moviesRus Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 Just now, Blaze Heatnix said: Maybe WC will be heavily front-loaded then? We don't know its legs yet. I'm curious. Movies in China already have shitty legs in general though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 Don't movies released in China end up generally just making twice the opening weekend number? So a 2X multiplier? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 I feeel OD will hit 100m. So i am thinking 325m OW and around 500m finish. I am assuming it will keep around 15% of screens from wednesday onwards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 4 hours ago, Mojoguy said: Don't movies released in China end up generally just making twice the opening weekend number? So a 2X multiplier? Not when there is a huge opening 5 days later unless there is very good WOM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 On 5/13/2016 at 0:27 PM, IMojammer said: .... I was thinking xmen would see a large increase, then before Cap3 opened I thought it'd see a small increase, now I think there's a good chance it'll drop from Days of Future Past. Under 600m? Can I pat myself on the back? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superweirdo87 Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 20 minutes ago, IMojammer said: Can I pat myself on the back? Yes, you can! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 DOFP did $116.5m in China. Assuming $75m for XA, it's down by 35-36% from DOFP. That's mirroring Dom very closely. 35-36% down Dom from DOFP ($234m) would be $150-152m for XA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superweirdo87 Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 It seems likely to go lower than 75M in China. One poster surmised about 500 yuan (slightly over 75M right now) from an OW of 325M and an opening day of 100M. But, 100M is not happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 (edited) 4 hours ago, superweirdo87 said: It seems likely to go lower than 75M in China. One poster surmised about 500 yuan (slightly over 75M right now) from an OW of 325M and an opening day of 100M. But, 100M is not happening. Looks like 90-100m If it's 95m and performs like ca3 on Sat and Sunday that will get it to 315-320m. That a 30% increase over DoFP which also opened on a rare at the time Friday and had no competition it's second weekend. It still had half its screens on the 3rd weekend when EoT opened and held well. XMA will take a big screen hit on Tuesday and Wed and likely drop 75-80% next weekend. 500m is possible depending on how frontloaded WC and if XMA can hold on. Otherwise, if they opened it a week earlier it might have matched or beat DOFP in yuan. Yuan at 6.59 now and testing multi year lows. XMA is at a 6% XR disadvantage. Edited June 3, 2016 by No Prisoners 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 5 hours ago, a2knet said: DOFP did $116.5m in China. Assuming $75m for XA, it's down by 35-36% from DOFP. That's mirroring Dom very closely. 35-36% down Dom from DOFP ($234m) would be $150-152m for XA. Not a proper comparison. As described in post above the opening is much larger but the 1st or 2nd largest opening of all time is on its 6th day and XR is causing the similar 35% drop in dollars. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 its already at 80m at 6PM. Should have an OD over 100m for sure. I think 350m OW will happen. Plus even with Warcraft it will have the 2nd largest screen count. It will stabilize after a big drop. I am sure 500m will happen. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: its already at 80m at 6PM. Should have an OD over 100m for sure. I think 350m OW will happen. Plus even with Warcraft it will have the 2nd largest screen count. It will stabilize after a big drop. I am sure 500m will happen. According cbooo, it is already at 90m (19:20). 98m adding midnights. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 I am ignoring midnights as they are reported separately. its at 98m at maoyan at 8PM and so I am thinking 110m+ OD and 120m with midnights. Dont know how big the saturday increase will be but can it crack 400m by sunday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 26 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: I am ignoring midnights as they are reported separately. its at 98m at maoyan at 8PM and so I am thinking 110m+ OD and 120m with midnights. Dont know how big the saturday increase will be but can it crack 400m by sunday. Looks like 110m will happen. If so, youre looking at 150m sat, 110 sun as a good scenario. 378m with MN. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 So it will be around 450m by tuesday. I dont know how it will miss 500m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 If it's indeed at 450m by Tuesday...could it crack 100m USD in the end or is it too much to ask? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 Friday Est X-A 119M inclu. 7.65M midnights Alice 8.6m/289m Angry B 5.2m/438m CW 0.7m/1242.5m 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zackzack Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 Warcraft presale still going insane or..not? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 It's way lower than CA3. But it has a significant chance of outgrossing its predecessor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted June 3, 2016 Share Posted June 3, 2016 (edited) So pity XA had such a bad release date.If it release in May,XA is still possible to get close to CW in China.around 1bn.I still believe XA can hit 750~850M in the crowded month Edited June 3, 2016 by bangbingchan 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...