China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[druv10]

20 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

monday #s for JL $1,83M ($86M total after 11 days). Thor 3 11th day was $2,41M ($98,54M total after 11 days).

The gap is now at $12,5M. After day 11, Thor 3 has taken 13M (it sits at 111,57 now, might not even get to 113M final run). JL is 14M away from $100M. So JL should equals Thor 3 #s day by day for at least reaching the 100M very very very sharply.

I don't understand why many of you are so sure of JL hitting 100M in China. From the opening weekend I saw it missing the mark. There must be something coming that i don't see  and will push JL to the 100M mark.

Showtimes, JL will nearly double Thor on 3rd Friday comparatively speaking. It's gonna be a crawl but it'll make it. My guess 101-102M finish.

[POTUS 2020]

41 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

monday #s for JL $1,83M ($86M total after 11 days). Thor 3 11th day was $2,41M ($98,54M total after 11 days).

The gap is now at $12,5M. After day 11, Thor 3 has taken 13M (it sits at 111,57 now, might not even get to 113M final run). JL is 14M away from $100M. So JL should equals Thor 3 #s day by day for at least reaching the 100M very very very sharply.

I don't understand why many of you are so sure of JL hitting 100M in China. From the opening weekend I saw it missing the mark. There must be something coming that i don't see  and will push JL to the 100M mark.

thor had JL in its 3rd weekend. it dropped from 13m thur to 4m on friday

JL has little comp. should be 9-10m on thur and Friday. so it will gain 6m on Friday, 12m and 9m on sat-sun and another 10m mon-thur= 37m/$5.5m

[UserHN]

3 hours ago, POTUS said:

PS for tomorrow at 2.85m and will get to 3.1-3.2m. 

Were PS 2.7m for today? I cant remember. 

A bump will make saturday 100m+, up 100%+ WoW

 

Is this for Coco?

[efialtes76]

2 hours ago, meriodejaneiro said:

monday #s for JL $1,83M ($86M total after 11 days). Thor 3 11th day was $2,41M ($98,54M total after 11 days).

The gap is now at $12,5M. After day 11, Thor 3 has taken 13M (it sits at 111,57 now, might not even get to 113M final run). JL is 14M away from $100M. So JL should equals Thor 3 #s day by day for at least reaching the 100M very very very sharply.

I don't understand why many of you are so sure of JL hitting 100M in China. From the opening weekend I saw it missing the mark. There must be something coming that i don't see  and will push JL to the 100M mark.

Because Thor dropped 83% on his third weekend and JL probably will fall around 60 %.

[Olive]

Monday est after service fees
Coco  -  20.0m/138.0m -65.6%
Justice League  -  11.5m / 567.1m -66.4%
Manhunt  -  7.0m/81m -60%
Thor: Ragnarok  -  1.16m / 737.6m -63%
Orient Express  -  0.9m / 222.6m -69%
- Coco didn't have insane hold like Zootopia(-50%) , but it holds better than other live-action blockbusters,

  Moana last year dropped 80%.Moana get hit hard on 2nd Friday, only 3% showtimes, CC will have around 20% instead.
- JL weekly drop -64%, it will hold better than weekend, and 3rd weekend will drop less than 60%, ThorR dropped 84% in face of JL.
 
Tuesday Maoyan prediction
Coco 23.9M +19%
JL 10.7m -6.5%

[raegr]

Good on Coco and Thor, JL is doing ight

[BoilingHotCoffee]

What Tuesday number would we have to see for $150M to be in consideration?

[cannastop]

32 minutes ago, BoilingHotCoffee said:

What Tuesday number would we have to see for $150M to be in consideration?

Anything above 24m yuan would be encouraging, going by @Olive Skywalker's post.

[druv10]

1 hour ago, BoilingHotCoffee said:

What Tuesday number would we have to see for $150M to be in consideration?

Friday and Saturday jumps are the most important for 150. Something like below with holidays coming up would certainly make 150M+ total very likely.

 

40

115

100

 

Edited November 28, 2017 by druv10

[fmpro]

Looks like 10,5-11 for JL(small decrese) and 21-23 for Coco(small increase)

[POTUS 2020]

9 hours ago, BoilingHotCoffee said:

What Tuesday number would we have to see for $150M to be in consideration?

24m would be good or if it bumps to 22 today(looking like it)then 24m tomorrow.  Midweek momentum will get it more shows on friday causing a bigger weekend bump.  If it can be at 25m on thursday we'll see

F   43m   +75%

S  107m +150%

S    96m  -10%

2nd WE  244m

10 day total  434m

2nd week 320m

14 days  510m.

It will need to hold -35% for the following 3 weeks to hit 1B/$150m.

Possible, far from locked though

20% of total shows are listed for Friday, Coco already at 12%, mid 20s probable. OD Friday had just 9.8%, sat 15%. 

JL at 5%, will probably get to 10%, was 19% last Friday.  Thor3 had 20% of shows on second Friday, just 4% on the 3rd

 

Edit PS 10% ahead of yesterday at this time

Edited November 28, 2017 by POTUS

[mredman]

when will JL pass 100 million looks like any day now right ?

[Brainiac5]

4 minutes ago, mredman said:

when will JL pass 100 million looks like any day now right ?

No later than the middle of next week ,Maybe earlier.

[Olive]

Tuesday est after service fees
Coco  -  21.5m/159.8m +8%
Justice League  -  10.6m / 577.8m -8%
Manhunt  -  6.1m/87.2m -14%
Thor: Ragnarok  -  1.13m / 738.8m -4%
Orient Express  -  0.9m / 223.6m -1%
- Coco didn't have increase like Dangal(+16%) , but similar increase like BH6 which also had insane legs
  Presales up 10%, it should at least be flat on Wednesday,Sat showtimes already over 21%, will get close to 30%
 

[fmpro]

Coco should go up again today. JL looks to do around 10

[druv10]

3 hours ago, fmpro said:

Coco should go up again today. JL looks to do around 10

Yeah Coco already at 20M same as Monday, should finish around 24M while JL around 9.5M.

[NCsoft]

2 hours ago, druv10 said:

Yeah Coco already at 20M same as Monday, should finish around 24M while JL around 9.5M.

well, this looks pretty encouraging for Coco!

[Olive]

#InfinityWarTrailer has been retweeted by 50K in less than hour on Weibo（Marvel official account）, easily the most hyped trailer ever.

[NCsoft]

8 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

#InfinityWarTrailer has been retweeted by 50K in less than hour on Weibo（Marvel official account）, easily the most hyped trailer ever.

Looking forward to its China performance!

[Olive]

Wednesday est after service fees
Coco  -  24.0m/184m +11%
Justice League  -  9.95m / 587.8m -6%
Manhunt  -  5.7m/93m -14%
Thor: Ragnarok  -  1.14m / 740m +1%
Orient Express  -  0.84m / 224.4m -8%
- Coco had another good increase with more showtimes added , and a similar increase on Thursday is also can be expected.

#3 hollywood animation behind DM3 and Sing
 

Friday showtimes- 26 hours to go

Fireworks(26.6%), presales 5.56M mostly boost by cheap tickets, multiplier gonna be very low, around 20-25M OD likely

Coco (18.4%), will be get over 20% showtimes easily, and locked to be #1 on Friday. 50-60% increase on Friday?