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Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby

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On 6/24/2016 at 6:16 PM, Blanks McCoy said:

The Angry Birds Movie, Maggie's Plan, and Captain America: Civil War are gone. Drive-in is once again Finding Dory and Alice Through the Looking Glass.

The Neon Demon, X-Men: Apocalypse, Alice Through the Looking Glass are gone. Drive-in is Finding Dory and Independence Day: Resurgence.

 

Finding Dory - 29/7 (2D/3D) total 36 (down 16)

Independence Day: Resurgence - 22/2/9 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D) total 33 (down 9)
The Legend of Tarzan - 14/3/7/6 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/IMAX 3D) total 30 (debut)
The BFG - 15/9 (2D/3D) total 24 (debut)

The Purge: Election Year - 24 (debut)
The Shallows - 18 (no change)
Central Intelligence - 16 (no change)

Free State of Jones - 14 (down 1)
The Conjuring 2 - 9 (down 6)
Now You See Me 2 - 4 (down 10)
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows - 3 (down 4)
Me Before You - 2 (no change)
Warcraft - 2 (down 8)

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11 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Secret Life of Pets: 70M

Finding Dory: 23.9M

The Legend of Tarzan: 17M

The Purge: 10.3M

The BFG: 9.6M

Mike and Dave: 8M

Central Intelligence: 7.4M

Independence Day: 6.5M

The Shallows: 4.5M

Free State of Jones: 2M

 

 

I am not capable of predicting them all, but I'm going to make a crazy prediction that BFG will be under CI.

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7/8-7/10

  1. The Secret Lives of Pets: $80.5 million 
  2. Finding Dory: $24 million ($423 million)
  3. The Legend of Tarzan: $20 million ($78 million)
  4. The Purge 3: $12.5 million ($54 million) 
  5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $11 million 
  6. The BFG: $9 million ($37 million) 
  7. Independence Day - Resurgence: $8 million ($89 million) 
  8. Central Intelligence: $7.5 million ($106 million) 
  9. The Shallows: $5 million ($45 million) 
  10. Free State of Jones: $2.5 million ($19 million) 

7/15-7/17

  1. Ghostbusters: $65 million 
  2. The Secret Lives of Pets: $51 million ($186 million)
  3. Finding Dory: $17.5 million ($458 million)
  4. The Legend of Tarzan: $9.5 million ($95 million) 
  5. The Purge 3: $6 million ($67 million) 
  6. The BFG: $7 million ($53 million) 
  7. The Infiltrator: $4.5 million 
  8. Central Intelligence: $4 million ($114 million) 
  9. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $3 million ($13 million) 
  10. Independence Day - Resurgence: $3 million ($96 million) 

7/22-7/24

  1. Star Trek Beyond: $59 million 
  2. Ghostbusters: $33 million ($132 million) 
  3. Ice Age - Collision Course: $31.5 million 
  4. The Secret Lives of Pets: $24 million ($236 million)
  5. Lights Out: $13 million 
  6. Finding Dory: $9 million ($477 million)
  7. The BFG: $3.5 million ($60 million) 
  8. The Infiltrator: $2 million ($8 million) 
  9. Central Intelligence: $2 million ($118 million) 
  10. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $1.5 million ($16 million) 

7/29-7/31

  1. Jason Bourne: $81 million 
  2. Star Trek Beyond: $25 million ($112 million) 
  3. Bad Moms: $21 million 
  4. Ice Age - Collision Course: $16.5 million ($65 million) 
  5. Ghostbusters: $16 million ($164 million) 
  6. The Secret Lives of Pets: $14 million ($264 million)
  7. Nerve: $7 million 
  8. Finding Dory: $6 million ($489 million) 
  9. Lights Out: $4 million ($21 million) 
  10. The BFG: $2.5 million ($65 million) 

8/5-8/7

  1. Suicide Squad: $102 million 
  2. Jason Bourne: $36 million ($155 million)
  3. Bad Moms: $14.5 million ($48 million) 
  4. The Founder: $11.5 million 
  5. Star Trek Beyond: $11 million ($134 million) 
  6. Ice Age - Collision Course: $10.5 million ($86 million) 
  7. The Secret Lives of Pets: $9 million ($281 million)
  8. Ghostbusters: $8 million ($180 million) 
  9. Nine Lives: $6.5 million 
  10. Finding Dory: $4 million ($497 million)

8/12-8/14

  1. Suicide Squad: $41 million ($177 million) 
  2. Pete's Dragon: $33.5 million
  3. Sausage Party: $29 million 
  4. Jason Bourne: $22.5 million ($194 million) 
  5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $16.5 million 
  6. Bad Moms: $10 million ($65 million) 
  7. Star Trek Beyond: $8 million ($147 million) 
  8. The Founder: $6.5 million ($21 million) 
  9. Ghostbusters: $5.5 million ($190 million) 
  10. Ice Age - Collision Course: $5 million ($94 million) 

8/19-8/21

  1. Ben-Hur: $25 million
  2. Suicide Squad: $24 million ($215 million) 
  3. Pete's Dragon: $18.5 million ($58 million) 
  4. Kubo and the Two Strings: $16 million 
  5. Jason Bourne: $14 million ($214 million) 
  6. War Dogs: $13 million 
  7. Florence Foster Jenkins: $11.5 million ($33 million) 
  8. Sausage Party: $8 million ($43 million) 
  9. Bad Moms: $7 million ($75 million) 
  10. Star Trek Beyond: $6 million ($156 million) 

8/26-8/28

  1. Don't Breathe: $22 million 
  2. Suicide Squad: $16 million ($239 million) 
  3. Pete's Dragon: $14 million ($76 million) 
  4. Ben-Hur: $11.5 million ($42 million) 
  5. Kubo and the Two Strings: $11 million ($31 million) 
  6. Jason Bourne: $10 million ($228 million) 
  7. Florence Foster Jenkins: $8.5 million ($45 million) 
  8. War Dogs: $8 million ($25 million) 
  9. Mechanic - Resurrection: $6 million 
  10. Bad Moms: $5 million ($82 million) 

9/2-9/5

  1. The Light Between Oceans: $24 million/$31 million 
  2. Pete's Dragon: $15 million/$21 million ($101 million) 
  3. Suicide Squad: $14 million/$18 million ($264 million) 
  4. Kubo and the Two Strings: $10 million/$13 million ($47 million) 
  5. Ben-Hur: $9.5 million/$11.5 million ($57 million) 
  6. Jason Bourne: $8 million/$9.5 million ($241 million) 
  7. Florence Foster Jenkins: $7 million/$8.5 million ($56 million) 
  8. Morgan: $6.5 million/$7.75 million 
  9. War Dogs: $6 million/$7 million ($35 million) 
  10. Solace: $5 million/$5.75 million 
  11. Bad Moms: $4.5 million/$5.25 million ($90 million) 
  12. Mechanic - Resurrection: $3.5 million/$4 million ($11 million) 
Edited by mahnamahna
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1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

@mahnamahna You're being too harsh on Beyond's second weekend drop; the previous two dropped 42-47%

I think Bourne 5 will break out ($70 million+ OW). Plus, with summer weekdays, a 50-54% drop would be roughly equivalent to the first two films' 10-day total since those two may have stronger weekend holds, but neither had a majority of their run during the heart of summer like Star Trek Beyond will. 

 

It'd be nice to see it do $180-210 million DOM, though. :)

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17 hours ago, mahnamahna said:

I think Bourne 5 will break out ($70 million+ OW). Plus, with summer weekdays, a 50-54% drop would be roughly equivalent to the first two films' 10-day total since those two may have stronger weekend holds, but neither had a majority of their run during the heart of summer like Star Trek Beyond will. 

 

It'd be nice to see it do $180-210 million DOM, though. :)

 

I fear for this franchise.

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1. The Secret Life of Pets - $81.6m

2. Finding Dory - $21.8m

3. The Legend of Tarzan - $17.8m

4. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - $12.6m

5. The Purge: Election Year - $12.1m

6. The BFG - $9.6m

7. Independence Day: Resurgence - $8.3m

8. Central Intelligence - $7.8m

9. The Shallows - $5.1m

10. Free State of Jones - $1.8m

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  1. The Secret Life of Pets - 86.4M
  2. Finding Dory - 19.7M
  3. The Legend of Tarzan - 17.0M
  4. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 13.1M
  5. The Purge: Election Year - 12.3M
  6. The BFG - 7.9M
  7. Central Intelligence - 7.4M
  8. Independence Day: Resurgence - 6.9M
  9. The Shallows - 4.6M
  10. Free State of Jones - 2.3M
  11. The Conjuring 2 - 1.7M
  12. Now You See Me 2 - 1.4M 
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The Secret Life of Pets - 110m  (massively underestimated around here)
Finding Dory - 18m
The Legend of Tarzan - 15m
Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 12m
The Purge: Election Year - 11m
Central Intelligenc - 9m
BFG - 8.5m
IDR - 8.1m
Shallows - 4.7m
Conjuring II - 3.9m

Edited by SteveJaros
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23 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

The Secret Life of Pets - 110m  (massively underestimated around here)
Finding Dory - 18m
The Legend of Tarzan - 15m
Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 12m
The Purge: Election Year - 11m
Central Intelligenc - 9m
BFG - 8.5m
IDR - 8.1m
Shallows - 4.7m
Conjuring II - 3.9m

:WHATanabe: 

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On 7/1/2016 at 6:43 PM, Blanks McCoy said:

The Neon Demon, X-Men: Apocalypse, Alice Through the Looking Glass are gone. Drive-in is Finding Dory and Independence Day: Resurgence.

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows, Me Before You, and Warcraft are gone. Drive-in is The Secret Life of Pets and Independence Day: Resurgence.

 

The Secret Life of Pets - 35/12 (2D/3D) total 47 (debut)
The Legend of Tarzan - 7/5/8/6 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/IMAX 3D) total 26 (down 4)

Finding Dory - 15/6 (2D/3D) total 21 (down 15)

The Purge: Election Year - 21 (down 3)

The BFG - 13/6 (2D/3D) total 19 (down 5)
Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 19 (debut)

Central Intelligence - 15 (down 1)
Independence Day: Resurgence - 13/2 (2D/3D) total 15 (down 18)

Swiss Army Man - 11 (debut)

The Shallows - 10 (down 8)
The Conjuring 2 - 6 (down 3)

Free State of Jones - 6 (down 8)

Now You See Me 2 - 2 (down 2)

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