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Shawn Robbins

The Official TASM Weekly Thread (6 Day EST-140m) (Warning: Whiten Out Spoilers/Spoiler Tags)

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I think the number is solid. I think that giving the circumstances of opening on a Monday, it's fucking brilliant. And fuck modesty, I know that I'm right because

No, you're clearly wrong. 7.5M does not equal 20M. You could not be more wrong.You're also wrong about Sony telling the truth about their $7.5M SM3 midnight number. Their own press release said that SM3 made $10M midnights.So you are wrong twice. You haven't been right yet.
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I'll say this again. Who except iJack was expecting this to reach SM3 admissions? Nobody, now suddenly when it opens though people act as if this was supposed to outgross SM3 domestically

I don't think many people are acting that way at all.
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Predictions:

iJackSparrow - 50m OD (with the midnights)/100m+ OW/200m+ 6 days/400m DOM/900m OS/1.3B WW

UNDER 400M ------------------------------------------------

jse - OD 40.5M / 6-day 180M / Total 367M

riczhang - MID-6.2M/OD-30M/3 Day [Fri-Sun]-110M/6 Day-165M/DOM-351M/OS-722M/WW-1073M

UNDER 350M -----------------------------------------------

BKB IS HULK - 30M OD/ 130-150M 6 days/ 300-350M Domestic..

Neo - 33/36/24/29/34/30/93(Fri-Sun)/15/156(5-day)/186(6-day)/201(7-day)/348/660/1008 OS OW: 145M WW OW: 327M

TLK - 30 million OD/162 million 6 day/335 million DOM/710 million OS/1.045 billion WW

Sin Graft - $320M DOM + $750M OS = $1.07B WW

redfirebird2008 - $320M DOM + $750M OS = $1.07B WW

Dexter of Suburbia - OD 40m/six day 155m/Domestic 320m/OS 750m/WW 1170B

kayumanggi - 140 - 160 M six-day | 300 M - 320 M total

TheIncredibleKnight - 34M OD/158M 6-day and then 315M DOM/ International 800M/1.115B WW

Fullbuster - 35m OD / 170M 6 days / 310 DOM / 790 OS / $1.1B WW

Incarnadine - 6 day - 165 mil /Domestic- 310 mil/Overseas- 725 mil/Worldwide- 1.035 Bil

24Lost - 8m Mid 160m 6 day 309m Dom

raniE - 305 US, 645 International, 950 Worldwide (No more than 68% of gross international)

The Iron Horse - $150M 6-day OW/ $300M Domestic

druv10 - 35M+OD/150M 6 day/300M/700M OS/ 1B WW

UNDER 300M ----------------------------------------

grey ghost - 33 m OD/145 m six day/295 m DOM/750 m OS/1.045 b WW

Cheesy Poofs - 40M Tuesday and that includes midnights. 70M over the weekend, 150M after the weekend, 285M DOM.

junkshop36 - 6-day = 135/DOM = 285

fmpro - 28 mill OD/135 mill6 day/280 mill total/690 OS/970WW

MovieFanatic - 280 million Domestic and 740 million OS.

FTF - $5m midnight, $28.5m od, $140m 6-day, $275m dom, $675m os, $950m total.

bapi - 6-Days: 145/DOM: 265/OS: 690/WW: 955

PatrickBateman - OD: $26 million, 6 Day: $130 million, DOM: $265 million, OS: $645 million, WW: $910 million

RichWS - 6-day - 25.9 (7.1 midnight)/24.7/16.5/19.0/21.6/18.8 = 126.5M/Domestic Total - $258.8 million/Overseas - $738.3 million/Total: $997.1 million

Mojoguy - 18M OD/120M for 6 day/250M DOM/950 WW

Olive/The Dark Alfred - OD 28m/six day 125m/Domestic 250m/OS 650m/WW 900B

tommycruise - 135m- Six Day/245m total/715m OS

lab276 - $25.80mOD/$117.70m6D/$53.82mOW/$244.75mDOM (25.80/23.74/14.34/17.21/19.79/16.82/8.24/7.50/5.63/5.18/)

FilmBuff - Midnights-4.0/OD-25 Million/6 Day-135 Million/Domestic-245 Million/OS-515 Million/WW Total-760

Darth Nolan - $7 million Midnight/$24 million OD/$124 million 6Day/$242 million DOM/$623 million OS/$865 million WW

YoursTruly - OD: 25M/OW: 57M/6-DAY: 122M/TOTAL: 240M

Biggestgeekever - Tue: $25.5m ($4.8m from midnights)/Wed: $23m -9.8%/Thu: $17.3m -24.8%/Fri: $20m +15.6%/Sat: $22.2m +11.0%/Sun: $17.8m -19.8%/3-Day: $60m/6-day: $125.8m/Dom: $235m/Inter: $700m

JackO - 22M OD with 5.5M midnights/ 112M 6 day/ 50M OW/ 232 DOM/ 600M OS/ 832M WW

RTX - Mid:3M/OD:24M/3-day:52M/6-day:115M/DOM:230M

CJohn - 24M OD / 57M OW / 120M 6 days / 225M DOM / 810M OS / 1.010B WW

Telemachos - Tuesday: $24m (incl. $5m midnights)/Wednesday: $21m/Thursday: $14.2m/Friday: $17.7m/Saturday: $20.4m/Sunday: $17.45m/3-day: $55.55m/6-day: $114.75m/domestic total: $223m/overseas total: $710m/WW: $933m

UNDER 200M ------------------------------------------------

Baumer - Midnights: 5.5/OD: 20.5/Wed: 19.0/Thurs: 13.5/Fri: 16.2/Sat: 17.8/Sun: 15.5/102.5/Total domestic: 195.5 mill

6 DAYS OW PREDICTIONS ONLY ---------------------------

ShawnMR - Midnights: $5.5 million/Tue: $24m/Wed: $23.3m (-3%)/Thu: $14m (-40%)/Fri: $17.2m (+23%)/Sat: $19.6m (+14%)/Sun: $14.4m (-26%)/3-day wknd: $51.0m/6-day total: $112.5m

Fullbuster - $35m OD / 170M 6 days

CEDAR - Tues: 27m (Including 5.5m Midnight)/Wed: 23M/Thurs: 15M/Fri: 22M/Sat: 23.5M/Sun: 19.5M/130M 6-day, 65M weekend

FISHNETS STUFF ------------------------------------

fishnets - The Amazing Spider-Man OVER Shriekapoo (aka Lord of the Rings 3) WW

These are the official predictions of the boards. Notice how in the official prediction, I never touched the opening midnight numbers, those are quite harder for me to predict, I was actually underwhelmed when I saw The Avengers numbers because I sort of new to the game.

Still, I'm sticking with my guns and I still think that The Amazing Spider-Man can pull off $42.5m today, or something close to that. If it gets closer to that, just me, jse and richzang would have come close to what people are predicting to the OD.

With that said, if the numbers are more shy, I'm siding with Neo's predictions, but still thinking that legs can carry the film to the result that I'm thinking of, which is $400m domestically. Regardless of what you say, $7.5m is a very solid number, and I could very well still be right about the OD and my following predictions. Let's just wait and see, savvy?

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Here is iJack stating he thinks the high end is 550M:

Thank you for posting that. I appreciate it.IJack stop backpeddling. You have been saying $400M all along, and even went so far as to say $550M. At no time did you say $325M. Just stop lying.
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I'll say this again. Who except iJack was expecting this to reach SM3 admissions? Nobody, now suddenly when it opens though people act as if this was supposed to outgross SM3 domestically

I don't think most of us are saying that. We're just not buying that this is going to cross 300mil (at least I'm not). This will be a modest success like Pirates 4 and Shrek 4 were modest successes.
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I don't think many people are acting that way at all.

it seems so, just yesterday people were saying it was DOA, now it has a solid midnight showing, now you see many screaming "oh, it's just because of 3D and IMAX" and "that's worse than SM3". Come on this is getting ridiculous.
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Answer my question. When did I defend him?

Ok, sorry but seems to me you were harsh regarding my post about the "i-jack vs Jack Nevada" thing. So peace???
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