efialtes76 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Zakiyyah6 said: Alita's North American numbers are so low that it really needed a Ready Player One type of break out performance in China. Alita needed a bigger total in China than RPO. RPO did $50M+ domestic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 So, at how much Dragon 3 is looking at for the weekend? $35-40m? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 $120 in 2 weeks and $10 more for $130 total once CMARV releases is what ALITA is looking at imo. Still on track for $425 ww on not much more unless OS-China-Japan holds surprise for a couple of weeks and make $450 realistic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakiyyah6 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: Alita needed a bigger total in China than RPO. RPO did $50M+ domestic. Yeah, you need China to be massive if your domestic numbers are extra low. 130-140mil is good in a vacuum but we aren't talking about an Ant-Man and The Wasp situation. That had a similar budget and its 139mil China gross went along with a 216mil North American gross. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bishop54 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 25 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said: Alita's North American numbers are so low that it really needed a Ready Player One type of break out performance in China. How was it going to achieve that while going up against a local phenomenon, and really a groundbreaking film? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, Bishop54 said: How was it going to achieve that while going up against a local phenomenon, and really a groundbreaking film? By having great WOM. Wandering earth is not that big anymore, alita could have done more with higher maoyan rating. And even having a reason doesn't help alita. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimmyRiggins Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 (edited) 35 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said: Yeah, you need China to be massive if your domestic numbers are extra low. 130-140mil is good in a vacuum but we aren't talking about an Ant-Man and The Wasp situation. That had a similar budget and its 139mil China gross went along with a 216mil North American gross. You say this as if you have knowledge of what numbers they need to make a sequel, you don't, none of us do. Theatrical is not the be all end all. Edited March 1, 2019 by TimmyRiggins 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 hour ago, KP1025 said: For Green Book, I wonder if China > DOM is possible. 9.6 rating, it could gain traction and try. Shows are dropping a little for tomorrow only because expected larger bumps are incoming for Alita and HtTYD3. If its PTA is high it will gain shows again 32 minutes ago, salvador-232 said: So, at how much Dragon 3 is looking at for the weekend? $35-40m? $38-42m 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimmyRiggins Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 35 minutes ago, a2k said: $120 in 2 weeks and $10 more for $130 total once CMARV releases is what ALITA is looking at imo. Still on track for $425 ww on not much more unless OS-China-Japan holds surprise for a couple of weeks and make $450 realistic. That's neat, I figured it'd end up just above 400 M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
setna Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 I remember when some people after 1st week of TWE talked, about beat TFA, later WW2 and said 700 minimum locked, it seems that China is not so predictable.... It´s a pity even touch 700, let´s see next megahit here.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: 9.6 rating, it could gain traction and try. Shows are dropping a little for tomorrow only because expected larger bumps are incoming for Alita and HtTYD3. If its PTA is high it will gain shows again $38-42m Saturday presales for HTTYD3 will be around 19m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 15 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: Saturday presales for HTTYD3 will be around 19m. that should make it 100m for sat. T 1 F 54 S 100 S 80 Tot 235/$35 I was thinking at least 110m since toons usually double and would make it at least $38m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 (edited) CMARV is big comp so am guessing 2x the OW is tough for HTTYD3? WIll beat I2, Dory and possibly ITSV. Edited March 1, 2019 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakiyyah6 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 hour ago, TimmyRiggins said: You say this as if you have knowledge of what numbers they need to make a sequel, you don't, none of us do. Theatrical is not the be all end all. I'm not going to argue with you. I wasn't the one embarrassing myself with absurd billion dollar predictions. I don't take any of you Cameron is gawd guys reading of the numbers seriously due to that silliness. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimmyRiggins Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 I never said it'd make a billion. There'll be a sequel though, I'm sure of it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 So there was a 9.6 Bajrangi Bhaijaan a week before Black Panther and Green Book a week before Captain Marvel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 16 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: So there was a 9.6 Bajrangi Bhaijaan a week before Black Panther and Green Book a week before Captain Marvel. Damn. Why didn't BB did more with rating, did it drop? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, Premium George said: Damn. Why didn't BB did more with rating, did it drop? It did $45mn after $2.1mn opening day (holiday, real value around $1.2mn). That's about 38x opening day to lifetime multiple. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: It did $45mn after $2.1mn opening day (holiday, real value around $1.2mn). That's about 38x opening day to lifetime multiple. Dangal had 9.8, SS, 9.5. both had tough competition too. Aamir khan seems to be the difference. Still great numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, Premium George said: Dangal had 9.8, SS, 9.5. both had tough competition too. Aamir khan seems to be the difference. Still great numbers. Bajrangi Bhaijaan had delayed release as well and quite limited at just 20k shows. Aamir Khan of course helped. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...