JB33

Odd huh? After Aladdin though I'm guessing he's going to want to strike while the iron is hot. Tom Holland has also been really busy!

Agreed, which itself will depend on the Tuesday bump. Tuesdays have been so crazy lately and the bump could be so big that even a bigger Wednesday drop than I predicted would still leave us with a bigger number than 2.5. Thursday should be pretty much flat. And yes, very much a boring, ho-hum couple weeks ahead of us until the 13th.

Very roughly looking ahead (Frozen II).... M: 3.3 T: 4.9 W: 2.5 Th: 2.5 F: 8.5 Sa: 17.4 Su: 11.5 M-Th: $13.2M W/E: $37.4M Dom total after w/e: $339.45M

Yep. I figured as high as 85% drop so the F2 number is actually better than I expected. Well....not by much lol. Just did the math. 3.3-3.4 would be a 82.5-83% drop. Should see around a 50% jump tomorrow.

I don't necessarily think WB would or should do anything now. I just mean at some point (maybe late 2021 or something) when more is known about the Star Wars film we might see some changes. I may be overrating SW but I think you guys are all underrating it too. WAY too much overreaction to the online TLJ/Solo discourse around these parts(not saying the discontent was limited to just the internet, but that's where the really loud, toxic discourse is. Everyone else moved on.). Also way too much stock put into ONE DC movie that benefited from being the go-to Christmas time movie. SW has far more clout as a brand, despite popular predictions of its demise.

I don't think so because I believe Disney/Lucasfilm has that confidence (or downright arrogance) to stick with it. As big as Aquaman was, I believe a sequel opening alongside a Star Wars film would do what it looks like the Jumanji sequel is going to do and that's come way down from the first. AM capitalized on being THE event film of Christmas and Jumanji capitalized on the TLJ backlash (Otherwise, why in the world would a hit like Jumanji be tracking so low, relatively speaking of course?). That's just my opinion of course. Aquaman 2 could very well be just as big as, if not bigger than, the first one even when released alongside another event film and I'm completely underrating it.

Expanded into 94 theatres this weekend and did $621,020 for a $6,607 PTA. Wonder what this means for next weekend when it goes wide.

It'll be interesting to see how it affects the gross. Will it be even less because the same number of people are inevitably seeing it but the tickets are cheaper? Or will it be more because the cheaper price gives more people some incentive? I agree that either way this is going to bomb though.

I think WB will blink and this will move for sure. WB capitalized in 2018 when there was no Star Wars in December so it worked out for them. Unfortunately, starting in 2021 there is either going to be an Avatar film or Star Wars film every December until 2027 at least. I think, if it can be made ready in time, it should be moved forward to Summer 2022. WB currently has an event film scheduled for July 15 but there's supposedly a Marvel film coming July 29 so I think June 24 would actually be perfect. There's currently nothing on that date and it comes well after Black Panther 2 (May 6) and a good month and a bit before said Marvel film. Also, it comes exactly a year after The Batman releases on June 25, 2021.

Two years earlier Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip opened to $14.29M alongside TFA en route to an $85.89M domestic total. Par for the course I guess for Blue Sky Animation films at Christmas time. I do feel like Spies in Disguise has a little more going for it than those two. It's more star driven with Will Smith and Tom Holland and the concept feels like it would sell better to all audiences, whereas both Chipmunks and Ferdinand seem more "kiddie".

I don't know why several people have said this looks awful. I think it looks just as fun as the first, if not more! To to mention funny. The Rock channelling Danny DeVito looks like a hoot! Seeing it on Saturday the 14th with the family!

I'll eat a pair of my own underwear if it goes that low overseas. I dont think it'll go that low domestic either but your overseas prediction sticks out to me more.

A lot of women I know are treating this like an event film. I know my mom and sister are seeing it together and I think both are seeing it again separately with friends and what not. This should do pretty well this Christmas.

The Super Bowl weekend date sure isn't promising for it. One of the top dump weekends of the year.

I'm curious if family audiences will be ready to fill auditoriums for this, Frozen 2 having been in release for just over a month by then. It looks like a fun movie, but I don't know.... I dont suppose there's tracking of any kind for this so far, is there?

I'm going to be so weirdly entertained by next weekend for this reason. Ironic because, as @Maxmoser3 put it, the first weekend of December/post-Thanksgiving weekend or two is usually a holiday dead zone so what could I possibly be entertained by? Well, when you have a film that looks to be so useless at the box office and misplaced on the calendar, even by this particular weekend's standards, well.....you get a potential real box office story. Just...not the good kind. But a story nonetheless! I want to see just how low this one goes.

Awesome photo, as was the movie! What a delight! You have to love a movie that so thoroughly entertains you by actors being actors. I also want to echo some of the folks here who praise the script and production design. Loved every moment in the Thrombey house. I dont usually watch a whodunit for a 2nd time, but why the hell not? This was just so great!

I'm still not convinced....

That's going to take me a bit to get used to. I got so used to the first weekend of May being Marvel's domain since what? When Spider-Man came out in 2002? Save for a couple years that's been their weekend (until they moved the date up for IW and EG, which, again, I figured was just a two-out due to the size and scope of the films).

Hmmm, 34.1 means 90 for the 3-day weekend isn't a sure thing. Depends on the Saturday drop. Hopefully it goes as flat as possible. Plus or a minus a few percentage points will make all the difference for 90 mill.

So your money's on the new Doctor Strange opening on April 30 instead of May 7 in NA? I guess it makes sense to coincide with the overseas release dates but I still figured the early NA releases were going to be a special thing for IW and EG only.

The Russos shouldn't feel any worse than James Cameron for Terminator: Dark Fate. In both cases they were producers. They're fine.

So we're potentially getting both a BW and WW1984 trailer next weekend?

I adore Civil War.....so count me in that group.

Agreed! Who the hell cares about style? That's not what the audience is looking for. Especially with Superman! People are still clamoring for a really good Superman movie exactly because these directors are trying to attach their own "style" (or edge, in Snyder's case). Just give us Superman in all his glory. That's it! No fancy bells and whistles or whatever else Martin Scorsese and Co. Is saying makes good cinema. Find someone who both gets and gives a ahit about the character and doesnt make it all about them as a director. THAT is what makes the MCU work.