FranMan Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Man, those presale figures make for grim reading. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 5 hours ago, marveldcfox said: So the Chinese actors get a lesser movie. Not part of MAIN epsiodes. Bohoo Rogue One is one of the most anticipated movies next year, and I think Disney will also focus alot on Rogue One. I don't think the merchandise, marketing or production budget for Rogue One will be less than Ep 7. Anyway, I rather Chinese Stars have big roles in Rogue One(Donnie is rumoured to be the highest paid in Rogue One), than what happened to The Raid actors in the Main Episodes, killed in a minute. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 January 7th/ Thursday est: Detective Chinatown 27M/548M Sherlock: The Abominable Bride 14m/92m Mr. Six 18M/771M Mojin 11.9M/1606M D&A 1.7M/643M Little Door Gods 0.7M/71M EP7 presales haven't picked up close to opening,OD still on track to around $20M. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marveldcfox Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 50 minutes ago, TigerPaw said: Rogue One is one of the most anticipated movies next year, and I think Disney will also focus alot on Rogue One. I don't think the merchandise, marketing or production budget for Rogue One will be less than Ep 7. Anyway, I rather Chinese Stars have big roles in Rogue One(Donnie is rumoured to be the highest paid in Rogue One), than what happened to The Raid actors in the Main Episodes, killed in a minute. I have to admit the raid actors were wasted. No point getting them in the film if they are not doing their crazy action/stunts. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 I just recently began to watch Sherlock with Benedict C. Great show BTW.. Is this SH movie an episode from that show? And if yes.. Why a theatrical release? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snitch Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 16 minutes ago, fmpro said: I just recently began to watch Sherlock with Benedict C. Great show BTW.. Is this SH movie an episode from that show? And if yes.. Why a theatrical release? It's a Christmas special episode that sorta ties the ending to last season with the things that are about to happen in Season 4. I love Sherlock and this special episode is no different. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 (edited) It is not surprising that EP7 underperforms, movie did not break out in Asia baring HK and Japan. I've seen it at press screening yesterday, maybe it will have same reception as AOU, too geek and fan-servicing for general audience in China. Edited January 7, 2016 by The Good Olive 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 1 hour ago, snitch said: It's a Christmas special episode that sorta ties the ending to last season with the things that are about to happen in Season 4. I love Sherlock and this special episode is no different. Oh okay. I allready found it online Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 23 minutes ago, fmpro said: I allready found it online And that is one of the reasons I am even ímpressed with Sherlock's numbers in China and SK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 38 minutes ago, terrestrial said: And that is one of the reasons I am even ímpressed with Sherlock's numbers in China and SK I agree 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kswiston Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 6 hours ago, No Prisoners said: I added SA to show what a small opening can do with tremendous WOM. Was holding dead flat on weekdays until it lost theaters to JW, but then held flat again until more screen loss. Could have been $130m+ if it had more screens. 18x OD is very rare. Presales at 26m now. Should get over 45m by Saturday morning at this pace and bring in a 130m/$20m+ OD. Currency fell again to 6.59 to a dollar. it was 6.21 last year until august. Won't the fact that all of those films (save Genisys) were mid-week launches mess up the comparison? 1 hour ago, The Good Olive said: It is not surprising that EP7 underperforms, movie did not break out in Asia baring HK and Japan. I've seen it at press screening yesterday, maybe it will have same reception as AOU, too geek and fan-servicing for general audience in China. I don't think that I would call Japan a breakout territory. They've been pretty big on Star Wars for a long time now. I know that changing XR messes the comparison up some, but Japan was the biggest foreign market for all of the prequels. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 The Avengers opened on a Saturday, only comparable blockbuster in recent years. TA OD:63.5M OW:120M total:570M My revised prediction for EP7 Midnights:10-12M OD:120M-130m OW:235-250M Movies become way more front-loaded than 3 years ago and EP7 won't have good WOM like TA1, so a final range 600-700m. I know I'm being pessimistic, hope I will be wrong. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 13 minutes ago, The Good Olive said: I know I'm being pessimistic, hope I will be wrong. Hi Good Olive, thank you a lot for your work and predictions,... I know you write in local currency, but as we do have a lot of newbes since the release of SW 7, could you please add a hint like the letters for the Chinese currency to it? Maybe give from time to time an ~ exchange rate update, as it is so 'lively' for the moment? Only a suggestion... Enjoy your day! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 (edited) RMB keeps depreciating, now 1 Yuan=0.1515$(vs 1.1538 last week) It will keep dropping in the following month, Hollywood movies will have a tough year overseas. So my high end for EP7 will be around $105-110M. Edited January 7, 2016 by The Good Olive 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Could this push China surpassing DOM to 2018 ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 46 minutes ago, The Good Olive said: RMB keeps depreciating, now 1 Yuan=0.1515$(vs 1.1538 last week) It will keep dropping in the following month, Hollywood movies will have a tough year overseas. So my high end for EP7 will be around $105-110M. USD? We can't really say whats "under performing" here in China since the last Star Wars movies made close to nothing here in China. I think 100M USD would be just fine, considering the series has quite a few movies to go. In this market, I assume the rest of the movies could only increase from what TFA makes. It's not like 100M USD in China would make TFA a bust. The movie is a complete success. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Agree SPECTRE, established, made in 2015 $83.5m in China acc. to BOM Renminbi = RMB = official Chinese currency International also in use is CNY Yuan (Wikipedia, as that is too much for my English skills) = the Chinese base unit of currency https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renminbi https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_yuan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FranMan Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 2 hours ago, kswiston said: I don't think that I would call Japan a breakout territory. They've been pretty big on Star Wars for a long time now. I know that changing XR messes the comparison up some, but Japan was the biggest foreign market for all of the prequels. Out of all the Asian countries you could say Japan is the most attuned to American pop culture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 56 minutes ago, Cynosure said: Could this push China surpassing DOM to 2018 ? Olive and FD says yes. I say the growth flattens under $10b Currency, stock market and economy will slow/stop it as i posted in a topic 6 months ago Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Presales(Friday 08:00am) Midnights:6.22m yuan Saturday:36.23m yuan Sunday:9.86m yuan 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...