Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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I guess Shang-Chi could depending on lingering covid impact, if China hates it. Eternals nah, SM3 no frikkin way, DS2 no, Thor4 no, BP2 no, CM2 no. First opportunities would be Blade, AM3, or Fantastic Four in 2023, but unless global BO overall is down (possible) I think all 3 would make it easily with a combination of ATP growth, market expansion, and growth in the MCU overall.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Why make 350M in theatrical rev + healthy home and PVOD when instead you could make almost no home&PVOD, like 100M theatrical rev, and make a play for subs on your single market streaming platform -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
I have really been wondering about marketing factor as well, but being not in China I can’t comment. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
ATM I’m personally thinking 24-32 or so. Gavin seems more bullish though. Wait to pirate could be a factor, hard to tell since the situation is pretty unorecendented. Local competition is perhaps a small factor, but The Rescue doesn’t look huge from (nonfaked) PS — plenty of room for WW to open at 80M or something with Rescue at the size it is if hype was there. Overall, what I’d say is just this: it is not uncommon for sequels to open less and finish less than their predecessors, in this or any other market, especially if that predecessor had average reception in the market. Assumptions that it would grow because of market growth were a bit off because HW really hasn't grown that much here since 2017, which was already the tail end of the explosive expansion. And assumptions it would grow because it’s a CBM sequel and those buck usual sequel trends were a bit off because it’s the first DCEU sequel, and that trend is observed only for MCU sequels so far, likely owing to the success of their teamup events. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
WW84 has been following Shazam pretty closely for a couple days now, but I think it will have a weaker D-0. OD O/U 50 looks like a real question for now -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Pretty weird to do 30 in Jan then just 50 in Feb+March. Gotta figure the former will come down or the latter will come up. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Those sales seem relatively good, but I do wonder how many will be cancelled due to further lockdowns in the next two weeks. -
Skadoosh, my midrange exactly agreed with Corpse”s forecast 2 days early 😈 Of course it will be a kind of unprecedented and volatile weekend, with the better giveaway item than last two, less supply, and the baseline numbers much less. So maybe it will have insanely low PSm and just do 800 or something.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Does this include private watch parties, doesn’t include, or not sure? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I can report for @Eric Karga. 100% seats sold in greater philly area (0/0). State renters lockdown through at least end of year. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Those are the 2017 movie, not 2020 sequel. Got a rerelease in advance.