KP1025 Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 2 hours ago, cdsacken said: Not sure why are surprised Venom. Look at what Aladdin did. Look at TS4 did. Seems like sub 150m is very possible. Jungle Book seems like the best comparison (same director, similar theme with talking CGI animals, etc ), and that grossed $150 million. It's not difficult to imagine three years later and with even better visuals and WOM (Jungle Book currently has 8.8 on Maoyan) that Lion King could improve on that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, KP1025 said: Jungle Book seems like the best comparison (same director, similar theme with talking CGI animals, etc ), and that grossed $150 million. It's not difficult to imagine three years later and with even better visuals and WOM (Jungle Book currently has 8.8 on Maoyan) that Lion King could improve on that. I agree, but it’s also not too hard to imagine that reception is worse and it does a bit lower. I’m feeling O/U TJB admissions for now, not sure how large a RMB increase that would be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted July 4, 2019 Share Posted July 4, 2019 (edited) 44 minutes ago, KP1025 said: Jungle Book seems like the best comparison (same director, similar theme with talking CGI animals, etc ), and that grossed $150 million. It's not difficult to imagine three years later and with even better visuals and WOM (Jungle Book currently has 8.8 on Maoyan) that Lion King could improve on that. It's also easy to see it doing 140 or barely better at 160. 200 is possible as is 140 Edited July 4, 2019 by cdsacken Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 6 hours ago, KP1025 said: Jungle Book seems like the best comparison But 3 years old. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VENOM Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 11 hours ago, cdsacken said: I'm skeptical on TLK. China is very picky about animated films. Yeah it’s called good taste not being picky. They just not into accepting obvious cash grabs left and right. I’m surprised Disney hasn’t announced a live action remake of Micky mouse yet what’s going on! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 Its at 23.45m at 2PM slightly down from 2PM number yesterday. But midpoint yesterday was really early(slightly before 3PM). I am assuming today it will be closer to 4PM? realtime number is 24.82 and so RR is around 3m. That should amp up based on charlie's doc. Around 60m friday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 (edited) 4 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said: But 3 years old. Market hasnt increased much in the last 3 years. SHs have lifted the past year but for the most part HLWD films have remained in a range. Like TS4 doing a typical $30m for a toon or GZL coming close to KK Edited July 5, 2019 by POTUS 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: Market has increased much in the last 3 years. SHs have lifted the past year but for the most part HLWD films have remained in a range. Like TS4 doing a typical $30m for a toon or GZL coming close to KK I was talking about pre-sales trend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: I was talking about pre-sales trend. The PS trend is about the same when comparing an 8 day run to 8 days and 14 to 14. The PSm keeps changing though With only 8 days we'll be looking for 40-50% increases thru wed after the roll out settles down tomorrow. Probably 75% but could be 100% on Thurs. Been like that for 4 years. My chart from TJB PD run is posted in the PS thread, it was stronger than normal on the last 3 days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 On 7/3/2019 at 10:45 AM, POTUS 2020 said: Summer Fri/sat sees typically 20-25%/40-50% bumps instead of 40-50/80-100% if there isnt much show loss If Thursday is 55m look for F 61m S 92 S 79m T 232m -65% but Sunday will be down just 57% The whole week may be down just 62% Low $200s total still looking good Its looking like 60m. Staying on track for low 200s. $210-220m if it doesnt fall more than 75% against TJB. Its got $200m even it fall 80% Aq 9.3 XR 6.89 Vm 9.1 XR 6.94 SM7 9.1 XR 6.87 Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Fri 157 166 24.2 223 239 34 224 246 36 Sat 266 69.6% 432 62.8 303 35.9% 542 78 244 8.9% 490 71 Sun 220 -17.0% 652 94.9 224 -26.1% 766 110 185 -24.2% 675 98 Mon 89 -59.5% 741 107.9 90 -59.8% 856 123 84 -54.9% 759 110 Tues 74 -17.5% 815 118.6 80 -11.1% 936 135 66 -21.0% 825 120 Wed 62 -15.9% 877 127.6 69 -13.8% 1005 145 60 -8.6% 885 129 Thur 55 -11.5% 931 135.6 62 -10.1% 1067 154 55 -8.8% 940 137 Fri 87 57.8% -44.7% 1018 148.0 85 37.1% -61.9% 1152 166 60 9.1% -73.2% 1000 144 Sat 164 90.1% -38.1% 1182 171.8 162 90.6% -46.5% 1314 189 90 50.0% -63.1% 1090 159 Sun 124 -24.6% -43.7% 1306 189.9 109 -32.7% -51.3% 1423 205 77 -14.4% -58.4% 1167 170 Mon 41.4 -66.6% -53.6% 1348 195.9 35.6 -67.3% -60.4% 1459 210 38.0 -50.6% -54.5% 1205 175 Tue 36.6 -11.6% -50.3% 1384 200.9 30.5 -14.3% -61.9% 1489 215 34.0 -10.5% -48.5% 1239 180 Wed 33.1 -9.6% -46.5% 1417 205.7 26.6 -12.8% -61.4% 1516 218 30.5 -10.3% -49.4% 1269 185 Thu 30.3 -8.5% -44.7% 1448 210.1 23.7 -10.9% -61.8% 1539 222 27.7 -9.2% -49.6% 1297 189 Fri 33.4 10.2% -61.4% 1481 215.0 31.1 31.2% -63.4% 1571 226 Sat 70.2 110.2% -57.3% 1551 225.2 61.5 97.7% -62.0% 1632 235 Sun 58 -17.4% -53.2% 1609 233.6 43.2 -29.8% -60.4% 1675 241 Xeve 36.1 -37.8% -12.8% 1645 238.8 14.4 -66.7% -59.6% 1690 243 Xday 35.7 -1.1% -2.5% 1681 244.0 13.0 -9.7% -57.4% 1703 245 Wed 19.5 -45.4% -41.1% 1701 246.8 12.0 -7.7% -54.9% 1715 247 Thu 17.5 -10.3% -42.2% 1718 249.4 11.3 -5.8% -52.3% 1726 249 Fri 16.7 -4.6% -50.0% 1735 251.8 18.1 60.2% -41.8% 1744 251 Sat 18.75 12.3% -73.3% 1754 254.5 40.0 121.0% -35.0% 1784 257 Sun 43.4 131.5% -25.2% 1797 260.8 27.5 -31.3% -36.3% 1812 261 NYE 53.2 22.6% 47.4% 1850 268.5 9.3 -66.2% -35.4% 1821 262 NYD 50.9 -4.3% 42.6% 1901 275.9 8.2 -11.8% -36.9% 1829 264 Wed 11.5 -77.4% -41.0% 1913 277.6 7.8 -4.9% -35.0% 1837 265 Thu 9.7 -15.7% -44.6% 1922 279.0 7.3 -6.4% -35.4% 1844 266 BB od 5.3 -45.4% -68.3% 1928 279.8 2.1 -71.2% -88.4% 1846 266 Sat 12.1 128.3% -35.5% 1940 281.5 4.7 123.8% -88.3% 1851 267 Sun 10.8 -10.7% -75.1% 1950 283.1 3.7 -21.3% -86.5% 1855 267 2012 292.0 1870 269.5 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 (edited) @POTUS 2020 TLK, not TJB (to avoid later confusion) Edited July 5, 2019 by nguyenkhoi282 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 FFH Maoyan could go below 9.0 in the end. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 (edited) 5 minutes ago, a2k said: FFH Maoyan could go below 9.0 in the end. it wont matter that much in the end Edited July 5, 2019 by john2000 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 FFH will have a tough time reaching 60 mill tonight IMO Flat or tiny bump more likely Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 2 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said: Its looking like 60m. Staying on track for low 200s. $210-220m if it doesnt fall more than 75% against TJB. Its got $200m even it fall 80% Aq 9.3 XR 6.89 Vm 9.1 XR 6.94 SM7 9.1 XR 6.87 Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Fri 157 166 24.2 223 239 34 224 246 36 Sat 266 69.6% 432 62.8 303 35.9% 542 78 244 8.9% 490 71 Sun 220 -17.0% 652 94.9 224 -26.1% 766 110 185 -24.2% 675 98 Mon 89 -59.5% 741 107.9 90 -59.8% 856 123 84 -54.9% 759 110 Tues 74 -17.5% 815 118.6 80 -11.1% 936 135 66 -21.0% 825 120 Wed 62 -15.9% 877 127.6 69 -13.8% 1005 145 60 -8.6% 885 129 Thur 55 -11.5% 931 135.6 62 -10.1% 1067 154 55 -8.8% 940 137 Fri 87 57.8% -44.7% 1018 148.0 85 37.1% -61.9% 1152 166 60 9.1% -73.2% 1000 144 Sat 164 90.1% -38.1% 1182 171.8 162 90.6% -46.5% 1314 189 90 50.0% -63.1% 1090 159 Sun 124 -24.6% -43.7% 1306 189.9 109 -32.7% -51.3% 1423 205 77 -14.4% -58.4% 1167 170 Mon 41.4 -66.6% -53.6% 1348 195.9 35.6 -67.3% -60.4% 1459 210 38.0 -50.6% -54.5% 1205 175 Tue 36.6 -11.6% -50.3% 1384 200.9 30.5 -14.3% -61.9% 1489 215 34.0 -10.5% -48.5% 1239 180 Wed 33.1 -9.6% -46.5% 1417 205.7 26.6 -12.8% -61.4% 1516 218 30.5 -10.3% -49.4% 1269 185 Thu 30.3 -8.5% -44.7% 1448 210.1 23.7 -10.9% -61.8% 1539 222 27.7 -9.2% -49.6% 1297 189 Fri 33.4 10.2% -61.4% 1481 215.0 31.1 31.2% -63.4% 1571 226 Sat 70.2 110.2% -57.3% 1551 225.2 61.5 97.7% -62.0% 1632 235 Sun 58 -17.4% -53.2% 1609 233.6 43.2 -29.8% -60.4% 1675 241 Xeve 36.1 -37.8% -12.8% 1645 238.8 14.4 -66.7% -59.6% 1690 243 Xday 35.7 -1.1% -2.5% 1681 244.0 13.0 -9.7% -57.4% 1703 245 Wed 19.5 -45.4% -41.1% 1701 246.8 12.0 -7.7% -54.9% 1715 247 Thu 17.5 -10.3% -42.2% 1718 249.4 11.3 -5.8% -52.3% 1726 249 Fri 16.7 -4.6% -50.0% 1735 251.8 18.1 60.2% -41.8% 1744 251 Sat 18.75 12.3% -73.3% 1754 254.5 40.0 121.0% -35.0% 1784 257 Sun 43.4 131.5% -25.2% 1797 260.8 27.5 -31.3% -36.3% 1812 261 NYE 53.2 22.6% 47.4% 1850 268.5 9.3 -66.2% -35.4% 1821 262 NYD 50.9 -4.3% 42.6% 1901 275.9 8.2 -11.8% -36.9% 1829 264 Wed 11.5 -77.4% -41.0% 1913 277.6 7.8 -4.9% -35.0% 1837 265 Thu 9.7 -15.7% -44.6% 1922 279.0 7.3 -6.4% -35.4% 1844 266 BB od 5.3 -45.4% -68.3% 1928 279.8 2.1 -71.2% -88.4% 1846 266 Sat 12.1 128.3% -35.5% 1940 281.5 4.7 123.8% -88.3% 1851 267 Sun 10.8 -10.7% -75.1% 1950 283.1 3.7 -21.3% -86.5% 1855 267 2012 292.0 1870 269.5 update potus for today 55-60 ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 1 minute ago, fmpro said: FFH will have a tough time reaching 60 mill tonight IMO Flat or tiny bump more likely 170 by the end of the weekend possible ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 15 minutes ago, john2000 said: 170 by the end of the weekend possible ? Not impossible. Will be around that number. 200 mill+ still locked 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 7 minutes ago, john2000 said: $60m+ opening + Zootopia legs = $600-$625m total!! (I know this won’t happen) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 (edited) 5 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: $60m+ opening + Zootopia legs = $600-$625m total!! (I know this won’t happen) probably not, but i would pay for this to happen if only for the reactions Edited July 5, 2019 by john2000 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...