) Week 5
04 (03) ¥185 million ($1.7 million), -16%, ¥1.42 billion ($13.9 million), Memories of Marnie (Toho) Week 3
05 (04) ¥170 million ($1.6 million), -15%, ¥1.40 billion ($13.6 million), Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho) Week 3
06 (06) ¥61 million ($0.6 million), -26%, ¥520 million ($5.0 million), Kamen Rider Gaim the Movie: The Great Soccer Match! (Toei) Week 3
07 (05) ¥54 million ($0.5 million), -57%, ¥300 million ($2.9 million), Eight Ranger 2 (Toho) Week 2
08 (07) ¥50 million ($0.4 million), -25%, ¥750 million ($7.3 million), Say, "I Love You" (Shochiku) Week 4
09 (08) ¥37 million ($0.3 million), -33%, ¥1.47 billion ($14.3 million), Edge of Tomorrow (Warner Bros.) Week 5
10 (10) ¥32 million ($0.3 million), -29%, ¥310 million ($3.0 million), Planes: Fire & Rescue (Disney) Week 3
 
>That's huge for Rurouni Kenshin 2.  Its chance at reaching ¥5 billion ($50 million) are becoming more likely, which is pretty insane, as that'll rank it among the highest-grossing local non-Toho live-action films of all-time.  And this is just Part 1 of the sequel.  Part 2 opens in 7 weeks.  
 
>Godzilla has a decent second weekend hold and should reach ¥3 billion ($30 million) or slightly more.
 
>Maleficent is still doing well and remains the strong favorite to win the Summer with ¥6-6.5 billion ($60-65 million).
 
>Memories of Marnie has an excellent third weekend hold after a rough second week.  It's still likely to earn ¥3.5-4 billion ($35-40 million), but with the announcement of Studio Ghibli's closure, it may receive a box-office boost since it's the last time audiences will see a Ghibli film in theaters.  
Edited by Corpse
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It's unfortunately not unexpected.  There was talk that the studio would stop making films after Ponyo, but the company decided to proceed with their 5-year plan in which two films would be made by the new blood, and two films by the co-founders.  It was speculated they'd stop producing films at this point, but then Memories of Marnie was announced.

 

 It'll be interesting to see if this announcement will affect the box-office of Memories of Marnie, seeing as how it's the last time anyone will see a Studio Ghibli film in theaters again.

 

Studio Ghibli employees work year-round, almost every day, making films, and their films are the most-expensive to produce in Japan.  The budgets for their last few films have been rumored to be as much as 5 billion ($50 million), which is almost impossible to make any profit on.  Even The Wind Rises, which earned over 12 billion ($123 million), still hasn't turned profit.  

 

Is it likely that the employees will end up elsewhere in the industry? Perhaps we'll see a number of Ghibli-esque films (much the same as Trigger does things that are Gainax-esque.)

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Weekend Estimates (08/02-03)

 

01 (--) ¥647 million ($6.3 million), 0, ¥860 million ($8.4 million), Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.) DEBUT

02 (01) ¥317 million ($3.0 million), -38%, ¥1.48 billion ($14.5 million), Godzilla (Toho) Week 2

03 (02) ¥222 million ($2.1 million), -26%, ¥4.55 billion ($44.8 million), Maleficent (Disney) Week 5

04 (03) ¥185 million ($1.7 million), -16%, ¥1.42 billion ($13.9 million), Memories of Marnie (Toho) Week 3

05 (04) ¥170 million ($1.6 million), -15%, ¥1.40 billion ($13.6 million), Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho) Week 3

06 (06) ¥61 million ($0.6 million), -26%, ¥520 million ($5.0 million), Kamen Rider Gaim the Movie: The Great Soccer Match! (Toei) Week 3

07 (05) ¥54 million ($0.5 million), -57%, ¥300 million ($2.9 million), Eight Ranger 2 (Toho) Week 2

08 (07) ¥50 million ($0.4 million), -25%, ¥750 million ($7.3 million), Say, "I Love You" (Shochiku) Week 4

09 (08) ¥37 million ($0.3 million), -33%, ¥1.47 billion ($14.3 million), Edge of Tomorrow (Warner Bros.) Week 5

10 (10) ¥32 million ($0.3 million), -29%, ¥310 million ($3.0 million), Planes: Fire & Rescue (Disney) Week 3

 

>That's huge for Rurouni Kenshin 2.  Its chance at reaching ¥5 billion ($50 million) are becoming more likely, which is pretty insane, as that'll rank it among the highest-grossing local non-Toho live-action films of all-time.  And this is just Part 1 of the sequel.  Part 2 opens in 7 weeks.  

 

>Godzilla has a decent second weekend hold and should reach ¥3 billion ($30 million) or slightly more.

 

>Maleficent is still doing well and remains the strong favorite to win the Summer with ¥6-6.5 billion ($60-65 million).

 

>Memories of Marnie has an excellent third weekend hold after a rough second week.  It's still likely to earn ¥3.5-4 billion ($35-40 million), but with the announcement of Studio Ghibli's closure, it may receive a box-office boost since it's the last time audiences will see a Ghibli film in theaters.

Thank you Corpse.
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Studio Ghibli employees work year-round, almost every day, making films, and their films are the most-expensive to produce in Japan.  The budgets for their last few films have been rumored to be as much as 5 billion ($50 million), which is almost impossible to make any profit on.  Even The Wind Rises, which earned over 12 billion ($123 million), still hasn't turned profit.  

How can The Wind Rises still not have made a profit? Is the $30m budget on Wikipedia completely wrong? :blink:

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wind_Rises

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wait, godzilla almost doubled marnie's weekend number and has already passed it in gross. But you think marnie will beat it by 10M in gross!!. I guess Godzilla will continue to drop 40%+ week over week while marnie will drop in teens.

Marnie will remain even or increase over the next couple weeks.  Yesterday was already bigger than last Monday.

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And sort of a false alarm regarding Studio Ghibli. They are halting film production and going on hiatus to discuss where to take the studio from here, but it may not be forever.

I hope it was a publicity stunt so Marnie can do better at the Box-office. I'm praying it's just that.
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Weekend Ranking [08/02-03]
 
Posted Image
 
01 (--) Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.) DEBUT
02 (01) Godzilla (Toho) Week 2
03 (02) Maleficent (Disney) Week 5
04 (03) Memories of Marnie (Toho) Week 3
05 (04) Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho) Week 3
06 (06) Kamen Rider Gaim the Movie: The Great Soccer Match! (Toei) Week 3
07 (07) Say, "I Love You" (Shochiku) Week 4
08 (05) Eight Ranger 2 (Toho) Week 2
09 (10) Planes: Fire & Rescue (Disney) Week 3
10 (08) Edge of Tomorrow (Warner Bros.) Week 5
 
>Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc delivered the biggest-opening for a local live-action film since 2012's Bayside Shakedown: The Final.
 
The first half of the two part sequel opened to ¥592,235,030 ($5.8 million) with 433,346 admissions on 439 screens.  This is a 48% increase over the opening of the first film, and the biggest-opening for Warner Bros. since Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 in 2011.  
 
After 3-days in release, Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc earned a huge ¥822,734,430 ($8.0 million) with 645,086 admissions.  A total of ¥4-5 billion ($40-50 million) and 3-4 million admissions is likely.  
 
>Godzilla held quite well in its second weekend, dropping just 33% to gross ¥343,383,000 ($3.3 million) with 227,594 admissions.  After 10-days in release, the film has exceeded ¥1.5 billion ($15 million) and 1 million admissions.  There should be nothing from stopping the film from reaching ¥3 billion+ ($30 million+) now.  
 
>Memories of Marnie begins to show its staying power, dipping only 17% during its third weekend.  Pokemon XY also held really well, dropping a mere 16% in its third weekend.  Both holds are encouraging after disappointing starts as Obon Week draws closer.
 
>Frozen wasn't able to resurface back in the Top 10, but remained steady in 11th place.  After 21 weeks, it's now earned ¥25.30 billion ($248.2 million) and 19.92 million admissions.
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Top Opening Weekends - 2014
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [screens] - Film (Distributor)
 
¥1 billion ↨
¥789.3 million ($7.8 million) / 649,865 [341] - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho)
¥763.4 million ($7.5 million) / 602,347 [598] - Frozen (Disney)
¥691.7 million ($6.8 million) / 500,837 [643] - Maleficent (Disney)
¥649.8 million ($6.4 million) / 539,132 [329] - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (Toho)
¥600.4 million ($5.9 million) / 530,554 [361] - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho)
¥592.2 million ($5.8 million) / 433,346 [439] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.)
¥542.3 million ($5.3 million) / 429,918 [430] - The Eternal Zero (Toho)
¥508.4 million ($5.0 million) / 339,048 [427] - Godzilla (Toho)
¥500 million ↨
¥491.3 million ($4.8 million) / 365,356 [434] - Thermae Romae II (Toho)
¥420.3 million ($4.1 million) / 272,703 [761] - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony)
¥393.3 million ($3.9 million) / 360,190 [357] - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (Toho)
¥378.9 million ($3.7 million) / 285,234 [461] - Memories of Marnie (Toho)
¥338.9 million ($3.3 million) / 294,599 [329] - Crayon Shin-chan: Serious Battle! Robot Dad Strikes (Toho)
¥331.7 million ($3.2 million) / 246,099 [314] - Trick: The Last Stage (Toho)
¥313.3 million ($3.1 million) / 244,577 [681] - The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Warner Bros.)
¥302.8 million ($3.0 million) / 197,006 [549] - Gravity (Warner Bros.)
¥300 million ↨
¥294.0 million ($2.9 million) / 216,929 [307] - Crows: Explode (Toho)
¥284.3 million ($2.9 million) / 222,822 [456] - The Tale of Princess Kaguya (Toho)
¥282.2 million ($2.8 million) / 209,935 [293] - The Mole Song: Undercover Agent Reiji (Toho)
¥276.1 million ($2.7 million) / 246,094 [311] - I Want to Hold You (Toho)
¥274.5 million ($2.7 million) / 212,534 [334] - Partners the Movie 3 (Toei)
¥272.5 million ($2.7 million) / 207,475 [648] - X-Men: Days of Future Past (Fox)
¥263.2 million ($2.6 million) / 222,265 [292] - Heisei Rider vs. Showa Rider: Kamen Rider Taisen feat. Super Sentai (Toei)
¥259.1 million ($2.5 million) / 172,211 [632] - Edge of Tomorrow (Warner Bros.)
¥255.0 million ($2.5 million) / 200,321 [361] - Noah (Paramount)
¥223.5 million ($2.2 million) / 196,252 [284] - Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Gaim & Wizard (Toei)
¥200.9 million ($2.0 million) / 160,528 [251] - Mission Impossible: Samurai (Shochiku)
¥200 million ↨
¥198.4 million ($1.9 million) / 142,236 [488] - Captain America: The Winter Soldier (Disney)
¥194.4 million ($1.9 million) / 162,522 [327] - Monsterz (Warner Bros.)
¥192.6 million ($1.9 million) / 172,278 [210] - Pretty Cure All Stars: New Stage 3 (Toei)
¥187.1 million ($1.8 million) / 144,456 [627] - Thor: The Dark World (Disney)
¥180.5 million ($1.8 million) / 167,300 [408] - Red 2 (Disney)
¥179.9 million ($1.7 million) / 130,898 [300] - A Bolt from the Blue (Toho)
¥169.8 million ($1.6 million) / 138,528 [309] - Kamen Rider Gaim the Movie: The Great Soccer Match! (Toei)
¥167.9 million ($1.6 million) / 146,160 [242] - The Wolf of Wall Street (Paramount)
¥166.5 million ($1.6 million) / 113,178 [575] - Enchanted Kingdom 3D (Toho-Towa)
¥164.0 million ($1.6 million) / 135,797 [284] - The Liar and His Lover (Toho)
¥163.6 million ($1.6 million) / 124,755 [305] - The Snow White Murder Case (Shochiku)
¥160.3 million ($1.5 million) / 133,344 [300] - The Escape Plan (Gaga)
¥159.6 million ($1.5 million) / 135,801 [246] - Say, "I Love You" (Shochiku)
¥157.9 million ($1.5 million) / 123,795 [258] - Hunter X Hunter: The Final Mission (Toho)
¥157.1 million ($1.5 million) / 98,208 [35] - Mobile Suit Gundam UC: Episode 7 - Over the Rainbow (Shochiku)
¥155.4 million ($1.5 million) / 123,007 [282] - Team Batista: Kerberos's Final Portrait (Toho)
¥154.9 million ($1.5 million) / 129,043 [435] - Planes (Disney)
¥149.9 million ($1.5 million) / 81,262 [39] - THE IDOLM@STER MOVIE (Aniplex)
¥149.7 million ($1.4 million) / 127,427 [271] - My Little Nightmare (Toho)
¥147.5 million ($1.4 million) / 112,880 [594] - The Secret Life of Walter Mitty (Fox)
¥145.6 million ($1.4 million) / 116,253 [327] - Black Butler (Warner Bros.)
¥140.1 million ($1.3 million) / 119,558 [300] - All-Around Appraiser Q: Mona Lisa's Eye (Toho)
¥134.0 million ($1.3 million) / 133,243 [304] - Zyuden Sentai Kyoryuger Vs. Go-Busters: The Great Dinosaur Battle! (Toei)
¥132.9 million ($1.3 million) / 89,175 [156] - Ushijima the Loan Shark 2 (Toho)
¥130.5 million ($1.3 million) / 73,716 [94] - Tiger & Bunny: The Rising (Shochiku)
¥126.7 million ($1.2 million) / 116,857 [281] - Kiki's Delivery Service (Toei)
¥124.7 million ($1.2 million) / 93,633 [160] - Eight Ranger 2 (Toho)
¥123.4 million ($1.2 million) / 112,798 [471] - Captain Phillips (Sony)
¥122.8 million ($1.2 million) / 112,823 [314] - The Little House (Shochiku)
¥121.1 million ($1.2 million) / 98,956 [285] - Silver Spoon (Toho)
¥120.7 million ($1.2 million) / 91,492 [600] - Walking with Dinosaurs (Fox)
¥117.9 million ($1.1 million) / 85,845 [535] - Transcendence (Shochiku/Pony Canyon)
¥112.9 million ($1.1 million) / 92,752 [333] - Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit (Paramount)
¥112.3 million ($1.1 million) / 83,420 [303] - Thirst (Gaga)
¥109.2 million ($1.1 million) / 85,074 [138] - Kamen Teacher (Showgate)
¥107.0 million ($1.0 million) / 81,862 [310] - Wood Job! (Toho)
¥105.3 million ($1.0 million) / 77,894 [753] - 47 Ronin (Toho-Towa)
¥100.8 million ($1.0 million) / 78,054 [308] - RoboCop (Sony)
¥100 million ↨
Edited by Corpse
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Is anything likely to open to 1b this year?

Very doubtful.  

 

Only candidates are... Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Sept. 13th), Parasyte Beast Part 1 (Nov. 29th) / Yokai Watch (Dec. 20th) / Big Hero 6 (Dec. 20th).  But all of these are probably just likely 500 million+ contenders in the end.  

 

I don't think this weekend's Stand By Me, Doraemon has any chance of opening to 1 billion, but it's noticeably stronger online than any other Doraemon film by huge margins.  But that may just be because it's the first 3D film in the series.  

 

2015 has... Dragon Ball Z (April/May), but only if there's a free giveaway / 2 Attack on Titan films (July/August) have potential / Star Wars Episode VII (Dec.) is likely, but I think it's getting delayed? / Maybe a film by Mamoru Hosoda, but nothing has been announced yet / And a new One Piece film if one gets released (Dec. 2015 would follow the trend) / And finally the final Evangelion 4.0 would probably do it if it's released.  

Edited by Corpse
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