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Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby

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12/23-12/26

1. Rogue One: $82.5 million/$116 million ($347 million)

2. Sing: $45 million/$62 million ($89 million)

3. Assassin's Creed: $23 million/$33 million ($50 million)

4. Passengers: $20.5 million/$28 million ($43 million)

5. Moana: $10 million/$14 million ($185 million)

6. La La Land: $8.5 million/$11 million ($19 million)

7. Why Him?: $7.5 million/$16 million 

8. Fences: $6.5 million/$13 million 

9. Collateral Beauty: $6 million/$8 million ($25 million) 

9. Manchester by the Sea: $5 million/$6.5 million ($24 million)

10. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $4 million/$5.5 million ($216 million) 

 

12/30-1/2

1. Rogue One: $53 million/$68 million ($468 million)

2. Sing: $40.5 million/$51 million ($184 million)

3. Assassin's Creed: $17 million/$20 million ($87 million)

4. Passengers: $16 million/$19 million ($78 million)

5. Why Him?: $15.5 million/$18 million ($47 million)

6. Moana: $15 million/$16.5 million ($216 million)

7. Fences: $12 million/$13.5 million ($38 million)

7. La La Land: $10.5 million/$12 million ($40 million)

8. Collateral Beauty: $6.5 million/$7.25 million ($39 million)

9. Manchester by the Sea: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($35 million)

10. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $3.5 million/$4 million ($224 million) 

Edited by mahnamahna
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  1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 72.9M
  2. Sing - 54.1M
  3. Passengers - 26.8M
  4. Why Him? - 19.4M
  5. Assassin's Creed - 13.9M
  6. Moana - 7.5M
  7. La La Land - 6.6M
  8. Manchester by the Sea - 5.3M
  9. Fences - 4.4M
  10. Collateral Beauty - 4.1M
  11. Office Christmas Party - 4.0M
  12. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 2.2M

Arrival - 1.3M

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On 12/15/2016 at 6:24 PM, Blankments said:

Trolls, Hacksaw Ridge, Incarnate, Moonlight, Almost Christmas, Bad Santa 2, and The Edge of Seventeen are gone.

 

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 32/3/19/2/5 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX 3D) total 61

Moana - 21

Office Christmas Party - 17

Collateral Beauty - 16

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 16

Manchester by the Sea - 10

Hacksaw Ridge - 6

Allied, Doctor Strange, Trolls, Arrival, Nocturnal Animals, Bad Santa 2, Miss Sloane, and Incarnate are gone.


Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 26/2/11/2/4 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX 3D) total 45 (down 16)
Sing - 23/8 (2D/3D) total 31 (debut)

Passengers - 17/4 (2D/3D) total 21 (debut)

Assassin's Creed - 10/6 (2D/3D) total 16 (debut)

Office Christmas Party - 16 (down 1)
Why Him? - 16 (debut)

Fences - 13 (debut)

Moana - 13 (down 8)

Collateral Beauty - 11 (down 5)

Manchester by the Sea - 7 (down 3)

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 6 (down 10)

Hacksaw Ridge - 1 (down 5)

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On 12/15/2016 at 7:43 AM, SteveJaros said:

 

IMO, MCU and SW are different. MCU is very broad, consisting of a wide range of characters. "Dr Strange" is very different from " Ant Man", which is very different from "The Avengers", so you can release those 6 months apart. Sure, they throw some overlap in there to keep the universe connected and build the overall MCU brand, but those are different films, different stories.

 

 

But there's a reason that while they release MCU movies every year, they space the ones specifically about the Thors and Captain Americas and Iron Mans out to every 2-3 years. Fatigue Danger.

 

In contrast, a Star Wars movie is a Star Wars movie. It's really just one line of films, so the fatigue factor is present with R1. 

 

yeah, a superheroes franchise which releases many movies with the same formula, same type of protagonists/ antagonists for over 7 years but still doing fine and doesn't give a sh*t about the thing called "superheroes fatigue". And the usa's beloved franchise which will only release one movie per year until 2019 and now some clueless internet dudes are starting to worry about "SW fatigue"...

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  1. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 61.5M
  2. Sing - 41.6M
  3. Passengers - 21.2M
  4. Why Him? - 15.4M
  5. Fences - 12.8M
  6. Assassin's Creed - 11.9M
  7. La La Land - 9.8M
  8. Moana - 8.6M
  9. Office Christmas Party - 5.1M
  10. Colalteral Beauty - 4.2M
  11. Manchester by the Sea - 3.2M
  12. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 3.2M

Jackie - 2.6M

Lion - 1.4M

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On 12/22/2016 at 0:18 PM, Blankments said:

Allied, Doctor Strange, Trolls, Arrival, Nocturnal Animals, Bad Santa 2, Miss Sloane, and Incarnate are gone.

Hacksaw Ridge is gone.

 

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 27/4/10/4 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/IMAX 3D) total 45 (no change)

Sing - 27/5 (2D/3D) total 32 (up 1)

Passengers - 17/3 (2D/3D) total 20 (down 1)

Assassin's Creed - 11/5 (2D/3D) total 16 (no change)

Why Him? - 16 (no change)

Moana - 14 (up 1)

Office Christmas Party - 14 (down 2)

Fences - 13 (no change)

Manchester by the Sea - 9 (up 2)

Collateral Beauty - 8 (down 3)

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 6 (no change)

Arrival - 2 (return)

 

no movies worth a damn

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The Derby's average prediction has been quite good. It regularly beats Mojo and BO.com by several percent in accuracy and even deadlines Friday night projections. Below is average prediction of 30 players along side mine. It will likely be 90%+ accurate this week

 

Fences $9.60M $9.88M
Why Him? $11.00M $11.06M
La La Land $9.05M $8.93M
Assassin's Creed $8.90M $9.58M
Passengers $16.90M $16.47M
Sing $41.50M $41.56M
Rogue One $60.00M $59.10M
Moana $11.20M $10.63M
Office Christmas Party $4.10M $4.48M
Collateral Beauty $4.62M $4.54M
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22 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Rogue One: 29.7M

Sing: 25.7M

Hidden Figures: 20M

La La Land: 14M

Underworld: 10M

Passengers: 9M

Moana: 7M

Fences: 6.5M

Why Him: 5.8M

Assassin's Creed: 4.3M

Manchester by the Sea: 3M

A Monster Calls: 2M

$10M for Underworld?  Come on!

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