CloneWars

I maybe see studios going with 2 min. trailers, but not marketing until 150 days just isn't going to cut it. I don't see the studios going with the last one.

So, was Baumer the person who got Citizen Kane on the list? I shouldn't even have to ask.

What criteria are you going for as far as overrated? Overrated in terms of box office, critical reception, internet reception, what exactly?

If the performance was great and the role has an impact, then it shouldn't matter. That is why it is called a supporting role.

This might sound strange, but I feel Avatar was poorly marketed. The only reason it did so well was the pre-trailer hype from all the Hollywood insiders like Spielberg saying it was the second coming of cinema plus the curiosity factor of 3D. First trailer was 4 months before release and was shitty. 2nd trailer was awesome but only two months prior to release. Now, maybe Fox had the right marketing idea. Obviously, it made $2.7B, but I felt that Fox could have done better. I guess they felt all the pre-hype was strong enough for it. Makes me wonder if VII could try a similar approach with no trailer until 4 moths before release. That would be insane.

Even if we saw it coming, another movie could have won the DGA award. Also, BP/BD splits are rare. And, of all the Guild awards, the DGA holds the most weight. However, recently, the PGA has been a good indicator with 7 of the 10 past films in the last 10 years winning BP. The tie though sends things into a loop. But, you're right, it doesn't change much, but it does give Gravity a slight edge in winning BP since it seems highly likely it also wins BD.

My prediction. Interstellar gets nominated for BP. Nolan gets snubbed. Backlash like what happened with Argo. Interstellar wins BP! Okay, I can only hope.

So, the DGA win technically makes Gravity the front runner for BP. In the past 10 years, only once has the DGA nominee not won BP and that was when Crash won over Brokeback. Also, only once in the last 10 years the director did not end up winning BD although that was because Affleck wasn't even nominated in the category. However, the PGA tie really messes with things. And, let's not forget that the SAG branch is pretty big. But, I see the actors splitting votes between AH and 12YAS. Also, some of the people who voted AH through for the SAG are probably going to change votes now since it is obvious that AH's chances are super slim of winning at the moment, although not impossible.

I'm pretty excited about this movie. I think it has $250M potential. Okay, that might be a bit optimistic, but I want this to do well.

Yes, Kal and BKB pretty much make this thread impossible to read.

They wanted to adapt Ghost in the Shell originally, but they couldn't get the rights back then.

Deakins won't win this year. No other love for Prisoners. It will easily get overlooked for Gravity which will win all the techs except maybe editing. That is the only category I am not sure who is going to win. I think like BP, editing is a three-way race between AH, Gravity, and 12YAS

I think Cuaron wins the DGA, but then I think Gravity wins BP and McQueen wins BD. Sort of like what happened in 2000.

The moment Affleck was snubbed for BD, it became a one-way race. This is quite interesting. The PGA tie really throws a wrench into everything. Had 12YAS or Gravity won the PGA, AH's chances would be looking slim, but the tie pretty much puts all three films on equal footing. I still give 12YAS a slight edge.

No. I feel the expanded field is a good thing. So, who gives a fuck if less films are getting nominated in technical cats without having a BP nom first. The reason I feel this is good is that since the expanded field, BP nominees in general have been getting better box office. Compare the BO of 2003 to 2008 and then 2009 to 2012. Eliminate outliers like Gravity, ROTK, and Avatar and in general many of the films have been getting better BO and more general audience viewers invested in them. Even films that wouldn't get 5 noms are doing well. Look at how Wolf and AH are doing. Look at how Black Swan and The Fighter have done. In general, I think the expanded field has done more good than harm by bringing more awareness to films that would have otherwise been overlooked. Personally, I am not a fan of the article.

I wouldn't say AH is out of the race yet. You never know, surprises can happen. But, to be honest, I don't think it will win BP. I just don't think you should outright call this a two-way race just yet

The title should be changed so people know about the tie

A TIE!!!! Gravity and 12YAS tied! YES YES YES

I want it to be out of the race, but I think at this point, it's going to be close. What if this year there was an actual tie for BP at the Oscars. Imagine all the wtfs

Hell yes! A tie! Go three-way race. Hell yah! I'm liking this year a lot.

I think the lead from 12YAS has a chance.

Thanks

What is ADF

When will we know what one? Dammit, I don't want to see AH sweep the Guilds.

So, I just saw The Crow for the first time two nights ago. I noticed a lot of eerie similarities to TDK. First, some of the dialogue in The Crow almost exactly matches TDK. Both films are about a vigilante seeking some form of vengeance. And, in both cases, someone died in their twenties wearing white makeup. Has anyone else watched The Crow and noticed the eerie similarities to TDK?