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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Thats more than a great hold. that's a surge. A second wave of WOM kicking in. The population is saying meh to the new releases and jumping on the bandwagon to see MH. It upped its market share to showtimes ratio to 42/21 %. They will probably give a few more showtimes today and tomorrow, getting it back up to 25% or more, possibly having a 100% hold to yesterday like last week and a softer drop tomorrow. As I said Friday the bump in the numbers caused a ripple effect of millions of more yuan in the coming weeks making FF7 in play. Saturdays numbers upgrade it to possible. Next weekend is the last big hurdle. Another sub 40% hold next week and its even money. If next weekends opener is soft and rejected by the masses, we mite even see a sub 30% drop, something that happens often in domestic with a popular movie later in the run and 400m will be likely. I imagine the media will kick with some hype as it crosses milestones(2B) and TF4 and talk of being #1 all time. Is there an Obon type holiday in august in China? That would help. TF4 will be beaten next weekend, it will be $25-30m behind FF7 at 30 days, but with a projected $14m that weekend and a couple more weeks of summer itll have plenty o gas in the tank and may even hit the nitrous with media causing another wave of WOM to help to pass FF7 and $400.

 

FF7           TF4         MH   -35% Proj    
Day Yn % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot Yn Daily % +/- Last Week Tot $Tot  
Thur                     165     165 27  
Fri           195     195 32 132     297 48  
Sat 51 - MN       223 14.4%   418 69 188 42.4%   485 78  
Sun 347     398 64 213 -4.6%   631 103 184 -2.1%   669 108  
Mon 185 -46.7%   583 94 123 -42.1%   754 124 110 -40.2%   779 125  
Tues 167 -9.7%   750 121 112 -8.9%   866 142 103 -6.4%   882 142  
Wed 137 -18.0%   887 143 95 -15.7%   961 157 85 -17.5%   967 156  
Thur 115 -16.1%   1002 162 84 -11.0%   1045 171 83 -2.4% -49.7% 1050 169  
Fri 142 23.8%   1144 185 87 3.4% -55.3% 1132 186 81 -2.4% -38.6% 1131 182  
Sat 226 59.0%   1371 221 130 48.8% -41.9% 1262 207 121 49.4% -35.6% 1252 202  
Sun 185 -18.1% -46.6% 1556 251 118 -9.0% -44.6% 1379 226 125 3.3% -32.1% 1377 222  
Mon 73 -60.6% -60.5% 1629 263 54 -58.3% -56.1% 1433 235 65 -48.0% -40.9% 1442 232  
Tue 65 -11.0% -61.1% 1694 273 53 -1.9% -52.8% 1486 244 63 -3.1% -38.8% 1505 242  
Wed 52 -19.4% -61.8% 1747 282 43 -18.9% -54.5% 1529 251 57 -9.5% -32.9% 1562 252  
Thu 45 -14.1% -60.9% 1792 289 39 -9.3% -53.7% 1568 257 44 -22.8% -47.0% 1606 259  
Fri 59 31.1% -58.6% 1851 298 42 7.7% -51.8% 1610 264 47 6.8% -42.0% 1653 266  
Sat 92 55.1% -59.6% 1942 313 62 47.6% -52.2% 1672 274 78 66.0% -35.5% 1731 279  
Sun 69 -24.2% -62.6% 2012 324 58 -6.45% -50.8% 1730 284 78 0.00% -37.6% 1809 291 est
Mon 27 -61.4% -63.3% 2038 329 26 -55.2% -51.9% 1756 288 41 -47.4% -36.9% 1850 298 proj
Tue 26 -1.5% -59.4% 2065 334 28 7.7% -47.2% 1784 293 39 -4.9% -38.1% 1889 304 proj
Wed 24 -10.2% -54.8% 2088 337 23 -17.9% -46.5% 1807 296 36 -7.7% -36.8% 1925 310 proj
Thu 31 32.5% -30.2% 2120 342 18 -21.7% -53.8% 1825 299 32 -11.1% -27.3% 1957 315 proj
Fri 67 114.6% 14.2% 2187 353 18 0.0% -57.1% 1843 302 33 3.1% -29.8% 1990 320 proj
Sat 67 -0.6% -26.8% 2254 364 24 33.3% -61.3% 1867 306 50 51.5% -35.9% 2040 329 proj
Sun 39 -41.8% -43.8% 2293 370 20 -16.67% -65.5% 1887 309 48 -4.00% -38.5% 2088 336 proj
Mon 15 -61.3% -43.7% 2308 373 10 -50.0% -61.5% 1897 311 26 -45.8% -36.6% 2114 340 proj
Tue 14 -9.3% -48.1% 2322 375 10 0.0% -64.3% 1907 313 24 -7.7% -38.5% 2138 344 proj
Wed 12 -13.9% -50.2% 2334 377 10 0.0% -56.5% 1917 314 23 -4.2% -36.1% 2161 348 proj
Thu 10 -11.9% -66.9% 2344 379 9 -10.0% -50.0% 1926 316 21 -8.7% -34.4% 2182 351 proj
Fri 14 31.7% -79.7% 2358 381 11 22.2% -38.9% 1937 318 22 4.8% -33.3% 2204 355 proj
Sat 24 71.5% -64.9% 2381 385 11 0.0% -54.2% 1948 319 33 50.0% -34.0% 2237 360 proj
Sun 20 -15.3% -49.0% 2401 388           31 -6.06% -35.4% 2268 365 proj
Mon 10 -49.7% -33.8% 2411 390           17 -45.2% -34.6% 2285 368 proj
Tue                     16 -5.9% -33.3% 2301 371 proj
        2411 390       1948 319     2375 -2525 380 -405

 

 

 

 

 

 

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TMK according to cbooo is second today at the moment! That is incredible!

It was 2nd yesterday afternoon too, then got taken over in the evening By LD JB and WC in a tight race. Maybe it holds today 2nd today. Looks like it mite bump a little

MH looking at mid 70s, small decline, but still with 41% market share on 22.5% shows

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How does China market growing?

 

Is there a chart for this?

 

 

  Screens % Inc Adm (m) Adm Inc Adm P/Sc BO $M % Inc Tix Ave GDPnom BO% GDPnom GDPppp BO% GDPppp ppp% nom
2003           125     1,650,000 .0076% 4,960,000 .0025% 200.6%
2004           187 49.6%   1,940,000 .0096% 5,610,000 .0033% 189.2%
2005 4400   157   35682 250 33.7% $1.59 2,270,000 .0110% 6,400,000 .0039% 181.9%
2006 4700 6.8% 176 12.1% 37447 342 36.8% $1.94 2,730,000 .0125% 7,330,000 .0047% 168.5%
2007 5600 19.1% 195 10.8% 34821 438 28.1% $2.25 3,520,000 .0124% 8,840,000 .0050% 151.1%
2008 5700 1.8% 209 7.2% 36667 586 33.8% $2.80 4,560,000 .0129% 9,850,000 .0059% 116.0%
2009 6300 10.5% 263 25.8% 41746 873 49.0% $3.32 5,060,000 .0173% 10,700,000 .0082% 111.5%
2010 7800 23.8% 290 10.3% 37179 1452 66.3% $5.01 6,040,000 .0240% 12,300,000 .0118% 103.6%
2011 9200 17.9% 370 27.6% 40217 1929 32.9% $5.21 7,500,000 .0257% 13,800,000 .0140% 84.0%
2012 14000 52.2% 462 24.9% 33000 2586 34.1% $5.60 8,460,000 .0306% 14,900,000 .0174% 76.1%
2013 18100 29.3% 612 32.5% 33812 3400 31.5% $5.56 9,500,000 .0358% 16,200,000 .0210% 70.5%
2014 23600 30.4% 830 35.6% 35169 4800 41.2% $5.78 10,360,000 .0463% 17,630,000 .0272% 70.2%
2015 29000 22.9% 1200 44.6% 41379 6800 41.7% $5.67 11,100,000 .0613% 18,800,000 .0362% 69.4%
2005-14% Increase 436% 21% 429% 21% 36673 1820% 39% 263% 356% 321% 175% 597% -61%
    Average   Average Average   Average            

 

6.8b is my estimate, for this year up 41%. Could be over 7B

 

 

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Sunday(8.2.2015) Estimates
 
Daily total 176M yuan 
1). Monster Hunt ¥71M/cume: 1800M($290M) 
2).JianBingMan  ¥21.2M/cume: 1018M($164M) 
3). TMK : Hero is backSeer ¥20.6M/cume:780M($125.6M) 
4). Lady Of The Dynasty : 19.9M/cume:93M($15M)
5). Wild City  ¥17.3M/cume: 87.5M($14.1M) 
6). TheCrossingPart2 ¥6.8M/cume:29.9M($4.8M)
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From BO Global Report:

 

Monster Hunt had another solid weekend in China, taking the top spot with $30.6 million (-41%) despite several new big releases. The live-action/3D animated hybrid family film is already the highest-grossing Chinese language film of all-time in China with $290 million and is closing in on Transformers 4 ($319 million) to become the 2nd highest-grossing film of all-time. Monster Hunt has been the #1 movie in China for its entire release, 17 consecutive days.

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From BO Global Report:

Monster Hunt had another solid weekend in China, taking the top spot with $30.6 million (-41%) despite several new big releases. The live-action/3D animated hybrid family film is already the highest-grossing Chinese language film of all-time in China with $290 million and is closing in on Transformers 4 ($319 million) to become the 2nd highest-grossing film of all-time. Monster Hunt has been the #1 movie in China for its entire release, 17 consecutive days.

What is the longest steak of no. 1 ever in China?

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MH surviving today, means it will stay #1 until next Thursday when To the Force opens, meaning MH will have 21 consecutive #1 days (7.16~8.5), topping TF4 (20 days) and second only to JTTW (25) since Avatar. 

 

Now let's hope To the Force can at least open to 20m next Thu, otherwise ... MH would stay #1 for 28 days until 8.13 when Mr. Tumour arrives.  :ph34r: Bai He takes over Baihe ...

 

Unbelievable run and gross

 

 

What is the longest steak of no. 1 ever in China?

mite do 35m today +/-3

probably do 25m on Thursday for the new opener to beat

if mh wins its got the record

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