China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[terrestrial]

is that good for ANTMAN

Last (opening weekend) Saturday = CNY108, good/normal for CBM seems to be -50% = expected/hoped for was seemingly ~ CNY54

[Cynosure]

The Little Prince is showing some decent longevity despite the cut in showings.

[druv10]

$100m for AM has been locked since that opening Friday. It's now heading to $110m or so.

To put how good AM is performing in perspective:

China will more than 4x UK, its second biggest international market. China will also produce more than 20% of its worldwide gross, 20%, the highest China/Worldwide percentage for any superhero movie in history. CA2 was just under 17%, DOFP just above 16%, GOTG 11%. (As for the China/NA ratio: AM 61%, CA2 46%, DOFP 51%, GOTG 26%.)

China has undoubtedly become the fruitful backyard gardon of Marvel. Probably as soon as in two years, North America will no longer be its biggest box office market. Eventually, we will see China become the biggest market, and not just box office wise, of most of those uniformed superheroes, Marvel or DC.

So Dr Strange and all other new Marvel IPs should make minimum of $100M+ ? Do you think Infinity Wars could make more in China than Domestic?

[druv10]

Saturday estimates
ANT-MAN  61M/475M 
GML 32M/1320M
Detective Conan 25.2m/40.5m
THE LITTLE PRINCE 15.6M/118M
PAN 7.3M/16.7M

Awesome jump. 20% drop on Sunday and weekend is 143.3M (-47%) and with 25% drop gets 140.25M(-48%) weekend. 

After Sunday total will be over 520M, about 115M away from $100M. Ant-man should finish with $105-110M.

[terrestrial]

So Dr Strange and all other new Marvel IPs should make minimum of $100M+ ? Do you think Infinity Wars could make more in China than Domestic?

I think it still depends on the general quality and if the movies genre-mix is liked in the country or the humor,... and translation, and even e.g. who looks nice / appealing to whom?

Not a common thing worldwide

I am neral in geagainst general expectations, even more so in the case of the MCU movies, they are quite different and the new installments still unproven to a degree

Ant-Man seemingly was well liked in other Asian markets with a - to a degree - similar 'taste' as China seems to have, doesn't mean that will count for all MCU movies

[Cynosure]

I thought AOU being a mediocre movie and having poor WOM in China could have hurt their brand but it looks like it didn't. Maybe it will impact Avengers: Infinity War a bit but the market will have grown so much by then that it will be hard to tell.

Edited October 24, 2015 by Cynosure

[Olive]

Two Infinity War movies combined should easily make 5B yuan 3-4 years from now.

[druv10]

Two Infinity War movies combined should easily make 5B yuan 3-4 years from now.

So roughly $400M on average for both movies.

Hey what is your SW7 prediction? 150M?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Dr Strange will be big here. It stars Cumberbatch. $100m should certainly be the floor. AM can do $110m. So Dr Strange, coming one year later, has no reason to do less than that, unless it were truly bad quality.

By Infinity War comes, no one will remember TA2 .... it's 2018, so it making more in China than Domestic shouldnot be surprising at all.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

 The bar was set pretty low anyway...

haha, true.

[Olive]

Cumberbatch is most popular English actor in China， Sherlock fangirls can rival MCU fanboys.

Haha..

[terrestrial]

Happy brithday Olive and thank you for your work here

[TalismanRing]

Happy Birthday Olive!

[seduh]

Great numbers for Antman, $100 is a lock

[Infernus]

Infinity war 1 500m 

Infinity War 2 600m

 

And happy birthday Olive!!

 

 

 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Cumberbatch is the most popular foreign actor under 40 years old in China

 

fixed 

[sgchn40]

Happy brithday Olive and thank you for your work here

happy birthday Good Olive!

[Infernus]

Infinity war 1 500m 

Infinity War 2 600m

 

And happy birthday Olive!!

 

 

 

And btw these numbers may be looking big but even with just 30% growths till 2019 Avengers 2's 240m total here, and it wasn't even liked much leading to a worse than should-have-been multiplier, would convert to 527m in 2018 and and 685m in 2019. Plus the marvel brand is getting stronger. Plus those will be the finale movies with all the heroes. Plus Infinity War 2 would be the finale of this so-long saga. So yeah, I think these numbers shouldn't be tough.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

Well....if $600M or higher, happens in China for IW2.....it could maybe beat Titanic, WW-wise.

 

 

[Olive]

Sunday estimates
ANT-MAN  48.5M/522M 
GML 26M/1346M
Detective Conan 17.6m/56.6m
THE LITTLE PRINCE 14.1M/132M
PAN 5.6M/22M

INSIDE OUT 0.7M/96.3M

Edited October 25, 2015 by The Good Olive