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Impact

2015 Best Picture predictions!

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My sag predictions, including my first No Guts, No Glory predict of the year.

 

BEST ENSEMBLE

The Big Short

Carol

The Martian

Spotlight

Straight Outta Compton

 

BEST ACTOR

Steve Carell (The Big Short)

Matt Damon (The Martian)

Johnny Depp (Black Mass)

Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)

Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

 

BEST ACTRESS

Cate Blanchett (Carol)

Brie Larson (Room)

Charlotte Rampling (45 Years)

Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)

Lily Tomlin (Grandma)

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Paul Dano (Love & Mercy)

Michael Keaton (Spotlight)

Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)

Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)

Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Jane Fonda (Youth)

Rooney Mara (Carol)

Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)

Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

 

Nominations Count (+2 Noms)

Spotlight: 4

Carol: 3

The Big Short: 2

The Danish Girl: 2

The Martian: 2

Steve Jobs: 2

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10 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

Oh, universal have been pushing it super hard so I wasn't surprised. I considered it myself.

 

That, and there's usually a populist surprise in the SAG nominations (Bridesmaids and The Butler showed up a few years ago) - I wouldn't be surprised if Compton pulled a Dallas Buyers Club, actually.

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Best picture Drama

Creed

The Revenant

Carol

Spotlight

Brooklyn

 

Best Picture Comedy

Trainwreck

The Martian

The Big Short

Joy

Sisters

 

Best Actor Drama

Michael B Jordan-Creed

Tom Hanks-Bridge of Spies

Leonardo Dicaprio-The Revenant

Michael Fassbender-Steve Jobs

Eddie Redmayne-The Danish Girl

 

Best Actress Drama

Cate Blanchett-Carol

Saiorse Ronan-Brooklyn

Alicia Vikander-The Danish Girl

Carey Mulligan-Suffragette

Charlize Theron-Mad Max Fury Road

 

Best Actor Comedy

Matt Damon-The Martian

Steve Carrell-The Big Short

Joaquin Phoenix-The Irrational Man

Bill Hader-Trainwreck

Al Pacino-Danny Collins

 

Best Actress Comedy

Jennifer Lawrence-Joy

Tina Fey-Sisters

Amy Schumer-Trainwreck

Anne Hathaway-The Intern

Lily Tomlin-Grandma

 

Best Supporting Actor

Sylvester Stallone-Creed

Mark Ruffalo-Spotlight

Michael Keaton-Spotlight

Mark Rylance-Bridge of Spies

Walter Goggins-Hateful Eight

 

Best Supporting Actress

Alicia Vikander-Ex Machina

Kristen Stewarts-Clouds of Sils Maria

Jennifer Jason Leigh-Hateful Eight

Rachael McAdams-Spotlight

Kate Winslet-Steve Jobs

 

Best Director

Ridley Scott-The Martian

Innaritu-The Revenant

Tom McCarthy-Spotlight

Quentin Taratino-The Hateful Eight

George Miller-Mad Max Fury Road

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On 12/7/2015, 8:05:25, Impact said:

Well earlier someone said Joy was getting panned, it isn't panned, just not great reviews. It has a 53%, so it is out on best picture-unless if it somehow does a Loud and Close.  (Oddly when I scrolled over the title it said it had a 59%)

Doesn't matter, it's officially out of the race with those reviews. Getting nommed would be statistically very hard with that kind of critical reception. Winning impossible. 

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34 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Doesn't matter, it's officially out of the race with those reviews. Getting nommed would be statistically very hard with that kind of critical reception. Winning impossible. 

Yes I know, but I was pointing out that a 53% RT score is not getting panned is all.

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15 hours ago, ThatOneGuy said:

Ok...I know everyone will throw backlash at me for this, but here it goes...

 

David O. Russell makes The Fighter, a film made by Paramount.  It gets excellent reviews.

 

He then makes Silver Linings Playbook, which was made by Weinstein.  It gets excellent reviews.

 

Soon after, he makes American Hustle, a film made by Columbia.  More great reviews.

 

He then makes Joy, a film made by Fox.  It gets mixed reviews.

 

Fox messed up Fantastic Four.  Two very different films, but both released by Fox in the same year.  Also noticeable: A PG-13 rather than the standard R-rated Russell flick.

 

...Dammit Fox...

 

I don't know about that. Fox had more "fresh" films in 2014 than any other studio. they also had Kingsman and The Martian this year. 

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SAG predicts:

 

Best Ensemble
The Big Short
Carol
The Martian
Spotlight
Steve Jobs

Best Actor
Steve Carell, The Big Short
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, The Martian
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
Lily Tomlin, Grandma

Best Supporting Actor
Paul Dano, Love and Mercy
Michael Keaton, Spotlight
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Best Supporting Actress
Jane Fonda, Youth
Rooney Mara, Carol
Kristen Stewart, Clouds of Sils Maria
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Best TV Drama Ensemble
Better Call Saul
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
House of Cards
Mad Men

Best TV Drama Actor
Kyle Chandler, Bloodline
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards

Best TV Drama Actress
Claire Danes, Homeland
Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Julianna Marguilles, The Good Wife
Robin Wright, House of Cards

Best TV Comedy Ensemble
Modern Family
Orange is the New Black
Transparent
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Veep

Best TV Comedy Actor
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Don Cheadle, House of Lies
Will Forte, The Last Man on Earth
Jim Parson, The Big Bang Theory
Jeffery Tambor, Transparent

Best TV Comedy Actress
Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black
Allison Janney, Mom
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie

Best TV Movie/Miniseries Actor
Idris Elba, Luther
Oscar Isaac, Show Me a Hero
David Oyelowo, Nightingale
Mark Rylance, Wolf Hall
Andy Samberg, 7 Days in Hell

Best TV Movie/Miniseries Actress
Catherine Keener, Show Me a Hero
Nicole Kidman, Grace of Monaco
Queen Latifah, Bessie
MoNique, Bessie
Winona Ryder, Show Me a Hero

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24 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

When I posted it the movie was in the 30's and 40's.

Moving the embargo was a really bad decision. I'm sure Fox knew the critical reception will be mixed. They should've wait one more (or two) week. The RT score can climb back to low 70s, but now it's a disappointment because where it started.

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I'm feeling better about my Big Short predictions.  If McKay can grab a DGA nom, it has a good shot to give Spotlight a run for its money.

 

It's a movie about an incredibly relevant issue (especially in campaign season), high profile cast, and the competition is pretty weak this year.  

 

As of right now, Id say it's between Spotlight and the Big Short.

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3 minutes ago, The Panda said:

I'm feeling better about my Big Short predictions.  If McKay can grab a DGA nom, it has a good shot to give Spotlight a run for its money.

 

It's a movie about an incredibly relevant issue (especially in campaign season), high profile cast, and the competition is pretty weak this year.  

 

As of right now, Id say it's between Spotlight and the Big Short.

Lol I can't wait to see The Big Short  and even I know it's not guaranteed a nomination. Spotlight has one all locked up.

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