fmpro Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 10 minutes ago, POTUS said: Apartment 302m OD 490m/$71.5m OW Weekday holds should be fun to watch Island 151m OD 510m/$74.5m+ OW Will win the weekend with half of OD BO Meg 106m OD 330m/$48m OW Will be close to flat today with a 20% increase in shows from 19-23%, it should have good weekday holds as it will gain more shows daily and it will need them to cross 685m/$100m with 4 releases taking 65% of shows on Friday Meg is doing pretty good. But it really needs some local help to hit 100 mill IMO With help i mean screencount 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 (edited) Dom v China of Meg is an anomaly. Money left on the table? Needed a better release date I guess. WB films this year, Tomb $57 vs $80 ....+40% RPO $137 vs $220 ... +60% Rampage $99 vs $156 ... +57% Meg $110 vs $105 ... -5% (using ~2.5x dom multi and ~2x China) Edited August 12, 2018 by a2k NEW NUMBERS CAME IN 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 (edited) Meg increases on sunday 😳 Looks like 122 mill and 50 mill+OW Brings 100 mill back in play Edited August 12, 2018 by fmpro 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 Sunday Estimate The Island 192M/535m, +1% The Meg 123M/347.7m, +8%Apartment of Love 59M/489.4M, -53.5% Hello Mr. Billionaire 36.2M/2341M ,+17%Shoplifters 2.95M / 85.3MDetective Dee III: 1M/593m 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 (edited) Friday: AoL 22x HMB Saturday: 4x Sunday 1.6x Edited August 12, 2018 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 Looks like a pretty good drop for Meg today 38+ mill by 5pm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 Meg is gaining screens and will drop less than 50% today 😱 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 20 minutes ago, fmpro said: Meg is gaining screens and will drop less than 50% today 😱 2x multi would have given it around $105 total. Hope it can leg it to $125-130, 2.4-2.5x. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 Good to see audiences responding favourably to it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 (edited) Its doing 70 mill+ after a 122 mill sunday.. Not bad at all ...... around 43% drop Edited August 13, 2018 by fmpro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 1 hour ago, a2k said: 2x multi would have given it around $105 total. Hope it can leg it to $125-130, 2.4-2.5x. Many new movies on friday. I doubt it 2x is the hopefull target eventhough its doing fantastic today 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 (edited) 16 minutes ago, fmpro said: Many new movies on friday. I doubt it 2x is the hopefull target eventhough its doing fantastic today any reason why they picked this perticular release date or was it not in their control? being a chinese co-production one would think they had the pick of the dates and made the wrong choice like kfp3. Edited August 13, 2018 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 3 minutes ago, a2k said: any reason why they picked this perticular release date or was it not in their control? being a chinese co-production one would think they had the pick of the dates and made the wrong choice like kfp3. IDK. Thats something for one of the Chinese guys. Im just a European numbers guy 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 Monday EstimateThe Island 99.5M/633m, -48%The Meg 70M/417.2m, -43%Apartment of Love 21.4M/511.2M, -64% Hello Mr. Billionaire 19.4M/2360M ,-46%Shoplifters 1.32M / 86.5M, -54%Detective Dee III: 0.6M/594m 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 3 hours ago, a2k said: 2x multi would have given it around $105 total. Hope it can leg it to $125-130, 2.4-2.5x. it'll get to 590m on thursday. if it can hold -66% next week it'll reach 800m/$116m, then AM2 opens and it makes just 35m/$5m more a 75% drop takes it to 775m/$113m 4 middling openers happening. it could hold -60% and try for $125m this friday. HT3 looking to open at least $25m with 6m in PS now. not bad next friday, AM2 PS are decent at 2.8m. That should land in the 30m range for PS. $50-60m OW looking good 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 (edited) How's buzz for MI6? Are chinese critics reacting to it the same way as their foreign counterparts? Any chance it might have a 100m opening, improving on the 86m one of its predecessor? Edited August 13, 2018 by Infernus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted August 14, 2018 Author Share Posted August 14, 2018 Gravity chosed Aug 10 for a day and date worldwide release. It's neither a bad nor a good decision. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted August 14, 2018 Author Share Posted August 14, 2018 9 hours ago, Infernus said: How's buzz for MI6? Are chinese critics reacting to it the same way as their foreign counterparts? Any chance it might have a 100m opening, improving on the 86m one of its predecessor? havent see crtic reviews yet 100 opening? too high. 86m was five days. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgrave Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 Any data about the worst multipliers ever in China? I guess Apartment of Love will climb high on the chart Barely have a multiplier over 2... from its opening DAY!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 Tuesday Estimates The Island 80.5M/714m, -19%The Meg 62.8M/481.6m, -12% Hello Mr. Billionaire 17.9M/2378M ,-8%Apartment of Love 13.7M/525.4M, -36% Shoplifters 1.22M / 87.8M, -8%Detective Dee III: 0.6M/594.3m 2 hours ago, sgrave said: Any data about the worst multipliers ever in China? I guess Apartment of Love will climb high on the chart Barely have a multiplier over 2... from its opening DAY!!! AOL will fail to reach 2XOD, it will be gone on Friday, 4 wide openers will kill it. Asura almost managed a 2x multiplier from OD with 3-day release. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
