China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[POTUS 2020]

AOU is looking at a unique record. Highest grossing disappointment in many markets including china.

 

On a serious note would 250m guarantee 1.5B. Probably not.

Possibly

710os 250 ch 430 Dom

1.4b is not guaranteed at this point

 

Gonna be close to DH2

Gun to my head? Unda

Edited May 13, 2015 by M F Lawrence

[tupek]

Boring. Dull. Disappointing. Uneventful...

[Silentknifezz]

Boring. Dull. Disappointing. Uneventful...

[Quigley]

So Tue final was 214M?

[TalismanRing]

 

OS-C looking at 700-720 depending on Japan

CHi maybe  mid 200's after todays number

OS 1B is becoming less likely

DOM 4 way tie for the 500m predictors

WW Now certain to below 1,5b is looking to go to the low baller Samsha

 

Possibly

710os 250 ch 430 Dom

1.4b is not guaranteed at this point

 

 

You seem to be low balling all around.

 

Internationally it was at $562,400,000 after a $68.3m weekend where the drop was harder than usual because it was coming off an inflated holiday weekend.  Even if it only did $25m in Japan that would mean it only making $113-133m ($700-720m) more in the current markets off a $68m w/e (most of which of which are in LA which usually have better legs).

 

$430m domestic would mean it would make less than IM3 from this point on (It did $120m post it's 2nd Monday) even though it's Monday was $4.6m compared to AOU's $5.4m ~ 18% higher and against lesser competition.  If it only kept it's 18% on IM3 lead it would do ~ $460m dom.

Edited May 13, 2015 by TalismanRing

[Fake]

Fuck this shit! I am outta here.

[Fake]

AOU is looking at a unique record. Highest grossing disappointment in many markets including china.

On a serious note would 250m guarantee 1.5B. Probably not.

250m would guarantee only 1.4B and would make 1.5B impossible.

[marveldcfox]

Hahahahaha...told you all that this movie won't beat FF7 either in India or China.

[Olive]

Hollywood Reporter ‏@THR  now9 seconds ago

'Avengers: Age of Ultron' Subtitles Leave Chinese Baffled http://thr.cm/0C3nhu 

[Silentknifezz]

Hahahahaha...told you all that this movie won't beat FF7 either in India or China.

so?we all know that already

[marveldcfox]

so?we all know that already

No, you didn't. Everyone here was expecting this to beat FF7 overseas and worldwide after seeing FF7's performance. But I called it out last month when FF7 released in China and India that A2 ain't beating FF7 in either China or India.

FF7 > A2 both quality and commercially

[Silentknifezz]

No, you didn't. Everyone here was expecting this to beat FF7 overseas and worldwide after seeing FF7's performance. But I called it out last month when FF7 released in China and India that A2 ain't beating FF7 in either China or India.

FF7 > A2 both quality and commercially

everyone here,in your imagination?   everyone here just expect it to get to 200-250M not the record of ff7

ff7>A2 commercially yep,quality they both meh  and ff7 far more worse than ff5 and ff6

Edited May 13, 2015 by Cy n

[KATCH-2D2]

No, you didn't. Everyone here was expecting this to beat FF7 overseas and worldwide after seeing FF7's performance. But I called it out last month when FF7 released in China and India that A2 ain't beating FF7 in either China or India.

FF7 > A2 both quality and commercially

Everyone? There're our predictions just a page ago and most of us had AOU under FF7 OS. Most didn't think it'd beat FF7 in China or India either, it's the DOM BO that most of us had it wrong.

 

FF7 can't even beat F5 and F6 in quality let alone any of the Avengers movies. Don't let that cheesy ending fool you. I for one didn't fall for it.

[alee7915]

Box Office: 'Avengers: Age of Ultron' Opens to Record $33.9M in China Tuesday http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-avengers-age-ultron-795314

[samsha22]

A look at predictions from two weeks ago, most are in the 200-300 range before the presale hype started talking it up more into the 300s

 

 

  OS-C China OS Dom WW           Alucard 900.0 300.0 1200.0 650.0 1850.0           AxelSteal 950.0 350.0 1300.0 650.0 1950.0           Quigley 840.0 280.0 1120.0 630.0 1750.0           Pypa94 855.0 302.0 1157.0 593.0 1750.0           fmpro 815.0 265.0 1080.0 575.0 1655.0           The Stingray 850.0 300.0 1150.0 500.0 1650.0           Infernus 825.0 285.0 1110.0 565.0 1675.0           Ent .   1100.0 550.0 1650.0           GokaiRed 825.0 250.0 1075.0 575.0 1650.0           Mattw 800.0 300.0 1100.0 525.0 1625.0           picres 750.0 300.0 1050.0 550.0 1600.0           MikeTheAvenger 850.0 200.0 1050.0 550.0 1600.0           Johnny Storm 810.0 265.0 1075.0 525.0 1600.0           AD3S     1000.0 590.0 1590.0           peludo 750.0 275.0 1025.0 550.0 1575.0           Fake 800.0 250.0 1050.0 500.0 1550.0           Keysersoze 750.0 300.0 1050.0 500.0 1550.0           Deathlife     1010.0 525.0 1535.0           Cynosure 750.0 250.0 1000.0 525.0 1525.0           Katch 22 800.0 200.0 1000.0 520.0 1520.0           M F Lawrence 725.0 250.0 975.0 500.0 1475.0           samsha22 715.0 235.0 950.0 505.0 1455.0                                 Average 808.4 271.4 1074.0 552.4 1626.4  

 

     

 

OS-C looking at 700-720 depending on Japan

CHi maybe  mid 200's after todays number

OS 1B is becoming less likely

DOM 4 way tie for the 500m predictors

WW Now certain to below 1,5b is looking to go to the low baller Samsha

I missed out on the Domestic prediction.

[POTUS 2020]

 

 

 

 

You seem to be low balling all around.

 

Internationally it was at $562,400,000 after a $68.3m weekend where the drop was harder than usual because it was coming off an inflated holiday weekend.  Even if it only did $25m in Japan that would mean it only making $113-133m ($700-720m) more in the current markets off a $68m w/e (most of which of which are in LA which usually have better legs).

 

$430m domestic would mean it would make less than IM3 from this point on (It did $120m post it's 2nd Monday) even though it's Monday was $4.6m compared to AOU's $5.4m ~ 18% higher and against lesser competition.  If it only kept it's 18% on IM3 lead it would do ~ $460m dom.

 

Not low balling at all.

 

TA2 is still losing ground to IM3 and will lose more, faster, as IM3 will have a couple good holds coming up that TA2 wont. You will see their dailies match within a week and TA2s drop under in 2 weeks. A better comparison is FF7s second weekend.. It'll do 1.7x its second weekend for the remainder. 1.7 for TA2 is 443m but its not going to hold as well, 430m at best

 

I am actually in agreement with FD that OS is only good for 680m. SK taking a dump and much of Europe will too. Japan often drops on sequels and the XR is huge. you're right, 25m is probably the number. 705 is my number

 

Now here's were it gets interesting for the one that said its dull and the other that brought up DH2 OS

Allow me to preface. It got a raw deal with 3d only. A majority of the worlds movie goers don't want to see it, so I gotta believe it would've been over $300m if 2d was in China and is the reason I firmly believed it would not clear 250m since 2 weeks ago.

 

Why is TA2s run interesting? Its the opposite of FF7 which is very interesting. We all like to see milestones broken. This is breaking milestones in reverse.

 

FF7 started out with, "could a 7th installment beat FF6", after opening weekend it was, 1 billion WW? then 1b OS? then DH2 WW? quickly after that. Then could it beat TA2? now 1.5b looks certain to me, in question for others, and I believe beating TA1 is still possible.

 

TA2 started out as likely to be above TA1 WW and #1 movie of the year with Chinas explosion, to DOM being more front loaded than a stripper with 800cc implants, to 1,5b in doubt, to possibly losing to FF7, to 1b OS in doubt, 1.4b WW in doubt, and now talk of DH2 OS in doubt. Lets up it (or down it) one more possibility (keysersose will let you know I like to push the envelope) What if it is below 100m tomorrow? The weekend will suck and the week will be well below 900m. with the notorious 60-70% drops china can have, this puppy may just crawl to $200m.

 

now were talking 430 705 200

Under DH2 WW. How's that for a low ball? Possible

 

We have two fun things to root, track and extrapolate for the next few days/weeks. Will FF7 glide up to 1.52b over the next 8 weeks? Will TA2 crash and burn down to 1.34b in 4 weeks?

 

This will piss a few people off

OK let me have it

[zackzack]

everyone here,in your imagination?   everyone here just expect it to get to 200-250M not the record of ff7

ff7>A2 commercially yep,quality they both meh  and ff7 far more worse than ff5 and ff6

 

FF7 seems like an inflated Kurt Russell action movie from the 80s rather than a FF movie.

The FF series has mutated to a point it is almost unrecognizable. It has one small drag race scene

but in spirit, it is much closer to a standard urban action movie starring Kurt or Jason Statham.

I am mega-surprised it actually makes Avengers-level business

 

[Dementeleus]

 

Hollywood Reporter ‏@THR  now9 seconds ago

'Avengers: Age of Ultron' Subtitles Leave Chinese Baffled http://thr.cm/0C3nhu 

 

 

 

Whaaaaa? How does that happen?

[Quigley]

FF7 seems like an inflated Kurt Russell action movie from the 80s rather than a FF movie.

The FF series has mutated to a point it is almost unrecognizable. It has one small drag race scene

but in spirit, it is much closer to a standard urban action movie starring Kurt or Jason Statham.

I am mega-surprised it actually makes Avengers-level business

I'm sure Universal was too.

[TalismanRing]

Your first paragraph is already wrong.  TA2 is not losing ground to IM3, it's gaining. It opened a little less than 10% higher on it's opening w/e and as of Mon is now 11% higher and 18% higher for comparative Mondays.   IM3 next two weekends were against Star Trek and then FF6 + The Hangover - much bigger competition and it's drops were 50% and 46% (31% with 4 Day Memorial day).  Also, looking at second Mondays it's already holding better than FF7 where it's 48%+ higher  when it's opening w/e was about 30% higher.

 

 

Not low balling at all.

 

TA2 is still losing ground to IM3 and will lose more, faster, as IM3 will have a couple good holds coming up that TA2 wont. You will see their dailies match within a week and TA2s drop under in 2 weeks. A better comparison is FF7s second weekend.. It'll do 1.7x its second weekend for the remainder. 1.7 for TA2 is 443m but its not going to hold as well, 430m at best