Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Just crunched some numbers and here's what I got with a hypothetical 174.1m OW: With SM3 legs: 387.7m With IM2 legs: 424.6m With Thor legs: 479.6m With Avengers legs: 523.3m With IM1 legs (includes Thursday previews): 542.9m 400m looks very likely if that number holds. I'm betting on SpiderMan 3 legs. There's just too much competition this May for it to cross $400M, even with an amazing OW of $175M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Just crunched some numbers and here's what I got with a hypothetical 174.1m OW: With SM3 legs: 387.7m With IM2 legs: 424.6m With Thor legs: 479.6m With Avengers legs: 523.3m With IM1 legs (includes Thursday previews): 542.9m 400m looks very likely if that number holds. I think it will end up with nearly the exact same legs of IM2. Not because WOM will be as bad as that, but because it's a much higher OW and this May is just so overcrowded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Swear it's like 4pm on the east coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 $400M is likely. Yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wileECoyote Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I can only get my theaters attendance, and since im at a smaller theater this year, there wont be a comparison. Hmmm, maybe I can ask my DM if she gets a similar report, but for all the theaters in her district...Cool. Oh yeah I forgot that you changed theaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I'm betting on SpiderMan 3 legs. There's just too much competition this May for it to cross $400M, even with an amazing OW of $175M. Nah, c'mon, if it's opening is that high it doesn't miss 400m. If many didn't think SM3 sucked ass it probably could've hit 400m despite the competition that surrounded it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I don't think it's looking good for TGG next weekend. It's going to have IM3's second weekend, which should be around $70M, and it also has to suffer from IM3's big female pull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I'm gonna be pissed now though if it misses 71m by less than a mil for summer game purposes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 SM3's WOM was toxic. Pure poison. So it's no wonder it collapsed after opening. IM3 will be different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jawa Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 My bet would be somewhere around IM2's legs as well. Keep in mind that as its the second sequel, it should in theory be more frontloaded than the first sequel. However, it being better received should cancel that out. It won't collapse as fast as SM3 did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I think it will end up with nearly the exact same legs of IM2. Not because WOM will be as bad as that, but because it's a much higher OW and this May is just so overcrowded. Yeah, ton of competition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 It's either going SM3 or IM2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 I don't think it's looking good for TGG next weekend. It's going to have IM3's second weekend, which should be around $70M, and it also has to suffer from IM3's big female pull. Yeah but aside from IM3 all the other holdovers are practically dead. TGG could hit 50m and IM3 70m and the overall weekend still wouldn't be much higher than $140m. Very doable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 IM2's multiplier would be fine. Still enough to get it over 400m assuming it does 165m or more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ladyevenstar22 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 personally i think people are more smart nowadays about the 3D thing, well at least they think about it twice! i'm opting 2D , if there wasnt the choice i might have watched this only once but as it is i'm planning on watching this 3 times ! and tonight is numero uno!!!! numero two will be saturday or sunday if i can combo that with GI JOE 2D showing that's finally available now that IM3 took over that screen i'm halfway through the door Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 BTC 2PM Update IRNM3 Headed for 174.1 weekend. Fri 70.0, Saturday 59.5, Sunday 44.6 http://www.hsx.com/forum/forum.php?id=3&pid=231653 Like I said in the BSG 174 million. So you fuckers can choose to bow now or later your choice. If you bow now you will be spared. If you bow later I will take this a sign of disrespect. Your choice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Changed my name to Victorious Iron Alpha. Because IM3 could have the second biggest opening weekend of all time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Iron Man 3's opening weekend will be bigger than the total gross of every weekend this year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Yeah but aside from IM3 all the other holdovers are practically dead. TGG could hit 50m and IM3 70m and the overall weekend still wouldn't be much higher than $140m. Very doable. Except TGG won't open to $50M. I'm looking at around $30M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Iron Man 3's opening weekend will be bigger than the total gross of every weekend this year. Finally a better-than-normal weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...