Ash Skywalker Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: 65.16m at 2:30pm. Seems to be heading to 130-140m Yuan for the OD. If it gets to 130, it will have the same PS to OD multi as that of Venom. And a possible OW scenario like this? FRI-140M SAT-206M(+40%) SUN-155M(-25%) 501M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ash Skywalker said: And a possible OW scenario like this? FRI-140M SAT-206M(+40%) SUN-155M(-25%) 501M Could happen. Although that would be a quite high PS to OW multiplier. One of the highest infact for a SH movie (only behind Thor Ragnarok - atleast in the past 2 years). But with good ratings and WOM it is definitely possible. Although Olive mentioned that it is quite cold and snowy over the weekend which could impact grosses so who knows. Let's see how today goes, we'll have a clearer picture by end of today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 AQM should get close to $65 usd if not more, 130.0 yuan (18.9 usd) 175.5 yuan (25.5 usd) +35% 140.4 yuan (20.4 usd) -20% 445.9 yuan (64.8 usd) 2.0-2.5x multi gives $130-162.5 total Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 1 hour ago, Ash Skywalker said: And a possible OW scenario like this? FRI-140M SAT-206M(+40%) SUN-155M(-25%) 501M Pacing to 140m. Evening walkups could be big with Wom and be higher Expecting a 50% bump tomorrow with that 9.5 rating 525m/$76m very possible. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Down to 9.5 with 20k votes Also running at about 8m/h at the moment will increase later hopefully. Personally I'd say 130m locked for the day, possible 140-150 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, POTUS said: Pacing to 140m. Evening walkups could be big with Wom and be higher Expecting a 50% bump tomorrow with that 9.5 rating 525m/$76m very possible. 1 minute ago, feasby007 said: Down to 9.5 with 20k votes Also running at about 8m/h at the moment will increase later hopefully. Personally I'd say 130m locked for the day, possible 140-150 A little conservatively, 140 190 (+36%) 150 (-21%) = 480 ($70) With 480-520 ow and very good wom one would think 1100 total is a realistic goal. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 59 minutes ago, a2k said: A little conservatively, 140 190 (+36%) 150 (-21%) = 480 ($70) With 480-520 ow and very good wom one would think 1100 total is a realistic goal. Since its not a frontoaded sequel and the highest SH rating, I think 2.5x OW is possible with holiday help 1250-1300m/$182-189m $200m a reach but possible with no competition next week. Need to see a -20% hold sunday and a -10% hold or better on tuesday to have a chance 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, POTUS said: Since its not a frontoaded sequel and the highest SH rating, I think 2.5x OW is possible with holiday help 1250-1300m/$182-189m $200m a reach but possible with no competition next week. Need to see a -20% hold sunday and a -10% hold or better on tuesday to have a chance Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ash Skywalker Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Now running at 6M per half an hour. Increased from 84 to 90.05 from 4:50 pm to 5:20 pm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Whew, go Aquaman! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 (edited) Hoping for at least 155m yuan today! DC, you can do it! Edited December 7, 2018 by TigerPaw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 (edited) Gwad, if it gets >150 yuan on Friday should do >525 over the weekend. 150 210 (+40%) 168 (-20%) = 528 551/$80 ow on cards seemed impossible a couple of days back. Edited December 7, 2018 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Why do you guys still think the movie will have only a 2.5x multiplier if it is so well received? Shouldn't it have legs like Ready Player One (3.5x)? I don't see the movie making less than $200 mil with this type of reception. I believe 3x is very likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ash Skywalker Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Crossed JL OD 101M now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 25 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: Why do you guys still think the movie will have only a 2.5x multiplier if it is so well received? Shouldn't it have legs like Ready Player One (3.5x)? I don't see the movie making less than $200 mil with this type of reception. I believe 3x is very likely. I’m not a specialist, but i think even with Aquaman being a first movie, it’s still a DC movie which is a big brand, the character appear on JL, so it will be more frontloaded than RPO which was really something new (despite the book). I can see a 3x because of that 9.5 average, but more than that i think it’s too much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 (edited) Venom vs AQM WW Assuming Venom does $860 ww, it's looking at $213 Dom + $270 China + $377 OS-China AQM's Dom+China could be similar to Venom's but swapping the markets : $270 odd Dom + $210 odd China Then $380 OS-China to match Venom's WW doesn't seem unrealistic. Am expecting at least $330 OS-China which takes it to $810 WW using $270 Dom and $210 China Edited December 7, 2018 by a2k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, a2k said: Venom vs AQM WW Assuming Venom does $860 ww, it's looking at $213 Dom + $270 China + $377 OS-China AQM's Dom+China could be similar to Venom's but swapping the markets : $270 odd Dom + $210 odd China Then $380 OS-China to match Venom's WW doesn't seem unrealistic. Am expecting at least $330 OS-China which takes it to $800 WW using $270 Dom and $210 China 800m worldwide will be awesome. DC should really focus on making individual superhero movies instead of team-ups. Wonder Woman was excellent, Dark Knight Trilogy was perfect. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 17 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: Why do you guys still think the movie will have only a 2.5x multiplier if it is so well received? Shouldn't it have legs like Ready Player One (3.5x)? I don't see the movie making less than $200 mil with this type of reception. I believe 3x is very likely. Its possible. With Vm breaking the ceiling on Single SH movies then we know the potential audience size is there. Vm will get over $270m. I thought $280m+ could happen early on but the drops steepened as most movie goers were able to see it by the second weekend. Vm will have a 2.43 OW multi with a larger OW due to 1 month of anticipation with a late release date. With a smaller OW and no FB2 competition next weekend 3x is possible for Aq RPO had a smaller OW, easier to score 3.5 OW multi. With a 9.0 rating it opened to 86m and bumped 83% on Saturday. Vm bumped 36% off of a big 223m OD. Tomorrow will be interesting to see, 50%+ is feasible. Vm OD PSm was 3.7. Sat PS was 66m. It it did 4.59x to 303m Aq will do at least 4x its 35m PS. Look for 5x tomorrow 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 111.65m at 7pm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDarkKnightOfSteel Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: 111.65m at 7pm. How many hours to go? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...