Olive Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Official domestic weekend estimate: $70,662 for AMOUR from 3 locations. Location avg. = $23,554. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 ZDT and SLP numbers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 (edited) The Hobbit will drop by 30% today, weekend will be closer to 35. I'm not sure what model you guys are using but I don't think a smallish drop in is in order today as the spikes were much greater yesterday. Edited December 23, 2012 by baumer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jb007 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 The Hobbit will drop by 30% today, weekend will be closer to 35. I'm not sure what model you guys are using but I don't think a smallish drop in is in order today as the spikes were much greater yesterday.baumer, since most people will have Monday off for Christmas eve, the drops will be in 18 to 20% range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 So what number did BAUF (Ballsackface An Unexpected Flop) come in at for Saturday? I'm still too drunk to check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I Am Legend was released at the 14th of december just like the hobbit. Its second weekdays were 25-50% larger than its first week with the exception of christmas eve. The hobbit should drop a sub 20% sunday and with the exception of christmas eve could have 8-11m weekdays for its second week. Also I am Legend only dropped 18.2% on its third weekend after dropping 56.6% on its second. So if it follows this it should be at 215-230m by its third weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 baumer, since most people will have Monday off for Christmas eve, the drops will be in 18 to 20% range.I know that's what happened in 2007, but I don't think it will again this year. The numbers have been weird. Friday was soft, Saturday robust and I think Sunday will be normal. I don't think a lot of people will be going to the movies tomorrow night either. So I'm going to call a 28-31% drop. I could be wrong of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Official domestic weekend estimate: $36.7 million for THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY from 4,100 locations. Location avg. = $8,952. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 (edited) 36.7 mill is the estimate for Hobbit. I guess they are estimating a very soft Sunday drop also.About a 56% drop. Edited December 23, 2012 by baumer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Exhibitor Relations @ERCboxoffice Universal's THIS IS 40 checked in with $12M this weekend--debuting w/ less than half of KNOCKED UP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Knocked Up was also a summer film coming on the heels of 40YOV. 12 mill is soft no doubt, but maybe it can get some decent legs and hit 60 mill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ky02121 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Exhibitor Relations @ERCboxoffice Universal's THIS IS 40 checked in with $12M this weekend--debuting w/ less than half of KNOCKED UP. Maybe Apatow will finally stop putting his annoying wife in his films. Her voice is like nails on a chalkboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 36.7 mill is the estimate for Hobbit. I guess they are estimating a very soft Sunday drop also. About a 56% drop. Not good. No matter the spin of "Oh but Saturday went up!" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Knocked Up was also a summer film coming on the heels of 40YOV. 12 mill is soft no doubt, but maybe it can get some decent legs and hit 60 mill.A Sweeney Todd run would give it $65-70m, and I can't imagine it holding worse over the holidays. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Not good. No matter the spin of "Oh but Saturday went up!" Yea, the Saturday number is good but it's also standard. At this point you can pencil in the Hobbit for 280-310, imo. No more and no less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Exhibitor Relations @ERCboxoffice Universal's THIS IS 40 checked in with $12M this weekend--debuting w/ less than half of KNOCKED UP. Funny People fails and what does Apatow do? Make another "dramedy" about rich, white California-based people that's two and a half hours. Way to learn from your failures, pal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 If #Hobbit plays out like IAmLegend w/ same calendar, it would finish w/ $280-290M. Better holiday hold leads to $300M. https://twitter.com/giteshpandya/status/282869851469537280 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jb007 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 (edited) I know that's what happened in 2007, but I don't think it will again this year. The numbers have been weird. Friday was soft, Saturday robust and I think Sunday will be normal. I don't think a lot of people will be going to the movies tomorrow night either. So I'm going to call a 28-31% drop. I could be wrong of course.There is a chance that it could vary from 2007. But I think since 24th is a holiday for most people, the drops will be soft Edited December 23, 2012 by jb007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 So 36.7m...... saved face but still a mediocre number overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 There is a chance that it could vary from 2007. But I think since 24th is a holiday for most people, the drops will be softYep, they are predicting a very soft drop, so I guess I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
