China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Infernus]

9 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

That's tough to calculate. I don't think it would've maintained the pace of the market and been over 1b this year. It's possible it drew a portion of non movie goers at the time that are now steadily part of the BO.  I have to assume it would've beat FF7 handily. 600-800 maybe 2 years from now

 

No, no. I am talking about a purely mathematical adjustment. Of course all the factors that made Avatar such a huge success wouldn't get exactly replicated and few things have changed too and that is why I am considering a total one third of Avatar's total for the sequel. If I was talking about a figure adjusted with assumptions of how Avatar might have played differently in the future wouldn't I consider a total closer to that figure than a total nearly one third of that figure for Avatar 2? So, i ask again, what would avatar's gross adjust to, through a purely mathematical calculation, by Dec 2017-2018 taking 25% increases in the hollywood market in the country for the next two years. Also, don't forget to adjust using the local currency and then using today's ER to convert it into dollars (ER may get better or worse in the next two years but we can't say for sure so lets just take today's ER). I used to make the mistake of  not doing that which mostly led me to a wrong, and usually reduced, figure.

[bangbingchan]

1 hour ago, #ED2-D2 said:

 

Thanks. I don't understand a thing. 

1st line midnight preview 2M 

2nd line OD presale 7M

presale is not great,just so so.

[terrestrial]

Does anyone know why Sherlock doesn't appear on the Rentrak ww WE estimation chart beside SK results alone should have placed it there via the result there being considerable higher than the lowest placed movie there? Plus HK ... (edit: China OD Monday)

 

Bcs it's a TV-movie?

Edited January 4, 2016 by terrestrial

[Olive]

2015 statistics 

Yearly box office:44.1 Billion yuan +49% ($6.78B )

Yearly admissions: 1.26 Billion +51%

Average ticket price 34.8 yuan(-0.5 yuan) =$5.35

Total screen count: 31627 *est(+7000)

Total theater count: 6200 *est(+1490)

Edited January 4, 2016 by The Good Olive

[peludo]

If my data are correct:

 

Films over...

300m Yuan: 32 (2014) vs 45 (2015)

600m Yuan: 11 (2014) vs 20 (2015)

900m Yuan: 3 (2014) vs 10 (2015)

1.2b Yuan: 1 (2014) vs 7 (2015)

1.5b Yuan: 1 (2014) vs 4 (2015)

1.8b Yuan: 1 (2014) vs 2 (2015)

 

The landmarks are multiple of 300 since I used to identify 300m Yuan with $50m. I am conscious that with the drop in ER that identification is no more valid, but still to compare figures in local currency we can see the increase in films with a certain amount.

Edited January 4, 2016 by peludo

[Olive]

2 hours ago, peludo said:

If my data are correct:

 

Films over...

300m Yuan: 32 (2014) vs 45 (2015)

600m Yuan: 11 (2014) vs 20 (2015)

900m Yuan: 3 (2014) vs 10 (2015)

1.2b Yuan: 1 (2014) vs 7 (2015)

1.5b Yuan: 1 (2014) vs 4 (2015)

1.8b Yuan: 1 (2014) vs 2 (2015)

 

The landmarks are multiple of 300 since I used to identify 300m Yuan with $50m. I am conscious that with the drop in ER that identification is no more valid, but still to compare figures in local currency we can see the increase in films with a certain amount.

http://www.cbooo.cn/year?year=2015

[Olive]

January 4th/ Monday  est:

Sherlock: The Abominable Bride 35.5m/36.3m

Detective Chinatown 31.9M/457M
Mr. Six 21M/714M
Mojin 14.2M/1563M

D&A 2.1M/635M
Heart for Heaven 1.8M/76.6M

Little Door Gods 0.85M/68.7M

[Finnick]

27 minutes ago, The Good Olive said:

January 4th/ Monday  est:

Sherlock: The Abominable Bride 35.5m/36.3m

Detective Chinatown 31.9M/457M
Mr. Six 21M/714M
Mojin 14.2M/1563M

D&A 2.1M/635M
Heart for Heaven 1.8M/76.6M

Little Door Gods 0.85M/68.7M

@ Good olive, any projection for SW7?

[James]

1 hour ago, The Good Olive said:

January 4th/ Monday  est:

Sherlock: The Abominable Bride 35.5m/36.3m

Detective Chinatown 31.9M/457M
Mr. Six 21M/714M
Mojin 14.2M/1563M

D&A 2.1M/635M
Heart for Heaven 1.8M/76.6M

Little Door Gods 0.85M/68.7M

Wait, that Sherlock is a TV episode with Cumberbatch? OMG. Does it get a full run?

[peludo]

1 hour ago, The Good Olive said:

http://www.cbooo.cn/year?year=2015

Well, that fits with my data. Thank you

[jiangsen]

11 hours ago, jiangsen said:

There were 737 films released in 2015.

 

http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzA3NDYzMDA3Mg==&mid=401231511&idx=1&sn=d392ad46b554cb16988cb0352774f243&scene=0#wechat_redirect

Yeah, that sounded pretty high. How many were actually released?

[WrathOfHan]

WOW @ Sherlock. I wonder if they'll release next season in theaters for China.

[Olive]

1 hour ago, leatherjacket said:

@ Good olive, any projection for SW7?

￥350-400M OW/￥850-1000M total

$55-60M OW/$130-155m total

[terrestrial]

 

China Box Office ‏@ChinaBoxOffice 

#ChinaBoxOffice #TheForceAwakens presales are average so far: $0.33M for midnight Fri, $1.3M for opening Sat.

China Box Office ‏@ChinaBoxOffice 

#ChinaBoxOffice SHERLOCK: THE ABOMINABLE BRIDE debuted in 1st place w/ est $5.6M on Monday

that one gets a limited US release at 5. and 6. December btw

[FranMan]

Dayum, now when did Sherlock happen for China? 

 

$1.3m seems awfully low for the opening Sat. I looked at the captured image from the tweet -- it's from maoyan and thus an extrapolation (or even an guesstimate) rather than  concrete numbers?

[jiangsen]

1 hour ago, FranMan said:

Dayum, now when did Sherlock happen for China? 

 

$1.3m seems awfully low for the opening Sat. I looked at the captured image from the tweet -- it's from maoyan and thus an extrapolation (or even an guesstimate) rather than  concrete numbers?

Cumberbatch has been hot for a few years now in China, plus sexy guys doing science-y stuff seems to hit well over there (ie. Damon in The Martian).

[spizzer]

10 hours ago, The Good Olive said:

2015 statistics 

Yearly box office:44.1 Billion yuan +49% ($6.78B )

Yearly admissions: 1.26 Billion +51%

Average ticket price 34.8 yuan(-0.5 yuan) =$5.35

Total screen count: 31627 *est(+7000)

Total theater count: 6200 *est(+1490)

 

US attendance estimate is 1.33B.  So China & US are even closer in terms of admissions than in terms of gross (China did 94.7% of US admissions this year, but only 61.0% of US gross).  

[sgchn40]

2 hours ago, spizzer said:

 

US attendance estimate is 1.33B.  So China & US are even closer in terms of admissions than in terms of gross (China did 94.7% of US admissions this year, but only 61.0% of US gross).  

 

May I clarify if you mean North America or just US? Because domestic includes Canada.

[spizzer]

11 minutes ago, sgchn40 said:

 

May I clarify if you mean North America or just US? Because domestic includes Canada.

 

Yeah I mean US + Canada.

[sgchn40]

1 hour ago, spizzer said:

 

Yeah I mean US + Canada.

 

In which case, China may have exceeded USA in terms of attendance given that Canada is about 10% to 12% of the domestic admission?