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JB33

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Everything posted by JB33

  1. Opening in 2,337 theatres tomorrow. I'm predicting roughly a $1,900-$2,000 PTA for an OW gross of $4.44M to $4.67M. However, that's before factoring in the discounted ticket offerings. I'm also probably being a littler generous with my predicted PTA. That PTA is pretty bad to start with but I could definitely imagine it being even lower, given the sheer lack of children and families that will actually elect to see this over Frozen.
  2. 220 verified ratings so far on RT for an audience score of 97%. We'll see what these numbers look like after this weekend.
  3. Last year The Mule opened on the exact same weekend in 2,558 theatres so it's not that far off. It'll gradually expand like that film did if need be. In fact, Mule was showing in as many as 3,329 theatres by mid-January.
  4. I'm feeling more and more confident in a surprisingly higher OW than most of us thought. What are you thinking right now @Porthos, and everyone else for that matter?
  5. I'm thinking a GotG2/Captain Marvel type opening. For a bigger range, anywhere between $140M to $160M.
  6. Actually Welcome to Marwen could end up being a really good comparison for Cats. Didn't even think of that (probably because I can't imagine it will go that low, but we'll see).
  7. Makes sense. Too bad, though, because I've loved Newman's Bond scores.
  8. Yeah I expected Thursday next week to be pretty soft, relatively speaking, for Frozen II.
  9. Expanding into 2,000+ theatres on the 6th. Focus definitely isn't playing around here (aka no technically wide 700 theatre count or something). Wondering how it will do in comparison to something like Spotlight. 92% on RT by the way with 89 reviews so far.
  10. 49% down from Tuesday/15% down from Monday sounds just about right: $2.7M. Thursday should be pretty flat, as in less than 5%. What do you think @keysersoze123?
  11. $5.4M would be a 69.5% bump. Seems just about right. I would figure on a 45%-ish Wednesday drop.
  12. Foes anyone have Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle comps by chance?
  13. Yeah I will say I'm not exactly enthused about that one. Ragnarok is one of my least favourite MCU films too.
  14. I was. I didnt know whether to compare post-Thanksgiving Tuesdays OR the same Tuesday on the calendar. Usually they're one and the same, except for Thanksgiving being a week later than usual this year (or a week earlier last year, both are determined by the November calendar configuration).
  15. Didn't think of that. Good point. What about Knives Out? 50% too high?
  16. Bingo. That's probably why they really changed this one up so it doesn't seem unnecessary or more of the same. A lot will depend on marketing over the next couple weeks. I have a feel they'll really play up the "horror monsters shouldn't mess with us girls!" angle.
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