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Weekend Prediction thread 4/26-4/28 Play the Derby

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21st - 23rd December 2018 ($235.3/$655.1/$11,427.4)

 

1. Aquaman $78.4 DEC27: $156.8

2. Mary Poppins Returns $36.8/$45.4 DEC 27: $82.2

3. Bumblebee $26.6 DEC27: $53.3

4. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $23/$73.6 (-35%)

5. The Mule $12.3/$38 (-30%)

6. Dr Seuss' The Grinch $8.3/$253.1 (-30%)

7. Second Act $6.5 DEC27: $13

8. Ralph Breaks the Internet $6/$164.4 (-35%)

9. Welcome to Marwen $4 DEC27: $8

10. Mortal Engines $3.8/$14 (-50%)

 

Awards Rundown

 

Mary Queen Of Scots $3.18/$4.39

The Favorite $2.76/$10.3

If Beale Street Could Talk $0.2/$0.52

 

28th - 30th December 2018 ($270.1/$1,100.2/$11,872.5) DEC31: $65/$1,165.2/$11,937.5

 

1. Aquaman $62.7/$219.5 (-20%)

2. Mary Poppins Returns $51.5/$133.7 (+40%)

3. Bumblebee $31.9/$85.2 (+20%)

4. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $25.3/$115.5 (+10%)

5. Holmes & Watson $13.6/$27.2

6. The Mule $11.1/$56.4 (-10%)

7. Vice $10.7/$21.4

8. Ralph Breaks the Internet $7.2/$176.6 (+20%)

9. Dr Seuss' The Grinch $6.64/$264.2 (-20%)

10. Second Act $5.2/$18.2 (-20%)

 

Mary Queen of Scots $3.91/$10.25 (814)

If Beale Street Could Talk $0.81/$1.43 (65)

On the Basis of Sex $0.5 (33)

Destroyer $0.18 (3)

 

Spoiler

 

4th - 6th January 2019 ($186/$311)

 

1. Aquaman $40.8/$286.9 (-40%)

2. Mary Poppins Returns $36.1/$193.8 (-30%)

3. Bumblebee $20.7/$122.5 (-35%)

4. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $19/$147 (-25%)

5. Escape Room $15

6. Holmes & Watson $9.5/$43.4 (-30%)

7. Vice $9.1/$36.6 (-20%)

8. The Mule $8.3/$70.1 (-25%)

9. Ralph Breaks the Internet $5.05/$185 (-30%)

10. Eli $5

 

11th - 13th January 2019 ($145.1/$549.1)

 

1. Aquaman $26.5/$328.4 (-35%)

2. Mary Poppins Returns $25.3/$235.7 (-30%)

3. Bumblebee $14.5/$147 (-30%)

4. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $14.3/$171.3 (-25%)

5. The Upside $13

6. A Dog's Way Home $11

7. Escape Room $6.8/$26.3 (-50%)

8. Holmes & Watson $6.5/$54.2 (-32%)

9. Vice $6.4/$47.2 (-30%)

10. The Mule $5.8/$79.5 (-30%)

 

18th - 20th January 2019 ($166.1/$787.8)

 

1. Glass $75

2. Mary Poppins Returns $17.7/$265.1 (-30%)

3. Aquaman $14.6/$353 (-45%)

4. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse $10/$188 (-30%)

5. Bumblebee $9.7/$163.2 (-35%)

6. The Upside $7.2/$25.2 (-45%)

7. A Dog's Way Home $6.6/$22 (-40%)

8. Vice $4.8/$55.2 (-25%)

9. The Mule $4.1/$86.3 (-25%)

10. Holmes & Watson $3.9/$60,7 (-40%)

 

 

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72.0 - Aquaman - 75.0

29.0 - Poppins - 38.0

25.0 - Bumblebee - 25.0

19.0 - Spidey - 67.0

11.5 - Second Act - 11.5

10.9 - The Mule - 36.5

 

5.8 - The Grinch - 250.7

4.5 - Ralph Breaks - 161.9

3.9 - Mortal Engines - 14.3

3.5 - Marwen - 3.5

1.9 - Bohemian Rhapsody - 184.8

1.5 - Creed II - 108.7

1.5 - Green Book - 27.6

1.1 - Instant Family - 63.0

1.0 - Fantastic Beasts - 154.6

 

Spoiler

58.0 - Aquaman - 212.0

30.0 - Poppins - 106.0

22.5 - Bumblebee - 76.5

19.0 - Spidey - 110.0

11.5 - Second Act - 37.5

11.0 - The Mule - 62.0

10.0 - Holmes & Watson - 21.0

10.0 - Vice - 21.0

 

6.0 - The Grinch - 264.0

5.0 - Ralph Breaks - 173.0

4.1 - Mortal Engines - 23.6

3.5 - Marwen - 11.5

1.6 - Bohemian Rhapsody - 188.5

1.5 - Green Book - 31.2

1.4 - Creed II - 111.9

1.0 - Fantastic Beasts - 156.7

1.0 - Instant Family - 65.2

 

Spoiler

32.0 - Aquaman - 297.0

18.0 - Poppins - 149.0

13.5 - Bumblebee - 108.0

11.5 - Spidey - 137.0

10.0 - Escape Room - 10.0

 

8.0 - Second Act - 55.0

7.5 - Holmes & Watson - 37.5

7.5 - The Mule - 79.0

7.5 - Vice - 37.5

7.0 - Eli - 7.0

3.0 - The Grinch - 272.0

2.8 - Ralph Breaks - 180.0

2.0 - Marwen - 17.0

 

 

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On 12/19/2018 at 1:13 PM, Blankments said:

Robin Hood, A Star is Born, Anna and the Apocalypse, 2.0, The Nutcracker and the Four Realms, Default, Nobody's Fool, Overlord, and The Wife are gone.

Once Upon a Deadpool, Airpocalypse, The Possession of Hannah Grace, and Vox Lux are gone.

 

Aquaman - 62/2/29/2/18 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX) total 113 (down 13)

Mary Poppins Returns - 78/14 (2D/Dolby) total 92 (up 2)

Bumblebee - 52/2/30/2 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX) total 86 (down 6)

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - 53/15 (2D/3D) total 68 (down 31)

Second Act - 59 (down 1)

Holmes and Watson - 55 (debut)

Vice - 51 (debut)

The Mule - 48 (down 3)

Welcome to Marwen - 48 (down 6)

Ralph Breaks the Internet - 32 (down 2)

Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - 25 (down 2)

Mary Queen of Scots - 24 (up 1)

Creed II - 16 (down 2)

Mortal Engines - 13/3 (2D/3D) total 16 (down 40)

The Favourite - 14 (no change)

Bohemian Rhapsody - 12 (down 7)

Green Book - 11 (down 2)

Instant Family - 11 (no change)

Simmba Subbed - 11 (debut)
On the Basis of Sex - 9 (debut)
Ben is Back - 8 (down 2)
Zero Subbed - 8 (down 4)
If Beale Street Could Talk - 7 (debut)

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - 5 (down 2)

Kill Mobile Subbed - 4 (debut)

Swing Kids Subbed - 2 (down 2)

KGF Chapter 1 Subbed - 1 (down 3)
Widows - 1 (down 1)

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DECEMBER 28-30:

 

1. Aquaman - 47.8 / 183.5

2. Mary Poppins Returns - 29.4 / 98.5

3. Bumblebee - 26.5 / 71.6

4. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - 17.5 / 101.9

5. The Mule - 11.7 / 60.5

6. Holmes and Watson - 10.1 / 22.5

7. Vice - 8.8 / 19.0

8. Second Act - 8.5 / 22.4

9. Ralph Breaks the Internet - 5.2 / 173.8

10. Grinch - 4.8 / 265.7

11. Mary Queen of Scots - 2.9 / 9.1

12. Bohemian Rhapsody - 2.3 / 189.1

13. The Favourite - 2.3 / 15.0

14. Green Book - 1.7 / 31.2

15. Welcome to Marwen - 1.7 / 7.2

16. Creed 2 - 1.7 / 112.1

 

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What will be the first 2019 film to be number one?

I'm guessing Glass.
Unless if Dog's Way Home somehow REALLY breaks out. (Okay that film doesn't look that bad, it just is one of those it shows the whole movie in the trailer. Actually that and Glass are the only January films I've seen trailers for and know that much about)

 

 

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JANUARY 4-6:

 

1. Aquaman - 27.4 / 243.2

2. Mary Poppins Returns - 19.2 / 135.0

3. Bumblebee - 13.6 / 92.2

4. Escape Room - 12.1

5. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - 11.4 / 126.2

6. The Mule - 8.1 / 76.2

7. Vice - 6.1 / 29.3

8. Second Act - 4.3 / 30.6

9. Holmes and Watson - 4.0 / 28.0

10. Ralph Breaks the Internet - 3.6 / 183.2

11. Mary Queen of Scots - 2.1 / 12.7

12. The Favourite - 1.9 / 18.9

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On ‎12‎/‎29‎/‎2018 at 8:18 AM, filmlover said:

Wouldn’t be the start of a new year if the first major release wasn’t a mediocre-looking horror movie.

 

Escape Room: $15M

I went back and looked-2007 was the last time the first release was not a horror film.

Before that it was 2004, where the first release was either a rom com or a thriller for the most part.

Now most people seem to say the first release of the year usually bombs. But let's be honest, they don't cost THAT much.

Now there are some exceptions and they don't do that bad. Like Hostel, Devil Inside and one film that is completely different from those 2-Save the Last Dance.

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January 4-6 

 

Aquaman 28.3 million

Mary Poppins Returns 19.3 million

Bumblebee 13.1 million

Escape Room 12.3 million

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 11.6 million

The Mule 8.3 million

Vice 6.3 million

Second Act 4.4 million

Ralph Breaks The Internet 3.8 million

Holmes and Watson 3.5 million

  • Disbelief 1
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1 hour ago, Black Panther said:

January 4-6 

 

Aquaman 28.3 million

Mary Poppins Returns 19.3 million

Bumblebee 13.1 million

Escape Room 12.3 million

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 11.6 million

The Mule 8.3 million

Vice 6.3 million

Second Act 4.4 million

Ralph Breaks The Internet 3.8 million

Holmes and Watson 3.5 million

No way Aquaboy make less of 30M this weekend.

Edited by Brinatico
  • Disbelief 1
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