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Weekend Prediction thread 5/31-6/2 Play the Derby

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expectations are probably around 8-10 million OW at best. Although if this opened around 30 Minutes Or Less that's a nice start.

Considering I don't even have it that high for it's total :P

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  1. Straight Outta Compton - 34.3M
  2. Sinister 2 - 23.1M
  3. American Ultra - 15.4M
  4. Hitman: Agent 47 - 11.3M
  5. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation - 11.2M
  6. The Man From U.N.C.L.E. - 6.8M
  7. The Gift - 4.2M
  8. Minions - 4.1M
  9. Ant-Man - 4.1M
  10. Vacation - 3.8M
  11. Ricki and the Flash - 3.1M
  12. Fantastic Four - 3.0M
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  1. Straight Outta Compton - 34.3M
  2. Sinister 2 - 23.1M
  3. American Ultra - 15.4M
  4. Hitman: Agent 47 - 11.3M
  5. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation - 11.2M
  6. The Man From U.N.C.L.E. - 6.8M
  7. The Gift - 4.2M
  8. Minions - 4.1M
  9. Ant-Man - 4.1M
  10. Vacation - 3.8M
  11. Ricki and the Flash - 3.1M
  12. Fantastic Four - 3.0M

 

What's scary is that sub-45% drop prediction might end up being spot-on... and then $200 million DOM becomes extremely likely. 

 

Rooting for it to beat Coal Miner's $202 million adjusted gross. 

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Irrational Man and Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F are gone. Drive-in is Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation and Fantastic Four.

Time to switch back to college theaters. Pixels and Minions are gone.

 

The Man From U.N.C.L.E. - 15 (down 6)
Fantastic Four - 14 (down 14)
American Ultra - 11 (debut)
Hitman: Agent 47 - 11 (debut)
Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation - 11 (down 7)
Sinister 2 - 10 (debut)
Ricki and the Flash - 10 (down 6)
Straight Outta Compton - 10 (down 13)
Vacation - 6 (down 12)
Ant-Man - 4 (down 12)
The Gift - 4 (down 12)
Shaun the Sheep Movie - 4 (down 9)
Inside Out - 3 (return)
Mr. Holmes - 3 (return)
Southpaw - 2 (down 3)
Trainwreck - 2 (down 10)
Edited by Blankments
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Well I don't think any of the studios are expecting the 3 new releases to be hits at all or else they would of had better dates.

The next few weeks look very boring.

(I still can't believe Compton is doing that well-can't stand rap music though, so don't ask my opinion of the film-which I will never see)

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So this weekend's new releases are two of the most obvious examples of COMPLETELY unnecessary sequels/reboots/whatever in recent memory both currently in the single digits on RT and niche-y comedy that is mostly being dumped. Yep, summer is over.

A Hitman movie needs to be a suspenseful thriller. 47 is made in a lab to be a killing machine and not much more. Instead, for the second time, they've made him a duel wielding pistol action hero with a female sidekick. The early trailers looked somewhat promising but then they went the other direction with the latest trailers. Oh well.

A Sinister sequel could've worked but apparently the child actors suck and the visual style the first one had is absent here. Eh I'll pay for another movie that starts around the same time to give it my business instead of Sinister and then just go and see Sinister. Loved the first one and maybe this one will at least have a few good scares or one of those creepy ass home movies the first did so well.

Edited by DealWithIt
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No Escape  -  5.5

We Are Your Friends  -  13.5

War Room  -  4.5

______________________________________

 

Straight Outta Compton  -52%

Sinister 2  -59%

Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation  -41%

Hitman: Agent 47  -57%

American Ultra  -58%

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  1. Straight Outta Compton - $15.2m
  2. We Are Your Friends - $9.4m
  3. War Room - $9.1m
  4. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation - $7.8m
  5. No Escape - $6.8m
  6. Sinister 2 - $4.7m
  7. The Man From U.N.C.L.E - $4.4m
  8. Hitman: Agent 47 - $3.8m
  9. Ant-Man - $3m
  10. The Gift - $2.9m
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I don't get the high predictions above for We Are Your Friends above. The marketing/visibility is completely nonexistent, it's getting a very low theater count, Efron is far from a reliable draw, and the movie itself seems really low-rent and without a discernable target audience. Seems like an obvious sub-$5M opener.

Edited by filmlover
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