ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film

[MG10]

5 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

@MG10 @fabiopazzo2 @JustLurking

 

 

Thanks 👍🏼, and happy new year to you too

[Sophia Jane]

Firenze have a great firework lastnight,incredible experience

[JustLurking]

Disney is giving this a 950k sunday, but that seems ridicolous to me so I'll assume it's hella lowballed.

[efialtes76]

January 1/2023:

Avatar- €1.57M

PiB-€167k

 

 

Edited January 2, 2023 by efialtes76

[ando]

Yeah, we will definitely see an nice increase in global actuals. Feels like some severe Sunday underestimations in a few markets. 

[Zamor]

1 hour ago, efialtes76 said:

January 1/2023:

Avatar- €1.57M

PiB-€167k

 

 

maybe is incomplete, it seems a bit low to me. Jan 1 is always been bigger

[charlie Jatinder]

8 minutes ago, Zamor said:

maybe is incomplete, it seems a bit low to me. Jan 1 is always been bigger

seems right. Yes Jan1 is bigger but for Jan 1 opener. Sure, there could be correction, but this seems right enough.

[JustLurking]

Yeah seems fine. Not being much bigger than fri feels a bit weird but I think it's more that fri was really unusually strong than sun being weak. I'm seeing it at 1.585M, not expecting it to go higher than that.

 

Disney estimations in many countries made absolutely no sense this week. How do you lowball sunday by this much?

Edited January 2, 2023 by JustLurking

[Danhjpn]

9 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

Yeah seems fine. Not being much bigger than fri feels a bit weird but I think it's more that fri was really unusually strong than sun being weak. I'm seeing it at 1.585M, not expecting it to go higher than that.

 

Disney estimations in many countries made absolutely no sense this week. How do you lowball sunday by this much?

$50M is looking good?

[JustLurking]

2 hours ago, Danhjpn said:

$50M is looking good?

Dunno, could happen but seems optimistic to me. Film obviously has way more left in the tank than a TFA or NWH but does it have enough for another 17M euros? Kinda doubt it, we'll see how it holds after the holidays for that.

[MG10]

Tre di Troppo (a comedy about a couple who woke up with 3 children out of nowhere) opened with an excellent 700k on its first day, but it's obviously inflated from being released on January 1 so the film remains a wild car. We'll see how it does this week

 

8 hours ago, Danhjpn said:

$50M is looking good?

 

I don't thing so, my predictions remains 40/45M euros. I think "Che Bella Giornata" at 43.5M will be an interesting opponent...

[efialtes76]

Monday:

Avatar-€1.23M

PiB-€0.12M

 

[Borobudur]

10 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Monday:

Avatar-€1.23M

PiB-€0.12M

 

Pass 30m! € 30.428.084. 

 

Is it still a holiday or some kind? The drop is small.

[JustLurking]

8 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

Pass 30m! € 30.428.084. 

 

Is it still a holiday or some kind? The drop is small.

Yea, schools are out til 9th, a good amount of people will still be out of work this week too (not all though).

 

Good monday. Don't think this misses 40M euros from here.

Edited January 3, 2023 by JustLurking

[MG10]

7 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

Monday:

Avatar-€1.23M

PiB-€0.12M

 

 

Puss in the boots 2 had a decent opening and a bad drop in its second weekend but since then the legs have been pretty good especially during the holidays, 5M wouldn't be a terrible result but I still hope it can make at least 8M (which is half of the first) 

[efialtes76]

On 1/3/2023 at 4:18 AM, efialtes76 said:

Monday:

Avatar-€1.23M

PiB-€0.12M

 

Tuesday:

Avatar-€1.12M 

PiB-€0.12M

 

[JustLurking]

Posting some great dailies - only opener today is...M3GAN I think? So it might not even drop much after all. Probably over 35 by sun, 40 should happen easily afterwards if it's that high so maybe it can go a bit higher than that.

[jma22]

3 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

Posting some great dailies - only opener today is...M3GAN I think? So it might not even drop much after all. Probably over 35 by sun, 40 should happen easily afterwards if it's that high so maybe it can go a bit higher than that.

I think it will be 37 after the Sunday. 31,55 until Tuesday + 1,05 Wed + 1,1 Thurs + 3,3 (Weekend) = 37M€-37,5M after Sunday.

50M€ it's the goal

[upriser7]

NWH numbers last year in 3rd week :

 

Friday (Dec 31st) - 156K

Saturday (Jan 1st) - 387k

Sunday (Jan 2nd) - 490k

Monday (Jan 3rd) - 260K

Tuesday (Jan 4th) - 257K

Wednesday (Jan 5th) - 250K

Thursday (Jan 6th) - 249K

 

Avatar2's 3rd week :

 

Friday (Dec 30th) - 1.4M

Saturday (Dec 31st) - 635k

Sunday (Jan 1st) - 1.57M

Monday (Jan 2nd) - 1.23M

Tuesday (Jan 3rd) - 1.12M

Wednesday (Jan 4th) -

Thursday (Jan 5th) - 

 

Avatar2's numbers so far in 3rd week are roughly 4 times that of NWH dailies...crazy legs so far

 

Edited January 4, 2023 by upriser7

[JustLurking]

6 minutes ago, jma22 said:

I think it will be 37 after the Sunday. 31,55 until Tuesday + 1,05 Wed + 1,1 Thurs + 3,3 (Weekend) = 37M€-37,5M after Sunday.

50M€ it's the goal

I'm kinda confused here, why do you have it bumping up on thur exactly? There's no reason for it to unless I'm missing something. Weekend feels a bit too optimistic to me as well given historical precedent.

 

If it goes for your numbers sure, could go 45-50+ at that point instead of 40-45

Edited January 4, 2023 by JustLurking