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Weekend Prediction (3/24-3/26) Play the Derby

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1.Interstellar - 72.1m (75.4m)

2.Big Hero 6 - 58.4m 

3.Nightcrawler - 6.2m (19.6m)

4.Gone Girl - 5.6m (144.7m)

5.Fury - 5.4m (68.5m)

6.Ouija - 4.6m (41.7m)

7.St. Vincent - 4.4m (25.7m)

8.The Book of Life - 4.3m (46.7m)

9.John Wick - 4.2m (33.8m)

10.Alexander and the Bad Day - 3.4m (58.6m)

11.The Judge - 2m (42.5m)

12.The Maze Runner - 1.6m (99.4m)

 

10th

1.Interstellar - 44.7m (142.5m)

2.Dumb and Dumber To - 41.7m (41.7m)

3.Big Hero 6 - 38m (115.1m)

4.Beyond the Lights - 5.7m (5.7m)

5.Gone Girl - 4.1m (150.9m)

6.Nightcrawler - 3.8m (25.3m)

7.Fury - 3.5m (73.8m)

8.St. Vincent - 2.7m (29.8m)

9.The Book of Life - 2.7m (50.8m)

10.John Wick - 2.6m (37.7m)

11.Ouija - 2.3m (45.1m)

12.Alexander and the Bad Day - 2.2m (61.9m)

 

17th

1.The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 - 154.8m (154.8m)

2.Interstellar - 26.4m (182.6m)

3.Big Hero 6 - 23.2m (150.9m)

4.Dumb and Dumber To - 19.2m (70.7m)

5.Gone Girl - 2.8m (155.3m)

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Interstellar: $56M over the weekend. $61M including IMAX Wed and Thu showings.

Big Hero 6: $63M

 

I'd like to point out this article: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-preview-interstellar-big-745657

 

It says that it has only happened 3 times before, that two films opened simlutaneously to more than $50M.

 

However, there are four other cases that almost make it into this category:

 

22 Jump Street and How to Train Your Dragon 2

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2014&wknd=24&p=.htm

 

Hangover Part 2 and Kung Fu Panda 2

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2011&wknd=21&p=.htm

 

The Longest Yard and Madagascar

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2005&wknd=21&p=.htm

 

Sherlock Holmes and Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2009&wknd=52&p=.htm

 

In the three cases that qualify for the $50M+ category, animated films won. In the ones that barely missed it, animated films lost.

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  1. Interstellar - 81.0M
  2. Big Hero 6 - 64.9M
  3. St. Vincent - 5.6M
  4. Gone Girl - 5.3M
  5. The Book of Life - 5.1M
  6. Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day - 5.0M
  7. Fury - 4.5M
  8. Ouija - 4.2M
  9. Nightcrawler - 3.9M
  10. Birdman - 3.7M
  11. John Wick - 3.2M
  12. The Judge - 2.1M

The Maze Runner - 1.8M

Dracula Untold - 1.6M

The Best of Me - 1.2M

Annabelle - 1.1M

The Equalizer - 0.9M

Before I Go To Sleep - 0.6M

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Interstellar: $56M over the weekend. $61M including IMAX Wed and Thu showings.

Big Hero 6: $63M

 

I'd like to point out this article: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-preview-interstellar-big-745657

 

It says that it has only happened 3 times before, that two films opened simlutaneously to more than $50M.

 

However, there are four other cases that almost make it into this category:

 

22 Jump Street and How to Train Your Dragon 2

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2014&wknd=24&p=.htm

 

Hangover Part 2 and Kung Fu Panda 2

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2011&wknd=21&p=.htm

 

The Longest Yard and Madagascar

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2005&wknd=21&p=.htm

 

Sherlock Holmes and Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2009&wknd=52&p=.htm

 

In the three cases that qualify for the $50M+ category, animated films won. In the ones that barely missed it, animated films lost.

With 240 screens, it will be nearly impossible for Interstellar to gross $5M in two days, especially considering this is over weekdays.

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With 240 screens, it will be nearly impossible for Interstellar to gross $5M in two days, especially considering this is over weekdays.

 

Missin Impossible 4 made $9.5M in its first two days (including evening and midnight shows) from 425 theaters.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=mi4.htm

 

Interstellar opens in 240 theaters.

 

240 / 425 * 9.5 = 5.36

 

Yes, that film's two first days were Fri and Sat, not Wed and Thu, but this is Nolan we're talking about. Even if it doesn't make it to $5M, anything below $4M would be concerning.

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1. Interstellar - $70M (including Wednesday and Thursday)

2. Big Hero 6 - $61.4M

3. Gone Girl - $5.88M

4. St. Vincent - $5.87M

5. Nightcrawler - $5.85M

6. Fury - $5.73M

7. Ouija - $4.9M

8. John Wick - $4.47M

9. The Book of Life - $4.2M

10. Alexander and the Terrible Horrible No Good Very Bad Day - $3.95M

11. Birdman - $2.9M

12. The Judge - $2.5M

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A Matter of Faith, 23 Blast, Addicted, Annabelle, and 22 Jump Street are gone.

Saw: 10th Anniversary, John Wick, Before I Go To Sleep, The Boxtrolls, and The Equalizer are gone.
 
Interstellar - 9/17 (2D/4K) total 26 (debut)
Big Hero 6 - 11/7 (2D/3D) total 18 (debut)
Gone Girl - 11 (up 1)
St. Vincent - 11 (up 1)
Nightcrawler - 10 (down 1)
Ouija - 10 (no change)
Fury - 7 (down 3)
The Judge - 5 (up 2)
The Maze Runner - 5 (up 1)
Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day - 4 (down 1)
The Best of Me - 4 (down 2)
The Book of Life - 4/1 (2D/3D) total 5 (down 5)
Dracula Untold - 2 (down 2)
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1. That Dude from Sahara and Failure to Launch Goes to Space: 74.0

2. 10 Years Ago There Was The Incredibles: 65.5

3. Brad Pitt vs. The Nazis Again: 6.0

4. The Prince of Persia is a Cop: 6.0

5. Ben Affleck vs. an Evil Bond Girl: 5.6

 

Not sure if I want to do the bottom half :P

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All we including the Wed/Thursday take in the Interstellar figures or not?

 

If we are just talking about the  weekend,(Fri/Sat/Sunday) pretty clear it;s neck and neck between Interstellar and BiG Hero Six with both between 50 and 60 Million.

Edited by dudalb
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