China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[fmpro]

6 hours ago, POTUS said:

9.4 is huge start for a SH movie.  I think it drops to 9.2

It looks like it will clear 200m today sans MN

 

MN      16m          16m

Fr       200m        210m possible if evenings aren't over presold

Sa      230m        260m  if it isn't a big OD frontload.  Could be a bigger bump with the high rating and a slow oct

Su      170m        208m  could be a tight sunday hold with this rating

Tot     616m        694m

Tot$   $88m       $100m OW possible

 

Looks like Friday will be highend or more 😱

[Premium George]

Nice. Sometimes I am right. Wrong about $300m dom but right about $500m os.

[MaxAggressor]

 

[KP1025]

I'm interested in how the very high Maoyan score will affect its multiplier. Could 2x be possible even with Fantastic Beasts 2 coming out next weekend?

[POTUS 2020]

 

32 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Looks like Friday will be highend or more 😱

Venom still holding at 9.4 after 30k more viewer ratings.

 

at 203m at 8:50pm. Should close in on 215m OD

 

30% is the normal bump for SH on Saturday.  We've seen less than 20% a lot lately for sequels.  I don't see why this doesn't do 30%.  Highly rated often bump up to 50%

 

Ill go with 16m + 215m +280m + 204m= 715m/$103m OW.   

10% more if it bumps big tomorrow

5% less if it bumps just 20%

$98-113m OW

 

[fmpro]

9 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

I'm interested in how the very high Maoyan score will affect its multiplier. Could 2x be possible even with Fantastic Beasts 2 coming out next weekend?

Good question. 9,4-9,5+ But i dont think Maoyan matters that much with Venom

2* multiplier is nearly impossible IMO

Edited November 9, 2018 by fmpro

[Firepower]

25 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Good question. 9,4-9,5+ But i dont think Maoyan matters that much with Venom

2* multiplier is nearly impossible IMO

Nothing is impossible in China, crazier things have happened there ☺️

[Gavin Feng]

Let’s see how many showtimes FB2 will take from Venom. I believe FB2 would make great but it might not be that huge like comic book movies. Venom has a chance to get 2.0 multiple .

[fmpro]

220 mill+ OD commeth 

Edited November 9, 2018 by fmpro

[fmpro]

16 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Let’s see how many showtimes FB2 will take from Venom. I believe FB2 would make great but it might not be that huge like comic book movies. Venom has a chance to get 2.0 multiple .

I doubt it with such a huge OW and FB2 coming. 

[VENOM]

21 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Midnight grosses for recent movies and Venom (all figures in Yuan)

 

Infinity War - 59.5m

Captain America 3 - 16.94m (Without fees so would be higher)

Venom - 15.42m 

Jurassic World 2 - 13.63m

Ant Man 2 - 10.36m

Mission Impossible 6 - 10.22m

Spiderman Homecoming - 9.90m

Black Panther - 9.31m

Justice League - 8.78m

Thor Ragnarok - 7.40m

 

Goes to show how big Venom is, it posted a bigger midnight than even Jurassic World 2. And double that of Thor Ragnarok! It is crazy and honestly a bit baffling why Venom of all movie is showing so much hype and upfront demand? Anyone has any theories?

I have a theory. Because WE ARE VENOM and we are awesome and we will eat your face if you don’t come and watch us right away you feel me? 

[a2k]

1 hour ago, POTUS said:

 

Venom still holding at 9.4 after 30k more viewer ratings.

 

at 203m at 8:50pm. Should close in on 215m OD

 

30% is the normal bump for SH on Saturday.  We've seen less than 20% a lot lately for sequels.  I don't see why this doesn't do 30%.  Highly rated often bump up to 50%

 

Ill go with 16m + 215m +280m + 204m= 715m/$103m OW.   

10% more if it bumps big tomorrow

5% less if it bumps just 20%

$98-113m OW

 

So Venom OW will beat or come close to lifetime totals of some CBMs.

JL, BVS, BP, DS, Thor3 did $95-113. Wondy was $90.

 

$100-105 ow and 1.6-1.7x gives $160-$180 total.

 

edit: amazingly it seems $160+ is conservative and $180-200 is more legit.

Edited November 9, 2018 by a2k

[VENOM]

1 hour ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

You hear that? That’s the sound of critics slowly pulling down their bad venom reviews. The world has spoken 

[ZeeSoh]

Venom has already exceeded Jurassic World 2's OD which was at 202m with 1.5 hours still to go!

 

Better yet, Venom's Saturday presales (56m) are the same as what Jurassic World 2's final Saturday presales were and Venom has still time to grow. JW2's Saturday presales were down 7% but its Saturday gross was about 26% higher than Friday. 

 

Venom's PS to OD multi is also better than JW2. If Venom can continue keeping pace with JW2 it will get to 110+ USD opening. Right now looking at the PS and strong rating I'm gonna bump up my prediction from mid 80's to mid 90's (possibly even higher)!

[Olive]

Friday Estimates -11/09

Venom 221M/238.7M,#2 HLW OD, #2 CBM OD ALL-TIME behind AIW, #6 HLW OD all-time

Detective Conan 2018 26.5M/26.9M, OD series record

Last Letter 13.6M OD

The Nutcracker 1M/104.6m

A Street Cat Named Bob 0.7M/88.15M

Hichki 0.3M/147m

 

ALL-TIME OD- Hollywood movies( without MN/PRE)

Fate of the Furious - 417.1M

Avengers: Infinite War - 387M

Furous 7 - 346.4M

Transformers 5 - 289.6M

Warcraft - 251M

Venom - 221M

Resident Evil 6 - 213.3M

Jurassic World 2 -202.5M

SW7 -196.2M

Avengers AOU - 185.9M

 

 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

WOW, what a shocking opening. Inexplicable.

 

that's almost doubling ODs of normal solo superhero movies.

Edited November 9, 2018 by firedeep

[A Marvel Fanboy]

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

Good question. 9,4-9,5+ But i dont think Maoyan matters that much with Venom

2* multiplier is nearly impossible IMO

iF it goes nuts (again) bumping close to 50%. I will no longer consider 2x impossible.

[a2k]

12 minutes ago, firedeep said:

iF it goes nuts (again) bumping close to 50%. I will no longer consider 2x impossible.

If 2x is not impossible then Venom China > Dom is not impossible

say $108*2 or so...

[Olive]

Maoyan predicts 301M Sat, and 1.43B lifetime

[MaxAggressor]