China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[The Dark Alfred]

Expecting mega numbers for MI5.

[POTUS 2020]

Yeah, I do get that, I just don't get why they would do that with a movie that's still making so much money.

Most of the profit stays in China, after all.

30 day rule for nearly all movies, very few get extended

protectionist thing

[POTUS 2020]

early Friday estimates

 

Monk 52-57m edit: stronger than I thought. nice fri bump for summer and day after open. WOM must be good

JW 11-13m

HA   9-10m going to be down 80% from last week. the Chinese take no prisoners on bad WOM. lucky to do 350m/$57m. $100m/65% short of expectations. China's "Ted"

IAS  8-9m

SP2 5.5-6m

4 new releases today, all going to do less than 5m

three little pigs looking for 10th

 

Showtimes were reduced again for JW (10%) and HA (13%) as there are a few more small releases today. no Friday bump for them plus its summer weekdays now, Friday doesn't bump much now anyway

 

The top 4 will nearly match TF4's 87m total last year, was its second Friday

Last year, July's first Friday was 133m.

Today may come in around 100-110m. July  will be down 40% from last year for the first three days

Edited July 3, 2015 by M F Lawrence

[Cookson]

I know this is kind of out of left field but how much you think Godzilla 2 can make in China in 2018? Isn't the market expanding rapidly there?

[JennaJ]

30 day rule for nearly all movies, very few get extended

protectionist thing

 

Thank you, I didn't know this. 

Guess movies really don't get the chance to be leggy in China.

[keysersoze123]

if movies had unlimited run with good screen count F7 would have done > 500m. JW did not even gross that much with 50% of screens unlike F7.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

I know this is kind of out of left field but how much you think Godzilla 2 can make in China in 2018? Isn't the market expanding rapidly there?

I think somewhere around $190-270M in China.

And yeah, China's markets do increase pretty fast.

Edited July 3, 2015 by MrFanaticGuy34

[Asyulus]

Godzilla could definitely outgross AoU in China.

[fmpro]

When does Terminator open in China

[Olive]

Friday Estimates

1). Monk Comes Down The Mountain ￥59M/cume: 102M($16.4M)

1). Jurassic World￥12.4M/cume: 1331M($214.5M)

2). Hollywood Adventure￥10.1M/cume: 260M($41.9M)

3). SPL2 ￥6.5M/cume: 514M($82.8M)

4). I Am Somebody, ￥5.9M/ cume: ￥16.4M ($2.6M)

5). Insurgent  cume: 107M($17.2m)

[Asyulus]

When does Terminator open in China

When does Terminator open in China

Late July or August, maybe.

[POTUS 2020]

midday sat estimates

 

Monk 65-70m. not much of a sat bump, must be skewing older. weekday movie perhaps

JW 25m. 100% sat bump

HA 15m

SP2 10m

IAS 9m

[Fake]

Jurassic World has been holding really well. This weekend will be in 55-60m range, as compared to 100m last weekend.

 

So I suppose Thursday is its last day? Then it should finish with 1.41B ($227m).

[Asyulus]

Did the protection period began already?

[POTUS 2020]

Did the protection period began already?

it began, no new foreign releases. Thursday is the 30th day for JW. only in china does a movie close after having a $10m weekend

thats at least $15m more it would have made if it stayed open. This July is going to be down compared to last year and there are 20% more theaters. They could've used that money. They'll start screaming over this shit when things slow down and they have too many empty seats in a few years.

[Asyulus]

I'm taking a break for now.

[JennaJ]

it began, no new foreign releases. Thursday is the 30th day for JW. only in china does a movie close after having a $10m weekend

thats at least $15m more it would have made if it stayed open. This July is going to be down compared to last year and there are 20% more theaters. They could've used that money. They'll start screaming over this shit when things slow down and they have too many empty seats in a few years.

This is really silly. A movie has no chance to have good legs with this mathod.

But I guess that's just the way China works. What can you do.

[Fantaboy]

Sunday Estimates

1). Monk Comes Down The Mountain ￥59.7M/cume: 233M($37.5M)

2). Jurassic World￥23.1M/cume: 1378M($222.1M)

3). Hollywood Adventure￥13.9M/cume: 291M($46.9M)

4). I Am Somebody, ￥11.1M/ cume: ￥40.8M ($6.5M)

5). SPL2 ￥10.2M/cume: 535M($86.2M)

...

10). Begin Again ￥1.6M/cume: 13.3M($2.1M)

[Asyulus]

 

Sunday Estimates

1). Monk Comes Down The Mountain ￥59.7M/cume: 233M($37.5M)

2). Jurassic World￥23.1M/cume: 1378M($222.1M)

3). Hollywood Adventure￥13.9M/cume: 291M($46.9M)

4). I Am Somebody, ￥11.1M/ cume: ￥40.8M ($6.5M)

5). SPL2 ￥10.2M/cume: 535M($86.2M)

...

10). Begin Again ￥1.6M/cume: 13.3M($2.1M)

 

Strong holds for JW, could end in $225m

[Olive]

Monday Estimates

1). Monk Comes Down The Mountain ￥28.6M/cume: 262M($42.2M)

2). Jurassic World ￥10.2M/cume: 1389M($224M)

3). Hollywood Adventure ￥7.2M/cume: 297M($47.8M)

4). I Am Somebody, ￥5.6M/ cume: ￥46.4M ($7.5M)

5). SPL2 ￥5.2M/cume: 540M($87M)