TLK

I think that's from 200 theaters. It won't expand until Sunday.

A Monster Calls (FOC), 4 theaters /$7K Fri. / 3-day cume: $22K /3-day PTA: $5,5K/4-day:$33k/Wk 1 That's a terrible number if accurate.

Passengers should get a 4.5 multiplier from its 5 day total so around $105 million domestic. It will need $150 million + from OS market to get to a somewhat respectable (but probably not profitable) total. That's very doable.

Blame Hollywood. They can't work with more than one A-list actress at a time. Back in the 2000s every single studio role was first offered to Angelina Jolie regardless of whether she was right for the part or not. In the 1990s it was Julia Roberts. Now JLaw has the first dibs on every major female role.

DCEU movies had enough hype to make a billion each if the reviews were reasonable.

Tomb Raider is a sure bomb. Unknown director and writers with Vikander in place of Angelina Jolie. It is doomed.

$4-5 million will be terrible for Passengers and AC. Dragon Tattoo did $5 million in 2011 and had a $28 million 6 day total but it also had much better reviews.

Movie will make money. This are targeting younger audience with this movie and they don't give a fuck about RT score. A glossy romance with two A-list lead actors is good enough.

What's the deal with the black list hype anyway ? My understanding is that it is just a compilation of how popular a script is with Hollywood executives and it says nothing about the actual quality of the script. Most blacklisted scripted never pan out into good movies.

So a $1.1-1.2 billion WW numbers looks likely if North America and China deliver. That's pretty good as this is supposed to be a one-off movie and they are not planning a sequel.

Neil Turitz is saying that Passengers has a $160 million budget and he also thinks it is tracking under Assassin's Creed. http://www.tracking-board.com/the-curious-case-of-sonys-potentially-unpleasant-christmas-and-the-wrong-lessons-we-will-undoubtedly-take-from-it/

$800 million WW should be more than enough to kick-start a franchise but under $700 million could be a problem if the first movie had the goodwill from the original HP movies that may not be there for the sequels. Kind of the same issue that TFA had. SW8 has the advantage that even if it drops big from SW7 it will probably still make $1.4-1.5 billion.

That wasn't what I was talking about. Parker was able to make this movie and he will make even more movies in the future.

The Sundance premiere happened literally the week after Oscar nominations were announced and the #oscarssowhite controversy was raging . It is hardly a surprise that the movie got better reviews but the movie is dead now. You can fix a lot of things but there are still a few things that no PR firm can fix.

Any updated International numbers ?

I think the better option would've been to bring back half the crew of the original movies and replace the other half with all-female cast so you can have Clooney, Pitt, Bullock and Blanchett in the same movie. This is a riskier move because not a lot of men are going to watch a movie with all-female cast and movies of this genre need some male participation for them to be box office successes. Two quadrant successes like Twilight can happen but are very rare.

It made $20 million on Thursday and add a few millions in free Verizon tickets so the drop will be steep. Probably 65-70% drop.

They apparently took Rogue One away from the director and now Tony Gilroy is the man in charge. It is never a good thing when that happens.

I don't have any confidence in Wonder Woman. Same creative people behind the scenes, director hasn't made a theatrical movie in over a decade and mediocre leads. Even its trailer views aren't that great compared to Justice league, which is very likely to be a flop itself.

If this only makes $700 million WW with bad buzz would they even risk a sequel that can potentially drop 30-40% ?

It seems super frontloaded everywhere so I doubt $700 million WW will happen.

This is just US viewership numbers. With 217 million viewers, London Olympics is most-watched event in U.S. television history; 31.0 million average viewership for Closing Ceremony is most-watched for a non-U.S. Summer Olympics in 36 Years – topped Beijing by 12% and Athens by 58%; NBC averaged 31.1 million viewers over 17 nights in primetime, the most-watched non-U.S. Summer Olympics since the 1976 Montreal Olympics – topped Beijing by 12% and Athens by 26%; The 17.5/30 national household rating over 17 nights in primetime ties the 1988 Seoul Olympics as the highest-rated non-U.S. Summer Olympics since the 1976 Montreal Olympics; NBC Olympics Digital set multiple records with video streams, engagement time and page views – nearly 2 billion page views and 159 million video streams; http://nbcsportsgrouppressbox.com/2012/08/14/ondon-olympics-on-nbc-is-most-watched-television-event-in-u-s-history/

It could be really frontloaded internationally because of the Olympics.

Lights Out is doing very good second weekend business for a horror movie. I haven't watched the movie but based on the trailer it is a complete rip-off of Darkness Falls, a relatively bad horror movie that I liked. As much as I don't care for reboots/remakes , a good case can be made for remaking poorly executed movies that had some good ideas.

Ghostbusters' overseas box office is entirely predictable. It is doing exactly what a big budget dead franchise with Melissa McCarthy in the lead should be doing.