baumer Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Wait.....what? OW over 150? That's not possible, is it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 4 minutes ago, nickitaly said: My goodness!! ? do not take that seriously ... I posted it only to show how much different POVs are out there. Some have a reason, like the extreme change in pre-sales... on such a short notice, others not so much... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 I am already regretting it to have posted that.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Maoyan hasn't updated in the last hour. often happens outside of BO hours CBO is at 88m now. It often reports 10% higher than Maoyan, I find it difficult to use internal multipliers from that site, It could be a good indication that Maoyan is up to 80m though. Im hoping for 100m in presales by 8am and a shot at 300m/$46m OD 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mkgenie Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Just came back from midnight screening and fans party in Beijing China Estimated number came in too: Star Wars 7 opened with 17.8 million yuan (2.7 million US dollar ) for midnight shows naionwide. It was the fouth highest midnight result just behind Furious 7 (7.95 million USD), Avengers 2 (4.51 million USD) and Transformers 4 (3.22 million USD) in China. Saturday will witness more than 80,000 showings, the 3rd foreign films to have such wide release besides Furious 7 and Avengers 2. I will keep you updated. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Can someone break this down for me please? What is the opening weekend actually looking like in your opinions? 150 million dollar opening weekend from two days seems impossible to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 13 minutes ago, No Prisoners said: Maoyan hasn't updated in the last hour. often happens outside of BO hours CBO is at 88m now. It often reports 10% higher than Maoyan, I find it difficult to use internal multipliers from that site, It could be a good indication that Maoyan is up to 80m though. Im hoping for 100m in presales by 8am and a shot at 300m/$46m OD Maoyan is at 72.38m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jb007 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 8 minutes ago, Baumer said: Can someone break this down for me please? What is the opening weekend actually looking like in your opinions? 150 million dollar opening weekend from two days seems impossible to me. Chinaboxoffice is indicating that the prediction of 150m OW is way off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 8 minutes ago, Baumer said: Can someone break this down for me please? What is the opening weekend actually looking like in your opinions? 150 million dollar opening weekend from two days seems impossible to me. as posted earlier $40m OD is looking more and more likely based on realtime presales compared to all HLWD releases this past year a typical drop tomorrow should be 25% $70m OW 2day the largest day for all films is about $65m. so no, 150m not possible. well theoretically if it had all screens, not 55% of them and many many sellouts 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Yep for sure JB but theres been a few numbers thrown around here. So just wondering what the weekend prediction is now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 18 minutes ago, Baumer said: Can someone break this down for me please? What is the opening weekend actually looking like in your opinions? 150 million dollar opening weekend from two days seems impossible to me. 150M is impossible. More like 75-80M, if it holds well on Sunday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 9 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: Maoyan is at 72.38m. its been stuck there for 90 min. Hasn't updated. when it does it should be over 80m based on the hourly run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Thanks guys. Much appreciated. So a total north of 150m is certainly possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nVIDIADriver Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 (edited) 31 minutes ago, Baumer said: Can someone break this down for me please? What is the opening weekend actually looking like in your opinions? 150 million dollar opening weekend from two days seems impossible to me. It's impossible for TFA to get a $150M OW. I agree with Olive, the film is unfriendly to general Chinese audiences, just like AOU (maybe slightly better). As a fan, of course I enjoyed the film, but my friends were puzzled by the many details. IMO, a 352M(17.8+190+145) yuan OW is reasonable, about 53M in dollars. Edited January 8, 2016 by nVIDIADriver Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 6 minutes ago, Baumer said: Yep for sure JB but theres been a few numbers thrown around here. So just wondering what the weekend prediction is now. with most openers on sun mon tues, they often call the first 5 6 or 7 days the opening weekend in china. France usually opens on wed and the OS report includes that as a weekend number. This is a rare Saturday opening, could be confusing with a Monday opener. I could see 150m-175m thru next sunday. presales rising steadily itll, be definitely above 60m, probly in the 70s. Maybe 80s 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 10 minutes ago, Baumer said: Thanks guys. Much appreciated. So a total north of 150m is certainly possible. for the total run? that's double locked Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 (edited) 11 minutes ago, nVIDIADriver said: It's impossible for TFA to get a $150M OW. I agree with Olive, the film is unfriendly to general Chinese audiences, just like AOU (maybe slightly better). As a fan, of course I enjoyed the film, but my friends were puzzled by the many details. IMO, a 352M(17.8+190+145) yuan OW is reasonable, about 53M in dollars. I think Baumer meant final total / endresult = not OW By the many details? Edited January 8, 2016 by terrestrial Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Really good numbers, it's nice to see that the Chinese enjoy this movie. I never thought $200m are possible. LU HAN'S POWER lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 10 minutes ago, terrestrial said: I think Baumer meant final total / endresult = not OW By the many details? no. we were talking about a $150m opening weekend tweet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nVIDIADriver Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 11 minutes ago, terrestrial said: I think Baumer meant final total / endresult = not OW By the many details? $110M is possible Some of my friends were hard to understand the relationship of the characters, because they have never watched a star wars film before. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...