Weekend #s April 4-6 (Cap2: 96.2, Noah 17, Divergent 13)

[Deep Wang]

I think this falls short of a 2.7X. I think it can hit a 2.5, but no matter how you look at it, it's a sequel and the F&F sequels were also well received and they didn't hit a 2.7X. So give it 2.55X and it gets to about 245 mill.

I see what you're saying, but why compare it to FF? You are probably right, but I think this has a better chance of having better legs.

[Sam]

What is Rio 2 tracking to open to next weekend? Could Cap retain #1?

[baumer]

I see what you're saying, but why compare it to FF?You are probably right, but I think this has a better chance of having better legs.

 

Well, if not that series, then I guess you could do IM2, but that was a 2.45 as well.

[Blankments]

I think this falls short of a 2.7X.  I think it can hit a 2.5, but no matter how you look at it, it's a sequel and the F&F sequels were also well received and they didn't hit a 2.7X.  So give it 2.55X and it gets to about 245 mill.

I think Cap has a bigger demographic than Fast and Furious...

[baumer]

I think Cap has a bigger demographic than Fast and Furious...

 

I'm not sure about that.  Pick any Marvel film then outside of Avengers.  I don't think any of them hit a 3 multiplier (not including films before 2006, so no Spiderman).

[Chewy]

Avengers is the only superhero movie since 2008 to have a 3x multi. Marvel or otherwise

[boomboom234]

I think Cap has a bigger demographic than Fast and Furious...

how Fast and Furious is the demographic movie 

[The Futurist]

Avengers was a zeitgeist movie.

 

It rarely happens more than once, unless your name is James Cameron.

Edited April 7, 2014 by The Futurist

[Dementeleus]

People are using FAST cuz of the April release date, right? Even that doesn't make too much sense.

[The Futurist]

Is Paul Walker going to be the first post death CGI star ?

I remember the Cameron  digital manifesto when he claimed one day, people would make more Marylin Monroe/James Dean movies when technology allows it.

Do you believe/think it will come to this point  someday ?

[4815162342]

Is Paul Walker going to be the first post death CGI star ?

See now I have in my mind a documentary about CGIing deceased actors into movies called "Death Star."

[Sam]

What effect and how big is it Easter holiday have over BO? Does it help?

[baumer]

People are using FAST cuz of the April release date, right? Even that doesn't make too much sense.

 

I'm using FF because it's got a built in fanbase, it opened to a record at the time and it also had very little competition for the month.  So imo, it makes perfect sense.

[23IsEverywhere]

The thing that I think that CA2 has going for it is an expanding demographic. I still think it has a very good chance of breaking 250M, and an OK shot at 300M (though nothing really beyond that)

[baumer]

Cap 2 is my favourite stand alone Marvel films since IM1 so I'd love to see it hit 300 but I don't see any reason why it will have a better multiplier than other Marvel films.

[Chewy]

I think it'll have a better multi than IM3 and Thor 2 but there's virtually no chance of a 3x

[ACSlater]

Avengers is the only superhero movie since 2008 to have a 3x multi. Marvel or otherwise

 

Yea its kinda crazy...I think 2008 had Iron Man and Dark Knight which both had above 3x...nothing since then barring Avengers of course...

Edited April 7, 2014 by AC Slater

[Empire]

Yeah, even though I would love it too, I don't think Cap 2 has any chance of having a 3x multiplier. 

[MrPink]

Yea its kinda crazy...I think 2008 had Iron Man and Dark Knight which both had above 3x...nothing since then barring Avengers of course...

 

Well, that might be indicative of the lack of standout superhero films since 2008.

Edited April 7, 2014 by MrPink

[#ED]

Undertaker just lost...Wow... Omfg