FTF Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 6.76 (-23%) 6.69 (-1%) 10.1m (51%) 13.5m (34%)10.5m (-22%) 34.1m weekendI'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 300 million and still more to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spazz91 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 don't decrease with actuals! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punishment Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 (edited) Edited August 1, 2012 by Punishment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Actual only went down $1,884 from the estimate. Pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 I hope for 30%+ increase for TASM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spazz91 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Damn only 0.02% off. That's a pretty good estimate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Very nice increase! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seduh Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 good number for TDKR! a $35 third weekend is very likely so a $450 finish could result (worst than expected but a good number) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 good number for TDKR! a $35 third weekend is very likely so a $450 finish could result (worst than expected but a good number)It comes down to this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviedweeb Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 (edited) This is the first time I have seen BOM update their numbers before boxoffice.com. Edited August 1, 2012 by Clavius Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FishMB Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 So basically the consensus predictions of last summer still hold true?$450 Dom (decrease from TDK inevitable)$650 OS (expansion)$1.1 billion? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hasanahmad Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 300 million and still more to go. If TDKR makes another 13m over the next two days, it will be at 317m after a 92m second week. Which means if it falls 50% from here on it will make 92m more. Or 409m. I would say the absolute worst case scenario for this would be 50% average drops for the rest of its run. DH2 made 84.5m more after a 70.4m second week. If TDKR only matches that performance it would make 427m. TDK made 182.2m after a 112.5m second week. If TDKR can do that, it will make 466m. So there's your final range. 427m-466m. The total is guaranteed to be in between those two marks. DMC, you ask? Yeah, it made 136.6m after a 90.7m second week. So if TDKR follows its pattern from there...455m. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 If TDKR makes another 13m over the next two days, it will be at 317m after a 92m second week. Which means if it falls 50% from here on it will make 92m more. Or 409m. I would say the absolute worst case scenario for this would be 50% average drops for the rest of its run. DH2 made 84.5m more after a 70.4m second week. If TDKR only matches that performance it would make 427m. TDK made 182.2m after a 112.5m second week. If TDKR can do that, it will make 466m. So there's your final range. 427m-466m. The total is guaranteed to be in between those two marks. DMC, you ask? Yeah, it made 136.6m after a 90.7m second week. So if TDKR follows its pattern from there...455m. So if it lands smack dab between DH2 and TDK's late legs, it makes $446m. Sounds about right to me. If it does manage that kind of run, how hard will WB push for $450m? We saw them successfully push Superman Returns over $200m when it looked like it would come up $5-10m short. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Plus, who can forget the magical late legs of Terminator Salvation? I'm sure Baumer will never let that one go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FTF Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 So if it lands smack dab between DH2 and TDK's late legs, it makes $446m. Sounds about right to me. If it does manage that kind of run, how hard will WB push for $450m? We saw them successfully push Superman Returns over $200m when it looked like it would come up $5-10m short.As long as it hits $1b ww, I don't think they'll care if the dom # is under $450m or short of any specific dom #, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 As long as it hits $1b ww, I don't think they'll care if the dom # is under $450m or short of any specific dom #, etc.So explain why they fudged Terminator Salvation to $125m. Didn't really mean anything for the film's profitability, but they still did it. :lol:I think WB's goal (with China) is $1.1 billion worldwide. $440-450m domestic and $650-660m overseas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FTF Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 So explain why they fudged Terminator Salvation to $125m. Didn't really mean anything for the film's profitability, but they still did it. :lol:I think WB's goal (with China) is $1.1 billion worldwide. $440-450m domestic and $650-660m overseas.Hahaha, well when they need to save face on clunkers like Terminator Salvation and Superman Returns they'll stretch/fudge it to a somewhat respectable looking #, but when dealing with $400+m Dom and $1b+ WW, they won't really care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 Wed 7.1m Thu 6.9m Fri 10.7m (+55%, bigger increase, no opening ceremony) Sat 14.2m (+33%, therefore smaller Sat increase) Sun 10.8m (-24%, bigger drop, 100m sprint final) 35.7m -42.5% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
