fmpro Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 6 hours ago, No Prisoners said: 1400 we have a 3 way race. NG 55m The most in PS this morning but has just a 4m run rate and if its PS heavy in the evening, the rate could slow,. 90-105m PS multi; 2.1 BF 49m 4m run rate and it may hold constant since its a toon. 90-100m PS multi 2.7 CW2 48m had the lowest PS but has the highest hourly run rate at 5m and that rate should increase after 6pm. 95-105m PS multi; 2.8 TMNT2 on its way to 10-11m down 88% WoW NYSM2 heading to 3-5-4m -90% Bount Hunter 3m -93% ID2 1.5m -93% FD 350k -93% Three 70k will fall short of 100m unless they fudge Edit BF and NG slowing down, either PS heavy or less evening shows. CW2 is picking up steam as it should since it skews older. CW 95-100m NG 80-85m BF 70-75m PS for all 3 are almost identical for tomorrow. CW will probably take the weekend. BF second Looks like TMNT will do around 11 mill atleast. And your updated numbers for the 3*OD seems pretty spot on 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Friday Est Cold War - 98.9M (4.65M midnights) Never Gone - 84.3M (2.55M midnights) Big Fish - 74.6M (1.9M midnights) Turtles - 11.85M/299M NYSM2 - 3.24M/607M IDR - 1.55M/486M 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 I have overestimated So Young 2, beating Book of Love is dead now. Even topping its predecessor is no way. Surely, it had highest PS but ended up lower than expectation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted July 9, 2016 Share Posted July 9, 2016 (edited) Midday projections CW2 95-100m close to flat which happens often for summer locals BF 85-90m Small bump for a toon NG 50-55m Big frontload or bad Wom TMNT2 19m NYSM2 4m ID2 2m FD 1.5m Weekend will fall short of 1B. With NG falling hard and next weekends openers looking to be small, this July is pacing to be down YoY. Not good considering there are 5 full weekends this July giving it a 300m advantage Edited July 9, 2016 by No Prisoners 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polaroids Posted July 9, 2016 Share Posted July 9, 2016 (edited) 5 hours ago, No Prisoners said: Midday projections CW2 95-100m close to flat which happens often for summer locals BF 85-90m Small bump for a toon NG 50-55m Big frontload or bad Wom TMNT2 19m NYSM2 4m ID2 2m FD 1.5m Weekend will fall short of 1B. With NG falling hard and next weekends openers looking to be small, this July is pacing to be down YoY. Not good considering there are 5 full weekends this July giving it a 300m advantage It's both with the latter being a systematic attack against the male lead of the movie. Someone's out to get the guy and/or the movie. "Never Gone download links" trended #1 on Weibo today with links to the movie. Surprised that CW2 is doing well when I've seen reviews say it wasn't good. Hope Big Fish picks up since it's a passion project for the producers and they've been wanting to release it since over a decade ago. Edited July 9, 2016 by Polaroids 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted July 9, 2016 Share Posted July 9, 2016 1 hour ago, Polaroids said: It's both with the latter being a systematic attack against the male lead of the movie. Someone's out to get the guy and/or the movie. "Never Gone download links" trended #1 on Weibo today with links to the movie. Surprised that CW2 is doing well when I've seen reviews say it wasn't good. Hope Big Fish picks up since it's a passion project for the producers and they've been wanting to release it since over a decade ago. I have seen some leaked footage on weibo, Kris Wu really can't act. Gosh... And Liu Yi Fei is box office poison. =( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 9, 2016 Share Posted July 9, 2016 Saturday Est Cold War - 96M/196m Big Fish - 76.5M /150m Never Gone - 52.5m/134m Turtles - 16.9M/317M NYSM2 - 4.5M/617M IDR - 2.6M/489M Droy - 1.3m/250m 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 10, 2016 Share Posted July 10, 2016 Sunday Est Cold War - 95.8M/299m Big Fish - 75.3M /228m Never Gone - 42.4m/178m Turtles - 17.6M/335M NYSM2 - 4.8M/617M IDR - 2.685M/492M Droy - 1.6m/252m Fudge, fudge everywhere... 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 Predictions for Tarzan? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 30-40 mill $ IMO 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 I have one question: is Conjuring 2 getting released in China? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 On 7/9/2016 at 8:29 PM, TigerPaw said: I have seen some leaked footage on weibo, Kris Wu really can't act. Gosh... And Liu Yi Fei is box office poison. =( His acting in SOWK last year is fine but this Never Gone's acting is so poor. SO DISAPPOINTED! It won't make half of So Young's BO 3 years ago. EMBARRASSING! July will be down for sure. This weekend openers are far from last year MH, JBM & TMK, still wait to see if Skiptrace & League of Gods next- next week can save it. Looks like it won't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 3 hours ago, Lihongkim said: His acting in SOWK last year is fine but this Never Gone's acting is so poor. SO DISAPPOINTED! It won't make half of So Young's BO 3 years ago. EMBARRASSING! July will be down for sure. This weekend openers are far from last year MH, JBM & TMK, still wait to see if Skiptrace & League of Gods next- next week can save it. Looks like it won't. Judging by the trailer League of gods looked abysmal, I don't think Chinese audiences easily fall for bad quality like that anymore, they are really getting more selective. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 Monday Est Cold War - 48M/346m Big Fish - 39.5M /267m Never Gone - 21m/199.5m Turtles - 8.5M/344M NYSM2 - 2.9M/620M IDR - 1.4M/493M Droy - 0.4m/252.5m 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 1 hour ago, NCsoft said: Judging by the trailer League of gods looked abysmal, I don't think Chinese audiences easily fall for bad quality like that anymore, they are really getting more selective. Skiptrace looks even worse... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 25 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: Skiptrace looks even worse... Oh really? I'll have to check that trailer out, haven't paid much attention to that one at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 5 hours ago, James said: I have one question: is Conjuring 2 getting released in China? I doubt it simply because of the Ghost premise. Ghostbusters couldn't get a release here despite the name change so I doubt The Conjuring 2 would. However I'm basing this answer off of the Chinese censors and nothing with certainty. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 Wait, China isn't getting Ghostbusters? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 China Lifts Summer Blackout on Hollywood Films Amid Box-Office Slowdown http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-lifts-summer-blackout-hollywood-909264 After years of blocking Hollywood movies during the peak summer blockbuster season, why is China letting a few foreign tentpoles back in? China's film authorities appear to be taking a step back from one of Hollywood's least favorite policies. For years, Chinese regulators have imposed a blackout on foreign-film imports during the peak summer blockbuster season. Known locally as a "domestic movie protection period," the policy was designed to boost the local industry by giving Chinese-made movies an uncontested run at cinemas during the summer school break, which lasts roughly from late June through August. Additional blackouts are instituted during Chinese New Year in February and during the Golden Week holiday in October. Last year's summer blackout ran June 19-Aug. 23. It had the desired effect: Raman Hui's CGI-live-action fantasy Monster Hunt grossed $385.2 million to become China's then-biggest film ever, and other local pictures like Monkey King and superhero spoof Pancake Man earned over $150 million each. But regulators have loosened their grip this summer. According to precedents set in recent years, Independence Day: Resurgence, released June 24, should have been the last Hollywood tentpole to market, but instead Paramount's Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows was granted a July 2 release date (it easily won the weekend against a China-Korea co-production). More surprising, Warner Bros.' The Legend of Tarzan has been scheduled for July 19 — Alexander Skarsgard and Margot Robbie were in Beijing promoting the movie Thursday night — and Universal's The Secret Life of Pets is set for Aug. 2. Chinese production companies will then get a reprieve until Ice Age: Collision Course comes out on Aug. 23 and Jason Bourne bows on Sept. 1. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Durden Posted July 11, 2016 Share Posted July 11, 2016 1 hour ago, Mojoguy said: Wait, China isn't getting Ghostbusters? This is true ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...