China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[cannastop]

Good old Forbes is following the Coco in China story.

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robcain/2017/11/25/coco-revs-its-engines-for-a-record-busting-china-run-with-7-1m-saturday-nearly-4x-fridays-total/#79fd30e62b69

 

Quote

The picture nearly quadrupled to $7.1 million on its second day, and pre-buys for Sunday indicate that it could jump by another 25 percent or more, for an opening weekend gross in the range of $18 million to $20 million.

 

There’s already talk that Coco could challenge this year’s only big animated hit, Universal / Illumination’s Despicable Me 3 , and the $148 million total it collected this past July and August.

 

And there are even whispers that the $235 million PRC gross earned in 2015 by Disney’s Zootopia could be a viable target for the new Pixar film.

 

[efialtes76]

2 hours ago, peludo said:

This. Coco is destroying previous Pixar figures in China. It is really hard to beat Zootopia, but DM3 is not unreachable

It's unreachable.

Edited November 26, 2017 by efialtes76

[BoilingHotCoffee]

What major films are releasing in China next week?

[Olive]

5 minutes ago, BoilingHotCoffee said:

What major films are releasing in China next week?

some movies noby cares but could take screens away from holdovers.

 

[Olive]

I think some people just got carried away with early trend.

But remember, even if Coco only makes $80-100M in China, that's huge already, twice as much as previous Pixar record.

 

Any way, Sunday presales nearly doubled JL by 8AM, theatres haven't opened yet.

[bladels]

52 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

It's unreachable.

It's unreachable like JL will win this weekend 100% you said earlier? 

[efialtes76]

20 minutes ago, bladels said:

It's unreachable like JL will win this weekend 100% you said earlier? 

No,only at 99.9%

ps:DM3 did $158M in China...

Edited November 26, 2017 by efialtes76

[cannastop]

2 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

It's unreachable.

It's a bit early to say what's unreachable or not.

[peludo]

2 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

It's unreachable.

Really? I do not see it so hard

[A Marvel Fanboy]

11 hours ago, BenedictL11 said:

Coco's next competition, Paddington 2 will be on December 8. However, its predecessor earned $15M (USD) modestly. Is there anything else that will prevent Coco from getting to Dangal/Zootopia-type levels until Star Wars (releases in early January)

Paddington 2 will be much bigger than its predecessor. Some think this one could be $80m big. Between Paddington 2 and SW8 on Jan 5th, there are some big local pics too. But as I have always believed, the market is big enough that it can hold several big release at the same time. Competition is often overestimated. 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

4 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

It's unreachable.

You cannot rule out the possibility. Pre-release, everyone thought Coco would make only $20m something. But two days in play, we all know $100m is certain.

[POTUS 2020]

CC running at 4.7m p/h. It should hold close to that thru 10pm. Increasing at 2pm and fading after 830pm. 

Mid 60s, maybe 70m, very close to Zoo's 72m sunday.  I could see a bump well over 100m for next saturday.

DM3 likely to go down. 

 

Edited November 26, 2017 by POTUS

[efialtes76]

6 minutes ago, POTUS said:

CC running at 4.7m p/h. It should hold close to that thru 10pm. Increasing at 2pm and fading after 830pm. 

Mid 60s, maybe 70m, very close to Zoo's 72m sunday.  I could see a bump well over 100m for next saturday.

DM3 likely to go down. 

 

Probably.

 

 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

CBO, Super Legs (X>50, OD>1 million, since 2010)
Title	OD (M/RMB)	Total (M/RMB)	Total/OD Multiplier	Maoyan	Year
Dangal	15.7	1296.6	82.5	9.8	2017
Zootopia (3D)	22.5	1530.4	68.2	9.5	2016
Goodbye Mr Loser	23.3	1441.4	61.9	9.3	2015
The Path of Soul	1.8	99.8	57.0	8.8	2017
Wolf Warrior 2  (3D)	102.0	5682.0	55.7	9.7	2017
The Moneky King: Hero is Back  (3D)	18.0	956.4	53.1	9.3	2015
The Taking of Tiger Mountain (3D)	17.1	884.2	51.7	9.2	2014
Twenty Two	3.4	170.0	50.6	9.2	2017
Finding Mr. Right	10.3	519.1	50.4	8.8	2013
Coco (3D)	12.0			9.6
		600.0	50.0
		720.0	60.0
		960.0	80.0
		1080.0	90.0

Edited November 26, 2017 by firedeep

[a2k]

39 minutes ago, firedeep said:

CBO, Super Legs (X>50, OD>1 million, since 2010)
Title	OD (M/RMB)	Total (M/RMB)	Total/OD Multiplier	Maoyan	Year
Dangal	15.7	1296.6	82.5	9.8	2017
Zootopia (3D)	22.5	1530.4	68.2	9.5	2016
Goodbye Mr Loser	23.3	1441.4	61.9	9.3	2015
The Path of Soul	1.8	99.8	57.0	8.8	2017
Wolf Warrior 2  (3D)	102.0	5682.0	55.7	9.7	2017
The Moneky King: Hero is Back  (3D)	18.0	956.4	53.1	9.3	2015
The Taking of Tiger Mountain (3D)	17.1	884.2	51.7	9.2	2014
Twenty Two	3.4	170.0	50.6	9.2	2017
Finding Mr. Right	10.3	519.1	50.4	8.8	2013
Coco (3D)	12.0			9.6
		600.0	50.0
		720.0	60.0
		960.0	80.0
		1080.0	90.0

Minimum gives 50.4 * 12 = 605 (92 usd)!

IMO 55x is realistic, 660 (100 usd).

Edited November 26, 2017 by a2knet

[NamakFiskKa]

1 hour ago, firedeep said:

Dangal 15.7 1296.6 82.5 9.8

How the hell found this movie so much audience here ?

[peludo]

Coco nearly doubling JL today 

[Olive]

5 minutes ago, peludo said:

Coco nearly doubling JL today 

Coco will win "only" by 25M

[TigerPaw]

Does the coco have that Frozen 30mins thing in China?

[Olive]

9 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Does the coco have that Frozen 30mins thing in China?

No, Disney/Pixar shorts never made to big screen in China, because they need extra quota.