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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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5 hours ago, Foul01 said:

Some good news to start the day.

 

With exception of the Golden Week (Week 2),

The ticket sales for the past Saturday to Wednesday has been the highest so far in Japan.

Only Sunday isn't the highest, but even then the gap was less than 600 tickets.

 

  Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday
Week 4 98516 113491 26061 16494 31937
Week 1 95546 114071 25171 14844 27452
Week 3 83395 88132 20070 15900 30675

 

Data of today compared to previous weeks.

 

 

At 14:30 All Day Percentage of Before 14:30
Week 1   6,134   20,364 30%
Week 2 91,355 138,633 66%
Week 3   4,612   14,144 33%
Week 4   5,477 17,600 (estimate)  

 

Numbers are not quite as impressive as the previous 5 days 

This is probably due to tomorrow being a discount day and the Thursday of Week 1 being the day just before the start of the Golden Week holidays

Edited by Foul01
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3 hours ago, Foul01 said:

 

Data of today compared to previous weeks.

 

 

At 14:30 All Day Percentage of Before 14:30
Week 1   6,134   20,364 30%
Week 2 91,355 138,633 66%
Week 3   4,612   14,144 33%
Week 4   5,477 17,600 (estimate)  

 

Numbers are not quite as impressive as the previous 5 days 

This is probably due to tomorrow being a discount day and the Thursday of Week 1 being the day just before the start of the Golden Week holidays

 

19:00 numbers are in.

 

  At 14:30 At 19:00 All Day Percentage of Before 19:00
Week 1  6,134  15,227   20,364 75%
Week 2 91,355 13,4052 138,633 97%
Week 3   4,612  11,862   14,144 84%
Week 4   5,477  13,064 15,500 (estimate)

 

 

 

Considering that Thursday of Week 1 is right before a holiday, it would make sense more people are willing to watch a movie at a later time.

So the percentage of "before 19:00" for today should be closer to Week 3's 84%

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37 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

It's staying positive for the week as expected. The important thing is Saturdays hold. If it it's close to flat again you can bump the baseline up to $60m with a whole lot more potential

I'm expecting an increase from last weekend, really.

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I'm really surprised by Zootopia's Thursday total. Friday is the 20th, so there is a discount for Movix and Aeon. I thought people would avoid the cinema until then.

 

I'm predicting at least a 10% rise in the weekend total.

Edited by cannastop
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26 minutes ago, seduh said:

Amazing run for Zootopia! I hope it can reach $100 in Japan (I know it's crazy, but it's a posibility. I expect around $80 for sure)

I'll be my overly optimistic self after this weekend.


The stakes are lower now, though. If Zootopia passes $1 billion, nothing else matters.

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6 hours ago, Foul01 said:

 

19:00 numbers are in.

 

  At 14:30 At 19:00 All Day Percentage of Before 19:00
Week 1  6,134  15,227   20,364 75%
Week 2 91,355 13,4052 138,633 97%
Week 3   4,612  11,862   14,144 84%
Week 4   5,477  13,064 15,500 (estimate)

 

 

 

Considering that Thursday of Week 1 is right before a holiday, it would make sense more people are willing to watch a movie at a later time.

So the percentage of "before 19:00" for today should be closer to Week 3's 84%

 

Why does everyone list it as 14:30 and 19:00? Shouldn't it be 14:00 and 19:00?

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Just now, Sal said:

Too bad there was no Zootopia over 1 billion WW club.  Not that I think many people would have been in on that, even the most optimistic fans.

It's all the more amazing that there was no $1 billion club.

 

But that's only because no one foresaw Zootopia's success in China.

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Seat Counts for Saturday May 21, 2016

(rank) (seats) (showings) (avg seats) (theaters) (screens) (percent of overall market)

*1 324548 1056 307.3 221 348 63.5% ズートピア (Zootopia)
*2 241470 *906 266.5 172 243 70.8% 海よりもまだ深く (After the Storm)
*3 208892 1024 204.0 211 308 68.5% 殿、利息でござる!(Tono, risoku de gozaru)
*4 198097 1027 192.9 204 289 70.6% 世界から猫が消えたなら (If Cats Disappeared)

 

Hot damn, this is looking good for Zootopia!

 

http://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-11508.html

Edited by cannastop
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6 minutes ago, LMAbacus said:

It sure took them long enough to adjust; China increased screens for it within a week. Maybe they were scared off by its weakness in the weekdays two weeks ago?

Uh, the theater owners aren't stupid. There were fewer screens for Zootopia last week because there were two new movies that might have done relatively well at the box office. Now that Zootopia dominated them, it gets a lot more seats.

 

Also, it looks like there is only one big new release this week, After the Storm. It's by acclaimed director Hirokazu Koreeda. I wonder if it will do well.

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"Might have done relatively well"

 

If they were so bad at reading the pre-sale numbers that they thought two movies that combined ended up making less than Zootopia's weekend should deserve of the 73.8% of seats between the three, then yes, they are stupid. If they want to favor local movies I could understand, but if not it's massive market inefficiency.

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Seat adjustments in Japan are pretty slow. You almost never have a movie losing a huge amount of seats quickly even when it flops like it happens in China. The biggest movies can manage around 50% capacity at most during their opening weekend so unless you're Frozen there comes a point where more seats really don't make that much of a difference.

Edited by Cynosure
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I guess it's also the nature of the market. Japan is quite mature (i.e. not growing), whereas China is booming. This means Japan theaters won't really benefit from many more screens for a specific film (as long as there's a reasonable number), because people have enough cinemas around them and so they can go to the film they want. It's not like the theaters are at full capacity anyway, so changing from one screen to two is not as beneficiary as adding more showtimes to the same screen (if necessary). Think about it this way: Zootopia and the two local films made about $8M. If Zootopia had taken all the screens and these two films hadn't been released at all, there is no chance Zootopia would have grossed $8M on its own. So removing Zootopia from some screens was indeed a wise move for them.

 

In China, on the other hand, there are still loads of places where the cinema screens are not sufficient for everyone. So if there is a film in its second week that is projected make about $40M and a film that will be released that weekend and is projected to make $60M, they have no choice but to show the new film. People do not have enough cinemas around them, so the cinema will choose to show whichever film will result in a more packed theater. New films are more likely to achieve that.

 

Dunno if this makes sense. I'll rely on peer review to prove me wrong, if I am. ;)

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