Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby

[Krissykins]

3 hours ago, Impact said:

Ben-Hur is one of the toughest calls of the Summer, it could make 50 million or 150 million!

 

I would say it's more likely to be under $30m. 

[Truckasaurus]

1) Star Trek Beyond
$56.6M

 

2) Ice Age: Collision Course
$32.3M

 

3) The Secret Life of Pets
$24.3M (-52%)

 

4) Ghostbusters

$23.9M (-48%)

 

5) Lights Out
$22M

 

[stripe]

Star Trek 55M

Lights Out 30M

Pets 26M

Ice Age 5 25M

Ghostbusters 24M

Tarzan 6M

Dory 6M

Mike 4M

CI 4M

Purge 3M

[Krissykins]

Star Trek Beyond $60,000,000

Ice Age $24,000,000

Lights Out $21,000,000

 

[babz06]

Star Trek-55m

Ice Age-28m

Lights Out-13m

[superweirdo87]

Star Trek--66M 

Ice Age--24M

Lights Out 18M

[junkshop36]

1.Star Trek - 62m

2.Ice Age - 32m

3.SLOP - 26m

4.GB - 21m

5.Lights Out - 19m

 

 

[Impact]

Seeing a 60% drop for Ghostbusters right now. Reading very mixed things about it-though the average one I am seeing is that while Hemsworth and the main cast is great the rest of the film falls flat and is not that great.

[miketheavenger]

Star Trek Beyond - 60m

Ice Age: Collision Course - 30m

Lights Out - 22m

 

[Damianport1]

Previous two star treks earned over 70M on OW. Why people are preicting only 50 for Beyond who has way better reviews?

[babz06]

Theater counts for next week:

Jason Bourne(Uni) 3900+

Bad Moms(STX) 3000

Nerve(Lions) 2600

The Land (IFC) 2

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/chart/?yr=2016&wk=31&sort=theaters&order=DESC&p=.htm

[Blankments]

1. Star Trek Beyond - 57.7M
2. Lights Out - 26.3M
3. The Secret Life of Pets - 24.9M
4. Ghostbusters - 24.9M
5. Ice Age: Collision Course -23.4M
6. The Legend of Tarzan - 5.6M
7. Finding Dory - 4.4M
8. Hillary's America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party - 4.2M
9. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 3.5M
10. The Purge: Election Year - 3.4M
11. Central Intelligence - 3.3M
12. The Infiltrator - 2.8M

[Blankments]

On 7/16/2016 at 0:03 PM, Blanks McCoy said:

Swiss Army Man and Now You See Me 2 are gone. Drive in is The Secret Life of Pets and The Legend of Tarzan.

The Shallows and Free State of Jones are gone. Drive-in is Ice Age: Collision Course and The Secret Life of Pets.

 

Star Trek Beyond - 16/3/12/2/5 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX 3D) total 38 (debut)

Ice Age: Collision Course - 23/11 (2D/3D) total 34 (debut)

The Secret Life of Pets - 24/3 (2D/3D) total 27 (down 16)

Ghostbusters - 19/6 (2D/3D) total 26 (down 15)
Lights Out - 17 (debut)

Finding Dory - 15 (down 2)

Hillary's America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party - 11 (debut)

Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates - 11 (down 5)
The Infiltrator - 10 (down 5)
The Legend of Tarzan - 10 (down 6)

The Purge: Election Year - 8 (down 8)
Central Intelligence - 3 (down 9)
The BFG - 2 (down 12)
The Conjuring 2 - 2 (down 4)
Independence Day: Resurgence - 2 (down 9)

[WrathOfHan]

Jason Bourne: 45M

Bad Moms: 35M

Star Trek Beyond: 33.6M

Secret Life of Pets: 18M

Ice Age: 10.5M

Lights Out: 10.4M

Ghostbusters: 10.2M

Finding Dory: 5.2M

Nerve: 5M 3 day/6.6M 5 day

Legend of Tarzan: 3.8M

[mahnamahna]

7/29-7/31

1. Jason Bourne: $42 million 
2. Bad Moms: $31 million 
3. Star Trek Beyond: $28 million ($117 million)
4. The Secret Life of Pets: $20.5 million ($302 million)
5. Lights Out: $12 million ($45 million)
6. Ghostbusters: $9.5 million ($106 million) 
7. Ice Age - Collision Course: $9.5 million ($40 million) 
8. Nerve: $7 million ($11 million) 
9. Finding Dory: $5.5 million ($471 million)
10. The Legend of Tarzan: $4 million ($124 million)

8/5-8/7

1. Suicide Squad: $147 million 
2. Bad Moms: $21 million ($69 million)
3. Jason Bourne: $19 million ($81 million)
4. Star Trek Beyond: $13.5 million ($144 million)
5. The Secret Life of Pets: $12 million ($326 million)
6. Nine Lives: $8 million 
7. Ghostbusters: $5 million ($116 million)
8. Ice Age - Collision Course: $4.5 million ($50 million) 
9. Lights Out: $4 million ($52 million)
10. Finding Dory: $3.5 million ($480 million)

8/12-8/14

1. Suicide Squad: $55 million ($257 million)
2. Pete's Dragon: $28 million 
3. Sausage Party: $23 million 
4. Florence Foster Jenkins: $15 million 
5. Jason Bourne: $12.5 million ($103 million) 
6. Bad Moms: $11.5 million ($88 million) 
7. The Secret Life of Pets: $6 million ($335 million)
8. Nine Lives: $5 million ($15 million)
9. Ghostbusters: $3 million ($121 million) 
10. Lights Out: $2.5 million ($56 million)

8/19-8/21

1. Suicide Squad: $30 million ($302 million)
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $23.5 million 
3. Pete's Dragon: $15 million ($48 million) 
4. Ben-Hur: $13.5 million 
5. War Dogs: $11.5 million
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $11 million ($31 million)
7. Sausage Party: $8 million ($37 million) 
8. Bad Moms: $7.5 million ($99 million)
9. Jason Bourne: $7 million ($113 million) 
10. Nine Lives: $3 million ($19 million) 

8/26-8/28

1. Suicide Squad: $20.5 million ($333 million)
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $17 million ($46 million) 
3. Pete's Dragon: $12 million ($64 million)
4. Florence Foster Jenkins: $9 million ($43 million) 
5. Ben-Hur: $8.5 million ($25 million)  
6. War Dogs: $7.5 million ($23 million) 
7. Don't Breathe: $7 million 
8. Bad Moms: $6 million ($107 million) 
9. Jason Bourne: $5 million ($120 million) 
10. Mechanic - Resurrection: $5 million 

9/2-9/5

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $17.5 million/$25 million ($76 million)
2. Suicide Squad: $16 million/$20.5 million ($361 million) 
3. The Light Between Oceans: $13 million/$16.5 million 
4. Pete's Dragon: $11 million/$15.5 million ($83 million) 
5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $8 million/$10 million ($56 million) 
6. Morgan: $6.5 million/$7.75 million 
7. Ben-Hur: $6 million/$7.25 million ($35 million) 
8. War Dogs: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($32 million) 
9. Bad Moms: $5 million/$6 million ($115 million) 
10. Jason Bourne: $4.5 million/$5.25 million ($127 million) 

9/9-9/11

1. Sully: $28 million 
2. When the Bough Breaks: $17 million 
3. The Light Between Oceans: $8 million ($26 million) 
4. Kubo and the Two Strings: $7.5 million ($85 million) 
5. Suicide Squad: $7 million ($370 million) 
6. Before I Wake: $5.5 million 
7. Pete's Dragon: $5 million ($89 million) 
8. The Wild Life: $5 million 
9. Florence Foster Jenkins: $4.5 million ($62 million) 
10. Jason Bourne: $2.5 million ($130 million) 

9/16-9/18

1. Blair Witch: $33 million 
2. Sully: $19 million ($56 million) 
3. Bridget Jones' Baby: $17 million 
4. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $13 million 
5. Snowden: $8 million 
6. Kubo and the Two Strings: $6.5 million ($93 million) 
7. The Light Between Oceans: $6 million ($34 million) 
8. When the Bough Breaks: $5.5 million ($26 million) 
9. Suicide Squad: $4.5 million ($377 million) 
10. Pete's Dragon: $4 million ($94 million) 

9/23-9/25

1. The Magnificent Seven: $64 million 
2. Storks: $48 million 
3. Sully: $12 million ($73 million) 
4. Bridget Jones' Baby: $10 million ($32 million) 
5. Blair Witch: $10 million ($49 million) 
6. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $6 million ($22 million) 
7. The Light Between Oceans: $3.5 million ($39 million) 
8. Snowden: $3 million ($13 million) 
9. Suicide Squad: $2.5 million ($381 million) 
10. When the Bough Breaks: $2.5 million ($30 million) 

9/30-10/2

1. The Magnificent Seven: $37.5 million ($119 million) 
2. Storks: $27 million ($84 million) 
3. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $24.5 million 
4. Deepwater Horizon: $18 million 
5. Masterminds: $8 million 
6. Sully: $7.5 million ($84 million) 
7. The Edge of Seventeen: $5 million 
8. Bridget Jones' Baby: $4 million ($38 million) 
9. Blair Witch: $3.5 million ($54 million) 
10. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $3 million ($26 million) 

10/7-10/9

1. The Magnificent Seven: $24 million ($153 million) 
2. The Girl on the Train: $21.5 million 
3. Storks: $20.5 million ($110 million) 
4. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $16 million ($45 million) 
5. Birth of a Nation: $12.5 million 
6. Deepwater Horizon: $8 million ($29 million) 
7. Sully: $4.25 million ($91 million) 
8. Masterminds: $3.5 million ($13 million) 
9. Bridget Jones' Baby: $2.5 million ($42 million) 
10. The Edge of Seventeen: $2 million ($8 million)

10/14-10/16

1. The Accountant: $26 million 
2. The Magnificent Seven: $18 million ($182 million) 
3. Storks: $16.5 million ($135 million) 
4. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $12 million ($63 million) 
5. Birth of a Nation: $10.5 million ($28 million) 
6. The Girl on the Train: $10 million ($38 million)
7. Kevin Hart - What Now?: $7 million 
8. Deepwater Horizon: $5 million ($37 million)
9. Sully: $3 million ($96 million) 
10. Masterminds: $2 million ($16 million) 

 

Edited July 29, 2016 by mahnamahna

[Maxmoser3]

Jason Bourne:$55 million, Bad Moms:$20 million, Nerve:$5 million.

[Ezen Baklattan]

1. Jason Bourne - $49.2m
2. Star Trek Beyond - $30.1m
3. The Secret Life of Pets - $19m
4. Bad Moms - $15.5m
5. Ghostbusters - $12m
6. Ice Age: Collision Course - $11.4m
7. Lights Out - $10.3m
8. Nerve - $5.2m
9. Finding Dory - $4.7m
10. The Legend of Tarzan - $3.6m

[YM!]

July 29-31

1. Jason Bourne $55m

2. Star Trek Beyond $31.2m

3. Bad Moms $23.4m

4. The Secret Life Of Pets $20.8m

5. Ghostbusters $11.5m

6. Lights Out $10.7m

7/8. Nerve/Ice Age Collision Course $9.5m

9. Finding Dory $5.5m

10. The Legend Of Tarzan $4.7m

[boxofficeth]

On 25/07/2016 at 0:32 AM, mahnamahna said:

7/29-7/31

1. Jason Bourne: $53.5 million 
2. Bad Moms: $31 million 
3. Star Trek Beyond: $28 million ($117 million)
4. The Secret Life of Pets: $20.5 million ($302 million)
5. Lights Out: $11 million ($43 million)
6. Ghostbusters: $9.5 million ($106 million) 
7. Ice Age - Collision Course: $9.5 million ($40 million) 
8. Nerve: $7 million ($11 million) 
9. Finding Dory: $5.5 million ($472 million)
10. The Legend of Tarzan: $4 million ($124 million)

8/5-8/7

1. Suicide Squad: $136 million 
2. Jason Bourne: $24.5 million ($103 million)
3. Bad Moms: $21 million ($69 million)
4. Star Trek Beyond: $13.5 million ($144 million)
5. The Secret Life of Pets: $12 million ($326 million)
6. Nine Lives: $8 million 
7. Ghostbusters: $5 million ($116 million)
8. Ice Age - Collision Course: $4.5 million ($50 million) 
9. Lights Out: $4 million ($52 million)
10. Finding Dory: $3.5 million ($480 million)

8/12-8/14

1. Suicide Squad: $50 million ($236 million)
2. Pete's Dragon: $28 million 
3. Sausage Party: $23 million 
4. Jason Bourne: $17.5 million ($133 million) 
5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $15 million 
6. Bad Moms: $11.5 million ($88 million) 
7. The Secret Life of Pets: $6 million ($335 million)
8. Nine Lives: $5 million ($15 million)
9. Ghostbusters: $3 million ($121 million) 
10. Lights Out: $2.5 million ($56 million)

8/19-8/21

1. Suicide Squad: $27 million ($277 million)
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $23.5 million 
3. Pete's Dragon: $15 million ($48 million) 
4. Ben-Hur: $13.5 million 
5. War Dogs: $11.5 million
6. Florence Foster Jenkins: $11 million ($31 million) 
7. Jason Bourne: $10.5 million ($148 million) 
8. Sausage Party: $8 million ($37 million) 
9. Bad Moms: $7.5 million ($99 million)
10. Nine Lives: $3 million ($19 million) 

8/26-8/28

1. Suicide Squad: $18 million ($304 million)
2. Kubo and the Two Strings: $17 million ($46 million) 
3. Pete's Dragon: $12 million ($64 million)
4. Florence Foster Jenkins: $9 million ($43 million) 
5. Ben-Hur: $8.5 million ($25 million) 
6. Jason Bourne: $8 million ($159 million) 
7. War Dogs: $7.5 million ($23 million) 
8. Don't Breathe: $7 million 
9. Bad Moms: $6 million ($107 million) 
10. Mechanic - Resurrection: $5 million 

9/2-9/5

1. Kubo and the Two Strings: $17.5 million/$25 million ($76 million)
2. Suicide Squad: $14.5 million/$19 million ($330 million) 
3. The Light Between Oceans: $13 million/$16.5 million 
4. Pete's Dragon: $11 million/$15.5 million ($83 million) 
5. Florence Foster Jenkins: $8 million/$10 million ($56 million) 
6. Jason Bourne: $7 million/$8.5 million ($171 million) 
7. Morgan: $6.5 million/$7.75 million 
8. Ben-Hur: $6 million/$7.25 million ($35 million) 
9. War Dogs: $5.5 million/$6.5 million ($32 million) 
10. Bad Moms: $5 million/$6 million ($115 million) 

9/9-9/11

1. Sully: $28 million 
2. When the Bough Breaks: $17 million 
3. The Light Between Oceans: $8 million ($26 million) 
4. Kubo and the Two Strings: $7.5 million ($85 million) 
5. Suicide Squad: $7 million ($339 million) 
6. Before I Wake: $5.5 million 
7. Pete's Dragon: $5 million ($89 million) 
8. The Wild Life: $5 million 
9. Florence Foster Jenkins: $4.5 million ($62 million) 
10. Jason Bourne: $3.5 million ($175 million) 

9/16-9/18

1. Blair Witch: $33 million 
2. Sully: $19 million ($56 million) 
3. Bridget Jones' Baby: $17 million 
4. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $13 million 
5. Snowden: $8 million 
6. Kubo and the Two Strings: $6.5 million ($93 million) 
7. The Light Between Oceans: $6 million ($34 million) 
8. When the Bough Breaks: $5.5 million ($26 million) 
9. Suicide Squad: $4.5 million ($346 million) 
10. Pete's Dragon: $4 million ($94 million) 

9/23-9/25

1. The Magnificent Seven: $64 million 
2. Storks: $48 million 
3. Sully: $12 million ($73 million) 
4. Bridget Jones' Baby: $10 million ($32 million) 
5. Blair Witch: $10 million ($49 million) 
6. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $6 million ($22 million) 
7. The Light Between Oceans: $3.5 million ($39 million) 
8. Snowden: $3 million ($13 million) 
9. Suicide Squad: $2.5 million ($350 million) 
10. When the Bough Breaks: $2.5 million ($30 million) 

9/30-10/2

1. The Magnificent Seven: $37.5 million ($119 million) 
2. Storks: $27 million ($84 million) 
3. Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children: $24.5 million 
4. Deepwater Horizon: $18 million 
5. Masterminds: $8 million 
6. Sully: $7.5 million ($84 million) 
7. The Edge of Seventeen: $5 million 
8. Bridget Jones' Baby: $4 million ($38 million) 
9. Blair Witch: $3.5 million ($54 million) 
10. Hillsong - Let Hope Rise: $3 million ($26 million) 

 

I love your Magnificent 7 number. It is a powerful number. I wish it could be true. The film looks like a bad ass film. It reminds me of American Gangster, minus hip-hop urban appeal. But the September curse could potentially limit its gross.

[Impact]

Westerns are tough sales, though they always do great here-ironically though, Django Unchained didn't do as well as most other westerns here. (Then again it was more of a Southern film and not much of a western)