China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[DAJK]

8 minutes ago, Olive said:

$80-90M ow

$200-220M TOTAL

This is in American dollars? Cause that'd be pretty embarrassing if it wasn't

[terrestrial]

7 minutes ago, DAJK said:

This is in American dollars? Cause that'd be pretty embarrassing if it wasn't

Olive uses ￥ for the Chinese currency.

[DAJK]

4 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

Olive uses ￥ for the Chinese currency.

Gotcha  Can you tell I don't visit this thread often enough?

[Gavin Feng]

$80-90M OD and $200-220M OW "I guess”(you know what I mean)

 

 The Great Wall must make $200m OW, killing Rogue One’s domestic OW and total

Edited December 8, 2016 by Gavin Feng

[bangbingchan]

10 hours ago, POTUS said:

Animation or not, If the demand was holding up it would have -10% or better weekday holds like FB, DS or ZOO etc.

15%+ daily declines forecast a weaker weekend and doesn't forebode well for the following week with a big opener like the TGW

Zootopia is exceptional.Most animation are weekend films.There is little animation holding 30M+ or 20M+ on non-holiday weekdays.Zootopia gross $230M.It can't compare with Zootopia.Your Name is heading for $90M，not $200M.

[chrisman0606]

Checked cbooo live update and saw that Hacksaw Ridge is number one which means it might win Thursday, but how will it  do for the Fri-Sun weekend?

[eXtacy]

1 hour ago, chrisman0606 said:

Checked cbooo live update and saw that Hacksaw Ridge is number one which means it might win Thursday, but how will it  do for the Fri-Sun weekend?

 

Your Name pulling ahead and will win the day. Its got more presales for Saturday than the other two new releases so I guess it will fair pretty good.

 

 

[Olive]

Two milestones that Your Name may pass in the future

Biggest Japanese Movie - Doraemon: Stand by Me (530M)

Biggest None-CG animated movie - Big Fish and Begonia (565M)

 

[POTUS 2020]

6 hours ago, bangbingchan said:

Zootopia is exceptional.Most animation are weekend films.There is little animation holding 30M+ or 20M+ on non-holiday weekdays.Zootopia gross $230M.It can't compare with Zootopia.Your Name is heading for $90M，not $200M.

Regardless if its a $50m film or $200m film, a toon or live action, the weekday DoD performance at -10% is very good, 15% is just so so and a sign it will fade fast. It's a signal for legs.  It will be under $85m even with a large sat bump.

 

[TigerPaw]

7 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

$80-90M OD and $200-220M OW "I guess”(you know what I mean)

 

 The Great Wall must make $200m OW, killing Rogue One’s domestic OW and total

Why do you not like Rogue One?

I hope Rogue One beats Great Wall... simply because Great Wall is about white-washing and insult Chinese History. While Rogue One is the opposite, letting Chinese enter one of the biggest US IP and Cultural phenomenon. 

 

[Gavin Feng]

17 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Why do you not like Rogue One?

I hope Rogue One beats Great Wall... simply because Great Wall is about white-washing and insult Chinese History. While Rogue One is the opposite, letting Chinese enter one of the biggest US IP and Cultural phenomenon. 

 

In fact what I said is sarcasm. I love Rogue One so much and hope The Great Wall will flop(even I like Matt Damon and Jason Bourne).

[timurfincuk]

 When will the numbers for Hacksaw Ridge?

[nVIDIADriver]

10 minutes ago, timurfincuk said:

 When will the numbers for Hacksaw Ridge?

 

Maybe 18M (about $2.62M) or more, and the WOM is excellent (8.7 in Douban, 9.4 in Maoyan).

[eXtacy]

Drop for Fantastic Beasts today is brutal. Since its losing its premium screens tomorrow as well its going to finish way under 600m

[FantasticBeasts]

7 minutes ago, eXtacy said:

Drop for Fantastic Beasts today is brutal. Since its losing its premium screens tomorrow as well its going to finish way under 600m

Dollars please?

Edit: I checked it and 600m yuan is like 87m dollars. 

If it is above 85m I am OK. But not less!

Edited December 8, 2016 by FantasticBeasts

[nVIDIADriver]

1 minute ago, FantasticBeasts said:

Dollars please?

nearly $87M

[Polaroids]

As much as I like Zhang Yimou, I hope The Great Wall doesn't do well because it sets a horrible precedent for US-China co-productions (that it will only do well if you have a white actor as the main lead).

 

12 movies are screening on CNY. Any predictions? I think the battle's going to be between Stephen Chow x Tsui Hark and Jackie Chan.

[Olive]

18 minutes ago, Polaroids said:

As much as I like Zhang Yimou, I hope The Great Wall doesn't do well because it sets a horrible precedent for US-China co-productions (that it will only do well if you have a white actor as the main lead).

 

12 movies are screening on CNY. Any predictions? I think the battle's going to be between Stephen Chow x Tsui Hark and Jackie Chan.

JTTW2 is easily the frontrunner, it will make at least twice as mush as runner-up.

[Polaroids]

1 hour ago, Olive said:

JTTW2 is easily the frontrunner, it will make at least twice as mush as runner-up.

It's tricky because some people don't really see this as a Stephen Chow movie since he's not the director so it's not gonna have as much support as it would have if Stephen directed it. At the same time though, Tsui Hark's directed movies have done well in recent years so he obviously has a big pull too. 

[Olive]

Thursday Estimates

Hacksaw Ridge ￥17.55M  
Your Name ￥17.2M /384M  
Fantastic Beasts  ￥5.65M /533M  
Miss Peregrine ￥4M /94.7M 
Moana ￥0.85M /155M