JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[edroger3]

Hope psycho pass movie does well, I want a season 3

33540 Toho admissions in two days. About 1,7M$

[edroger3]

Sunday

 

         BH6      YoKai    Taken 3 Sin City 2
Day 21   44.881   33.334   9.354   3.443
Vs LD    49,88%   53,97%  10,20%   3,27%
Vs LW    -3,48%   -2,50%
  
Toho Cume  
BH6       YoKai       Taken 3  Sin City 2
809.502   1.055.085   23.303   6.777
  
Total Admissions (estimate)  
BH6         YoKai       Taken 3   Sin City 2
4.298.456   5.486.442   121.176   35.240
  
Total Gross (estimate)  
BH6      YoKai    Taken 3 Sin City 2
M$44,12  M$51,38  M$1,30  M$0,38

 

Estimate weekend:

 

BH6 4,08M$

Yokai 2,67M$

 

Great sunday for BH6, could be a +4M$ weekend. Yokai could have passed 50M$

[Olive]

BH6 Sunday only down 15% from last Sunday. 

[Mojoguy]

Corpse

 

Weekend Estimates (01/10-11)

01 (01) ¥478 million ($4.1 million), -28%, ¥5.20 billion ($44.1 million), Big Hero 6 (Disney) Week 4
02 (02) ¥349 million ($3.0 million), -31%, ¥6.15 billion ($52.2 million), Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho) Week 4
03 (--) ¥191 million ($1.6 million), 0, ST MPD: Scientific Investigation Squad (Toho) NEW
04 (--) ¥170 million ($1.4 million), 0, ¥230 million ($1.9 million), Psycho-Pass: The Movie (Toho Video Division) NEW
05 (--) ¥103 million ($875,000), 0, ¥130 million ($1.1 million), Taken 3 (Fox) NEW
05 (03) ¥59 million ($495,000), -55%, ¥960 million ($8.2 million), The Vancouver Asahi (Toho) Week 4
07 (04) ¥58 million ($490,000), -45%, ¥1.57 billion ($13.4 million), Ao Haru Ride (Toho) Week 5
08 (05) ¥48 million ($405,000), -45%, ¥1.39 billion ($11.8 million), The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (Warner Bros.) Week 5
09 (08) ¥38 million ($320,000), -36%, ¥910 million ($7.7 million), Gone Girl (Fox) Week 5
10 (--) ¥36 million ($305,000), 0, ¥36 million ($305,000), Sin City: A Dame to Kill For (Gaga) NEW
11 (07) ¥29 million ($245,000), -54%, ¥1.81 billion ($15.4 million), The Last: Naruto the Movie (Toho) Week 6
12 (06) ¥27 million ($225,000), -62%, ¥1.82 billion ($15.5 million), Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) Week 7

>Big Hero 6 delivered a much better hold than most animated films post-New Year, which typically fall around 35/40%. If the estimate holds, it has a decent shot at ¥7.5/8.0 billion ($65/70 million).

>Yo-Kai Watch also had a slightly better than expected hold, and this is a possible sign that it won't completely fall apart now that school is back in session. Its weekday business will be dreadful, like any film that skews very young, but its weekends look like they'll stay strong. It still has a chance of reaching ¥7.5 billion ($65 million+).

>ST will need to be pretty underestimated, or a much higher than expected avg. ticket price to have made ¥200 million over the weekend. It's still a decent opening, though, and a total of ¥1 billion is possible.

>Psycho-Pass saw a bit of a hefty Sunday drop, but still performed very, very well. It's only playing on 103 screens, barely wide, so the estimate has a lot of room for error. There is also the chance that its avg. ticket price will be quite high, so maybe it'll come in above ST for the weekend.

>Taken 3 has the worst opening in the franchise, and if the estimate holds up, it's even lower than last year's Non-Stop.

>The big drops for Parasyte Part 1 and Naruto makes achieving the ¥2 billion milestone even more difficult.

Monday is a National Holiday (Coming of Age Day), so weekend results won't be available until Tuesday.

[edroger3]

Monday

 

         BH6      YoKai  Taken 3 Sin City 2
Day 21   45.133   27.233   7.398   2.746
Vs LD     0,56%  -18,30% -20,91% -20,24%
Vs LW    60,95%    4,70% 
   
Toho Cume   
  BH6       YoKai       Taken 3  Sin City 2
  854.635   1.082.318   30.701   9.523
   
Total Admissions (estimate)   
  BH6         YoKai       Taken 3   Sin City 2
  4.538.112   5.628.054   159.645   49.520
   
Total Gross M$(estimate)   
  BH6      YoKai    Taken 3 Sin City 2
  $46,58   $52,71   $1,72   $0,53

 

Holiday monday very good for BH6, it will pass 5 millions admissions in next few days, outpacing by far all other Disney animated movies (that don't have two sisters and a snowman as leading characters).

[Olive]

BH6 should pass 5.5B yen after holiday Monday. or  more than $46M 

BH6 cume as of Holiday Monday: 4.525 mil admissions, 5.724 billion yen(around $48.2M)

Edited January 13, 2015 by Sorcerer Supreme

[druv10]

BH6 cume as of Holiday Monday: 4.525 mil admissions, 5.724 billion yen(around $48.2M)

Is 70M possible? if not where do you see it finishing?

[Fullbuster]

Monday

 

         BH6      YoKai  Taken 3 Sin City 2

Day 21   45.133   27.233   7.398   2.746

Vs LD     0,56%  -18,30% -20,91% -20,24%

Vs LW    60,95%    4,70% 

   

Toho Cume   

  BH6       YoKai       Taken 3  Sin City 2

  854.635   1.082.318   30.701   9.523

   

Total Admissions (estimate)   

  BH6         YoKai       Taken 3   Sin City 2

  4.538.112   5.628.054   159.645   49.520

   

Total Gross M$(estimate)   

  BH6      YoKai    Taken 3 Sin City 2

  $46,58   $52,71   $1,72   $0,53

 

Holiday monday very good for BH6, it will pass 5 millions admissions in next few days, outpacing by far all other Disney animated movies (that don't have two sisters and a snowman as leading characters).

 

In terms of $ BH6 is closing the gap with Yokai relatively fast

[Olive]

Is 70M possible? if not where do you see it finishing?

Corpse predicts 7.5-8.0 billion yen, I agree with him.

[catlover]

Yeah, especially Yokai. 5.4 billion yen already. It could actually get to 7b. If it does, it will be harder for BH6 to pass Yokai's total, but BH6 will get 6b+ I think.

 

 

LOL it's already at 5.7b yen and will soon cross 6b. That's like what, 1.6b yen (around $14m) in 8 days? Seriously, I'm loving BH6's run so far. 8b yen total would be much better than I expected. With that number It could be the #1 movie of 2015. Although I hope there will be a 10b+ movie in 2015.

 

Taken 3 is disappointing. It looks like male-centric action movies are dying in Japan. I'm worried about TA2 and SW7.

[Olive]

Yokai Watch  - 6.54B total yen to date.

[lab276]

Yokai Watch  - 6.54B total yen to date.

How much did BH6 and YKW have by the end of 2014?

[edroger3]

Tuesday

 

         BH6     YoKai
Day 21   5.406   1.281
Vs LD  -88,02% -95,30%
Vs LW  -77,10% -93,52%
 
Toho Cume 
  BH6       YoKai
  860.041   1.083.599
 
Total Admissions (estimate) 
  BH6         YoKai
  4.566.818   5.634.715
 
Total Gross (estimate) 
  BH6      YoKai
  $48,51   $54,40

 

My Toho multiplier for BH6 worked very well for admissions (+ 0,03%) and a bit low for gross in $ (-3,4%) so the new multi is 56,4X.

 

However, in day 25, for the first time in forever BH6 had four-chains admissions under (or near) 10000. (for "You know who"  this happened in day 91). Despite this I think BH6 is still able to 1)outpace Yokai gross within next two or three weeks and 2)reach 8 billion yen at the end of its run.

[TheseDays]

Lots of young women across Japan buying advance tickets for the Cinderella movie. Apparently, you get some cutesy charm when you book early.

[Olive]

How much did BH6 and YKW have by the end of 2014?

New Years day was Thursday, Japan don't report daily weekday numbers.

[lab276]

New Years day was Thursday, Japan don't report daily weekday numbers.

What were they by Friday?

Edited January 13, 2015 by lab276

[Olive]

What were they by Friday?

 

 

Weekend Actuals Jan. 3- 4

Yokai Watch  -  506.2M yen or $4.2M - 0.431M admissions

BH6 - 665.4M yen or $5.54M -  0.505M admissions

 

Numbers as of Sunday Jan. 4th

Yokai Watch  -  5.424 billion yen or $45.1M -  4.91M admissions

BH6 - 4.145 billion yen or $34.5M - 3.26M admissions

 

Only numbers  up to Sunday the 4th were reported

[lab276]

Only numbers  up to Sunday the 4th were reported

Thanks, that's close enough. So BH6 had just under 3.48b, YKW had just under 4.9b.

[Olive]

BH6 will beat YW eventually.

[Olive]

Weekend Ranking (01/10-11)

01 (01) Big Hero 6 (Disney) Week 4
02 (02) Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho) Week 4
03 (--) ST: Scientific Investigation Squad (Toho) DEBUT
04 (--) Psycho-Pass: The Movie (Toho Video Division) DEBUT
05 (--) Taken 3 (Fox) DEBUT
06 (03) The Vancouver Asahi (Toho) Week 4
07 (04) Ao Haru Ride (Toho) Week 5
08 (05) The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (Warner Bros.) Week 5
09 (08) Gone Girl (Fox) Week 5
10 (06) Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) Week 7

>Big Hero 6 wins its second-consecutive week atop the box-office, while delivering a very impressive post-New Year weekend.

Disney's latest earned ¥546,088,800 ($4.6 million) with 413,230 admissions, down just 18% compared to last weekend. After four weeks in release, including Monday, it's now grossed ¥5.72 billion ($48.6 million) with 4.50 million admissions.

It has become Disney Animation's second biggest film ever, and if it keeps up this pace, it's likely to exceed ¥8 billion ($70 million+) and could make a play at possibly ¥10 billion ($85/90 million).< 

>Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! holds strong in second place, and is still ahead of Big Hero 6 thanks to it's record opening week, though it should be overtaken by the end of January.

After four weeks, including Monday, it has reached a total of ¥6.54 billion ($55.6 million) with 5.93 million admissions. It's now ¥1 billion and 610,000 admissions away from overtaking the highest-grossing Pokemon film, further cementing the franchise's place as Pokemon's successor in Japan. It has surpassed Pokemon's recent merchandise sales, video game sales and TV ratings, so this was the final hurtle. Nothing before Yo-Kai Watch has been able to upset Pokemon across all mediums.

It's also looking pretty good at reaching ¥8 billion ($70 million) at this point, which will put it over 7 million admissions and should rank it inside the Top 40 most-attended films ever.< 

>ST: Scientific Investigation Squad was the weekend's top debut, taking in ¥200,342,500 ($1.7 million) with 153,767 admissions over the weekend, and exceeded ¥300 million ($2.5 million) on Monday. The debut is sold enough, and it'll become 2015's first ¥1 billion earner.<

>Psycho-Pass had a very impressive debut, playing on just 103 screens. It grossed ¥136,899,100 ($1.2 million) with 93,164 admissions over the weekend. This is much lower than estimates, but the near-limited release makes it hard to project these films. It'll probably be a bit frontloaded, but shouldn't have a problem reaching ¥500 million ($4/4.5 million).<

>Taken 3 came in above estimates, grossing ¥120,666,200 ($1.0 million) with 93,101 admissions on 353 screens. This debut is nearly identical to Non-Stop's (1,149 admission difference) last year. If it behaves like that one though, it'll have poor legs and just cross the ¥400 million ($3/3.5 million) mark.<

>Sin City: A Dame to Kill For missed the Top 10 in its debut, ranking 12th over the weekend. No figures have been released for it yet, however.<