Impact Posted January 17, 2012 Author Share Posted January 17, 2012 Wait...did I miss something? Tree of Life has a rabid fanbase???? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Yes, there's definitely a Malick cult in the Academy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 The way the user said it though kind of made me laugh as it said something like "Bridesmaids does not have a rabid fanbase like Tree of Life" If I was not in a Oscar thread... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Yeah, my bad... I'll change my words. Rabid Academic likers. But I know of many general moviegoer also loving ToL. ToL is very divisive but the reactions of those who think it's a good film are way more "rabid" than Bridesmaids good reactions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 I agree 100%. Tree has a much better chance than BM at getting a nom. Anyway, at this point, it all kind of seems pointless. I don't think there is any doubt that The Artist wins BP at this point unless all of sudden backlash happens like it did last year to TSN. But, I don't think there is a film strong enough even if there is backlash. At least, with TSN, TKS was seen as the frontrunner for a while, and had a lot of support behind it. I'm just not feeling it for any of the other films. Agree. There's practically no competition. And also I've seen some articles already talking of this year awards season as the nostalgia year. Three films sure to be nominated are dealing with the nostalgia factor: TA, Hugo and MiP. The only other film I'm thinking for an unlikely surprise is The Help, mostly because of the actors support/love of that movie. In fact, the actors branch was the main reason TKS won last year over TSN, the favourite option for the tech branch. The same happened with Shakespeare in Love or Crash. I've learned to never understimate the actors feelings. And they really love The Help. They already showed that at SAG noms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted January 18, 2012 Share Posted January 18, 2012 Agree. There's practically no competition. And also I've seen some articles already talking of this year awards season as the nostalgia year. Three films sure to be nominated are dealing with the nostalgia factor: TA, Hugo and MiP. The only other film I'm thinking for an unlikely surprise is The Help, mostly because of the actors support/love of that movie. In fact, the actors branch was the main reason TKS won last year over TSN, the favourite option for the tech branch. The same happened with Shakespeare in Love or Crash. I've learned to never understimate the actors feelings. And they really love The Help. They already showed that at SAG noms. You might have a point. The Help seems to be of a similar category as Crash and Shakespeare in Love. However, The Help doesn't have much going for it precussors. But, I guess we will have to wait and see what happens at the SAG awards. But, so far, everything is looking very good for The Artist. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Likely final predictions: The Artist Bridesmaids The Descendents The Help Hugo Midnight in Paris Moneyball War Horse Alt: Tree of Life. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 BTW please do this game: http://boxofficetheory.com/forums/index.php?/topic/1636-bot-oscar-prediction-game-2011-oscar-noms/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Travod Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 It's too much trouble for me this weekend I have to study. Do a predict the winners game and I'll do that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 There will be that. But Dragon, this game has been up since well, last year and nobody has been doing it.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 If this was the 90s I can imagine the noms being: The Help The Decendents War Horse Hugo The Artist Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted January 21, 2012 Founder / Operator Share Posted January 21, 2012 I'm having such a hard time getting excited about this category this year. What a bleh year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Right now I see The Help The Artist Hugo The Descendants Moneyball Midnight in Paris I'm not sure about Dragon Tattoo or War Horse but I think they get in. I also have to wonder but it seems to be a race between the Artist and the Descendants. I wonder if those would split votes and either Hugo or the Help takes it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted January 21, 2012 Founder / Operator Share Posted January 21, 2012 Descendants feels like this year's Up In the Air. The Artist is just too perfect for the Academy. If it wins, it'll be the most predictable Best Picture winner in a long time. If it loses, it would be the most shocking loss since...I don't know, maybe Saving Private Ryan? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 21, 2012 Author Share Posted January 21, 2012 Since Marsha Gay Harden won a Oscar... anyway please do my Oscar game! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Descendants feels like this year's Up In the Air. The Artist is just too perfect for the Academy. If it wins, it'll be the most predictable Best Picture winner in a long time. If it loses, it would be the most shocking loss since...I don't know, maybe Saving Private Ryan? Crash winning over Bareback Mountain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted January 22, 2012 Share Posted January 22, 2012 I saw The Artist yesterday. I really liked it a lot. I wasn't sure how I would feel about it, but I felt it was pulled off well. If it wins BP, I feel it will be the best BP winner since NCFOM. Although, I don't think that is saying much since the last three BP winners werent' all that exciting. At least, not to me, anyway. And, I agree Shawn, Descendants is sort of like Up in the Air, except that Up in the Air was a much better movie overall, and I would have been okay with it winning BP. While I think Descendants is good, it is nothing that I am excited about. But, that is just me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Warrior should be nominated IMO. Definitely one of the best films of the year, but the academy will probably leave it out and insert complete crap instead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 Crash winning over Bareback Mountain Bareback? ha That's one of the shockiest things Academy has ever done. Jack Nicholson was shocked when he read that winner. It was followed by an instant silence. Amazing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 24, 2012 Share Posted January 24, 2012 I'm having such a hard time getting excited about this category this year. What a bleh year. I strongly disagree with you. This year is very exciting. There's not a lock for the win, and the race even for the nominations is wide open. It's very interesting! Last year everything was pretty much closed! We knew what would be the 10 nominees and which film would win. Also, as I read on your site, you still have to see The Artist, The descendants or Midnight in Paris among other contenders. How can you say bleh year without seeing them? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...