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Wknd Est: MU - 46.1M; The Heat - 40M; WWZ - 29.8M; WHD - 25.7M; MoS - 20.8M; (pg 104)

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WHD up to 33.5 according to Nikki now .......

 

3. White House Down (Sony) NEW [Runs 3,222]Friday $11.0M, Est Weekend $33.5M

Unfortunately earlier release Olympus Has Fallen had a similar plot. Sony admits White House Down is in a tough slot now after WWZ opened so surprisingly strong last weekend. White House pic did $1.35M in Thursday late shows/Friday midnights. Studio claims budget was $150M which is expensive. (“If you see the movie, you will see the money on the screen. And compared to other summer fare and budgets, it very reasonable given the film,” a Sony exec tells me.) No way this pic earns out. Could be big loss depending how it does overseas. Opens day and date in about two dozen small countries this weekend (ie Aruba, Ethiopia, Kenya, Iraq). The first major international territory will not open until mid-July.

 

via Deadline

Edited by BoxOfficeAmateur
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I think TLR has to do at least decently now that WHD bombed so bad. We won't have two big non-sequel bombs in a row.

 

Lone Ranger has had excellent marketing (compared to WHD, PacRim, or Wolverine). Don't bother looking at the movie quality. Look no further than the marketing if we need a reason that Lone Ranger is bigger than the other three.

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The last time I saw it was at 80 M. Not sure if 5-day.

 

Wow, even for 5-day that would be surprisingly decent. People seem to take it as a foregone conclusion that it's going to bomb, but I've never been convinced.

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1. Monsters University 3D (Pixar/Disney) Week 2 [Runs 4,004] GFriday $16.7M, Est Weekend $51.0M, Est Cume $173.7M

Great -45% weekend hold. Should easily stay in #1 after the Saturday kiddie bump.

2. The Heat (Fox) NEW [Runs 3,181] RFriday $15.0M, Est Weekend $40.6M

Can’t help praising how the women brought the heat for this $41M-budget buddy comedy. Chalk up another strong box office performance for McCarthy and Bullock who began with $1M from Thursday’s 10 PM shows and Friday’s midnights. Should end #2 for the weekend behind Pixar’s family fare. Interesting that a Fandango survey showed 88% of ticketbuyers said they wanted more female-oriented laughers.

3. White House Down (Sony) NEW [Runs 3,222]Friday $11.0M, Est Weekend $33.5M

Unfortunately earlier release Olympus Has Fallen had a similar plot. Sony admits White House Down is in a tough slot now after WWZ opened so surprisingly strong last weekend. White House pic did $1.35M in Thursday late shows/Friday midnights. Studio claims budget was $150M which is expensive. (“If you see the movie, you will see the money on the screen. And compared to other summer fare and budgets, it very reasonable given the film,” a Sony exec tells me.) No way this pic earns out. Could be big loss depending how it does overseas. Opens day and date in about two dozen small countries this weekend (ie Aruba, Ethiopia, Kenya, Iraq). The first major international territory will not open until mid-July.

4. World War Z 3D (Paramount) Week 2 [Runs 3,607] PG13Friday $9.8M (-61%), Est Weekend $32.5M, Est Cume $126.5M

After last week’s surprise success, new audiences will check it out. Expect a -50% weekend hold.

5. Man Of Steel 3D (:egendary/Warner Bros) Week 3 [Runs 4,131]Friday $6.5M, Weekend $21.5M, Est Cume $250.0M

 

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In her defense, it's impossible NOT to have incomplete and constantly changing numbers at this early stage.  

 

Granted her projections are problematic.  Maybe she's using the beta Google boxoffice predictor...

Edited by lilmac
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