grey ghost Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Cap opening to 95m was no surprise and Godzilla was expected by most to break out. TASM 2 grossing less than the first was expected by a lot of posters as well.And yes I predicted over 100M for cap and 85m for Godzilla, matter of fact over 50% of the posters know my club had Godzilla grossing over 78M.And sure, Xmen won't make 125M for the 4 day weekend. These are predictions people made days before release. Anybody predicting Godzilla making almost 100 m OW and ASM2 struggling to cross 200 m would've been slapped in January. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/13819-godzilla-ow-over-78421500-club-godzilla-1998-ow-adjusted/ Godzilla over 78M OW club, 28 people were In, 13 were out. That's a high ratio right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 These are predictions people made days before release. Anybody predicting Godzilla making almost 100 m OW and ASM2 struggling to cross 200 m would've been slapped in January.ASM2 grossing less than 200m is unexpected but it was no surprise to see it drop from the first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmscholar Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 I don't think they would wait that long for the sequel, it will be 2017 at the latest imo.Your right. I meant a 3yr gap so i agree 2017 at the latest for G2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/13819-godzilla-ow-over-78421500-club-godzilla-1998-ow-adjusted/Godzilla over 78M OW club, 28 people were In, 13 were out. That's a high ratio right there 2 people out of 28 predicted over 90 m. and one of them was Kal El. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 People saying that they thought Godzilla would come in at around $78 million, so $95 million isn't a big deal are crazy!!!That's a massive shock when you get into this sort of range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bishop54 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Haha it's funny how people are saying it was expected for Godzilla to break out. Many of the people here gave it no shot to be in the top 10 this year. The 98 film is still fresh in peoples mind many said. It's just a fanboy film many others said. No one really expected this, not many Godzilla fans did and not even WB did. It's a surprise and a nice one at that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 (edited) ASM2 grossing less than 200m is unexpected but it was no surprise to see it drop from the first. Yeah most expected a drop domestically but not nearly as bad as it did. Not to mention hardly anyone thought it was going to drop WW by 50 m. That's at least a little shocking even if it's what many hoped for. Edited May 18, 2014 by grey ghost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 2 people out of 28 predicted over 90 m. and one of them was Kal El. A massive shock is when a film that's expected to open to say 50m opens to 90m. It's not a massive shock when a film that expected to open to 80m ish opens to 90-95m. What I'm trying to say is that as of now there is yet to be a breakout that very few people saw coming. Like last year's gravity, WWZ etc.Perhaps I've missed a lot of other poster predicting low numbers but from what I saw, I lot of people expected a break out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Haha it's funny how people are saying it was expected for Godzilla to break out. Many of the people here gave it no shot to be in the top 10 this year. The 98 film is still fresh in peoples mind many said. It's just a fanboy film many others said. No one really expected this, not many Godzilla fans did and not even WB did. It's a surprise and a nice one at that.You predicted 90m, you should be proud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 A massive shock is when a film that's expected to open to say 50m opens to 90m. It's not a massive shock when a film that expected to open to 80m ish opens to 90-95m. What I'm trying to say is that as of now there is yet to be a breakout that very few people saw coming. Like last year's gravity, WWZ etc.Perhaps I've missed a lot of other poster predicting low numbers but from what I saw, I lot of people expected a break out. 17 m is a huge difference when it comes to opening weekend. Imagine if Thor 2 opened to 102 m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 17 m is a huge difference when it comes to opening weekend. Imagine if Thor 2 opened to 102 m.People thought it would hit 95m if I remember correctly and we're quite disappointed when it didn't. I see what you are saying but that was a bad example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Exhibitor Relations @ERCboxoffice 1m NEIGHBORS took a -47% hit this weekend, but still scored $25.9M, $91.5M in ten days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bballman24 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 A massive shock is when a film that's expected to open to say 50m opens to 90m. It's not a massive shock when a film that expected to open to 80m ish opens to 90-95m. What I'm trying to say is that as of now there is yet to be a breakout that very few people saw coming. Like last year's gravity, WWZ etc.Perhaps I've missed a lot of other poster predicting low numbers but from what I saw, I lot of people expected a break out.It was tracking 75m and now over 90m for sure. That's a big difference. Studio tracking was 60m IIRC though they always lowball it.I've been saying 70m/200m so I'm surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darkelf Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 It's easy to join a club, you have nothing to lose. If you want a real indication of forum's predictions, look at the summer game; most people had it in the 70s some in the 80s and 60s, Films had 57 ( ) and three or four predicted 90s. So, yeah, I would call an OW of 92-95 an overperformance. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 WWZ was not surprising to me. But I can admit it was one of the biggest shocks of last year for 95% of this forum. Most people had White House Down doing more WW than WWZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 People thought it would hit 95m if I remember correctly and we're quite disappointed when it didn't. I see what you are saying but that was a bad example. 95M for Godzilla is a surprise, no 2 ways about it. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 WWZ was not surprising to me. But I can admit it was one of the biggest shocks of last year for 95% of this forum. Most people had White House Down doing more WW than WWZ. Really? They must have overestimated how much the rest of the world cares about the White House being attacked. But yeah, WWZ's numbers were a genuine surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Really? They must have overestimated how much the rest of the world cares about the White House being attacked. But yeah, WWZ's numbers were a genuine surprise. I remember a few people saying WHD was going to double WWZ WW. Some of the most insane stuff I have ever read here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted May 18, 2014 Share Posted May 18, 2014 Actually, in fairness, I had Olympus Has Fallen in my mind. WHD was directed by Emmerich who usually brings home the money from OS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
